scholarly journals Impacts of Acidification and Potential Recovery on the Expected Value of Recreational Fisheries in Adirondack Lakes (USA)

2016 ◽  
Vol 51 (1) ◽  
pp. 742-750 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jesse Caputo ◽  
Colin M. Beier ◽  
Habibollah Fakhraei ◽  
Charles T. Driscoll
Keyword(s):  
Expected Value ◽  
Recreational Fisheries ◽  
Adirondack Lakes

The Expected Value Premium

CFA Digest ◽  
2008 ◽  
Vol 38 (3) ◽  
pp. 35-36
Author(s):  
Michael Kobal
Keyword(s):  
Expected Value ◽  
Value Premium

First-Year Engineering Computing Courses in Canadian Engineering Programs

1969 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sean Maw ◽  
Janice Miller Young ◽  
Alexis Morris
Keyword(s):  
Problem Solving ◽  
Engineering Students ◽  
Expected Value ◽  
Knowledge Development ◽  
First Year ◽  
Recent Past ◽  
Engineering Programs ◽  
Digital Computation ◽  
Pedagogical Philosophies ◽  
Introductory Computing

Most Canadian engineering students take a computing course in their first year that introduces them to digital computation. The Canadian Engineering Accreditation Board does not specify the language(s) that can or should be used for instruction. As a result, a variety of languages are used across Canada. This study examines which languages are used in degree-granting institutions, currently and in the recent past. It also examines why institutions have chosen the languages that they currently use. In addition to the language used in instruction, the types and hours of instruction are also analyzed. Methods of instruction and evaluation are compared, as well as the pedagogical philosophies of the different programs with respect to introductory computing. Finally, a comparison of the expected value of this course to graduates is also presented. We found a more diverse landscape for introductory computing courses than anticipated, in most respects. The guiding ethos at most institutions is skill and knowledge development, especially around problem solving in an engineering context. The methods to achieve this are quite varied, and so are the languages employed in such courses. Most programs currently use C/C++, Matlab, VB and/or Python.

ANALISIS RISIKO OPERASIONAL MENGGUNAKAN PENDEKATAN DISTRIBUSI KERUGIAN DENGAN METODE AGREGAT

2011 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Y. ARBI ◽  
R. BUDIARTI ◽  
I G. P. PURNABA
Keyword(s):  
Negative Binomial Distribution ◽  
Binomial Distribution ◽  
Negative Binomial ◽  
Financial Institution ◽  
Expected Value ◽  
Insurance Companies ◽  
Limited Data ◽  
Loss Distribution Approach ◽  
Potential Loss ◽  
The Impact

Operational risk is defined as the risk of loss resulting from inadequate or failed internal processes or external problems. Insurance companies as financial institution that also faced at risk. Recording of operating losses in insurance companies, were not properly conducted so that the impact on the limited data for operational losses. In this work, the data of operational loss observed from the payment of the claim. In general, the number of insurance claims can be modelled using the Poisson distribution, where the expected value of the claims is similar with variance, while the negative binomial distribution, the expected value was bound to be less than the variance.Analysis tools are used in the measurement of the potential loss is the loss distribution approach with the aggregate method. In the aggregate method, loss data grouped in a frequency distribution and severity distribution. After doing 10.000 times simulation are resulted total loss of claim value, which is total from individual claim every simulation. Then from the result was set the value of potential loss (OpVar) at a certain level confidence.

Cost management for concrete batch plant using stochastic mathematical models

2006 ◽  
Vol 33 (8) ◽  
pp. 1065-1074 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tarek M Zayed ◽  
Ibrahim A Nosair
Keyword(s):  
Mathematical Models ◽  
Production Efficiency ◽  
Cost Management ◽  
Unit Cost ◽  
Expected Value ◽  
Cost Models ◽  
Productivity Cost ◽  
Batch Plant ◽  
Factor Share ◽  
Construction Operation

