scholarly journals Reconstruction of Caspian Sea-Level Fluctuations: Radiocarbon Dating Coastal and Bottom Deposits

Radiocarbon ◽  
1993 ◽  
Vol 35 (3) ◽  
pp. 409-420 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu. A. Karpytchev
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Salt Marshes ◽  
Caspian Sea ◽  
Climatic Changes ◽  
Short Term ◽  
The Caspian Sea ◽  
Sea Level Fluctuations ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Basin Area

Owing to the large basin area of the Caspian Sea, fluctuations in its level reflect climatic changes in the northern hemisphere. To reconstruct these fluctuations, I collected mollusk shells, plant debris, carbonates and organic matter samples for 14C dating from deposits of ancient salt marshes, depressions and bars formed during significant sea-level decline. I studied the impact of eolian sedimentation via parallel dating of carbonates and other materials. The data demonstrate that sea level rises during periods of cooling and falls during warming periods; this is true for both long-term (2–2.5 ka) and short-term climatic changes.

scholarly journals SCENARIO FORECASTS OF THE CASPIAN SEA FLUCTUATIONS IN THE LEVEL UNDER CLIMATIC AND MAN-MADE IMPACTS ON THE SEA WATER BALANCE

2019 ◽  
Vol 47 (5) ◽  
pp. 130-148 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. V. Frolov
Keyword(s):  
Water Balance ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Positive Feedback ◽  
Caspian Sea ◽  
Sea Water ◽  
Nonlinear Dependence ◽  
The Caspian Sea ◽  
Sea Level Fluctuations ◽  
Sea Area

The paper deal with the scenario method for predicting long-term fluctuations in the Caspian Sea level. The scenario forecasts are included: Model of the sea level fluctuations mechanism, Models of the main components of the sea water balance, Morphometric characteristics of sea, Dependence between the outflow of water into the Kara-Bogaz-Gol Bay and the sea level, Assessments of possible direct technogenic impacts on the sea water balance, for example, the withdrawals of water from the inflow into the sea. The Caspian Sea level long-term fluctuations are considered by us as the output process of a non-linear hydrological system. The mechanism of the Caspian level fluctuations contains two negative and one positive feedback. The dependences of the Caspian sea area and the outflow from the sea into the Kara-Bogaz-Gulf bay on the sea level form negative feedbacks. Positive feedback is formed by the nonlinear dependence of evaporation from the sea area on the sea level. Under certain conditions, the effect of this dependence can lead to the sea level bimodal probability distribution density. A necessary (but not sufficient) condition for bimodality is the absence of free seawater inflow from the sea into Kara-Bogaz-Gol. The results of scenario forecasts of the Caspian Sea level developed within the framework of the Caspian Federal Targeted Program (1994-95) are presented. The linear and nonlinear models of the sea level fluctuations used in