Assessing productivity, cost, and delays are essential to manage any construction operation, particularly the concrete batch plant (CBP) operation. This paper focuses on assessing the above-mentioned items for the CBP using stochastic mathematical models. It aims at (i) identifying the potential sources of delay in the CBP operation; (ii) assessing their influence on production, efficiency, time, and cost; and (iii) determining each factor share in inflating the CBP concrete unit expense. Stochastic mathematical models were designed to accomplish the aforementioned objectives. Data were collected from five CBP sites in Indiana, USA, to implement and verify the designed models. Results show that delays due to management conditions have the highest probability of occurrence (0.43), expected value of delay percent (62.54% out of total delays), and relative delay percent. The expected value of efficiency for all plants is 86.53%; however, the average total expense is US$15.56/m3 (all currency are in US$). In addition, the expected value of effective expenses (EE) is $18.03/m3, resulting in extra expenses (XE) of $2.47/m3. This research is relevant to both industry practitioners and researchers. It develops models to determine the effect of delays on concrete unit cost. They are also beneficial to the CBP management.Key words: concrete batch plant, delays, management conditions, cost models, cost management, stochastic mathematical models.

scholarly journals Common coding of expected value and value uncertainty memories in the prefrontal cortex and basal ganglia output

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (20) ◽  
pp. eabe0693
Author(s):  
Ali Ghazizadeh ◽  
Okihide Hikosaka
Keyword(s):  
Prefrontal Cortex ◽  
Basal Ganglia ◽  
Cortical Neurons ◽  
Expected Value ◽  
Common Coding ◽  
Repetition Suppression ◽  
Free Viewing ◽  
Gaze Bias ◽  
Single Unit Recordings ◽  
Value Preferences

Recent evidence implicates both basal ganglia and ventrolateral prefrontal cortex (vlPFC) in encoding value memories. However, comparative roles of cortical and basal nodes in value memory are not well understood. Here, single-unit recordings in vlPFC and substantia nigra reticulata (SNr), within macaque monkeys, revealed a larger value signal in SNr that was nevertheless correlated with and had a comparable onset to the vlPFC value signal. The value signal was maintained for many objects (>90) many weeks after reward learning and was resistant to extinction in both regions and to repetition suppression in vlPFC. Both regions showed comparable granularity in encoding expected value and value uncertainty, which was paralleled by enhanced gaze bias during free viewing. The value signal dynamics in SNr could be predicted by combining responses of vlPFC neurons according to their value preferences consistent with a scheme in which cortical neurons reached SNr via direct and indirect pathways.

scholarly journals Mandatory annuitization and money's worth: evidence from Singapore

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-20
Author(s):  
Joelle H. Fong ◽  
Jackie Li
Keyword(s):  
Expected Value ◽  
Longevity Risk ◽  
Future Trends ◽  
The Past ◽  
The Future ◽  
Population Mortality ◽  
Mortality Improvement ◽  
Life Annuities ◽  
Compulsory Purchase ◽  
The Impact

Abstract This paper examines the impact of uncertainties in the future trends of mortality on annuity values in Singapore's compulsory purchase market. We document persistent population mortality improvement trends over the past few decades, which underscores the importance of longevity risk in this market. Using the money's worth framework, we find that the life annuities delivered expected payouts valued at 1.019–1.185 (0.973–1.170) per dollar of annuity premium for males (females). Even in a low mortality improvement scenario, the annuities provide an expected value exceeding 0.950. This suggests that participants in the national annuity pool have access to attractively priced annuities, regardless of sex, product, and premium invested.

The Price of Predictability: Estimating Inconsistency Premiums in Social Interactions

2021 ◽  
pp. 014616722199853
Author(s):  
Judith Gerten ◽  
Michael K. Zürn ◽  
Sascha Topolinski
Keyword(s):  
Risk Premium ◽  
Psychological Research ◽  
Expected Value ◽  
Decision Makers ◽  
Expected Returns ◽  
Expected Return ◽  
Total N ◽  
Financial Decision ◽  
Variance Risk ◽  
Risky Option

For financial decision-making, people trade off the expected value (return) and the variance (risk) of an option, preferring higher returns to lower ones and lower risks to higher ones. To make decision-makers indifferent between a risky and risk-free option, the expected value of the risky option must exceed the value of the risk-free option by a certain amount—the risk premium. Previous psychological research suggests that similar to risk aversion, people dislike inconsistency in an interaction partner’s behavior. In eight experiments (total N = 2,412) we pitted this inconsistency aversion against the expected returns from interacting with an inconsistent partner. We identified the additional expected return of interacting with an inconsistent partner that must be granted to make decision-makers prefer a more profitable, but inconsistent partner to a consistent, but less profitable one. We locate this inconsistency premium at around 31% of the expected value of the risk-free option.

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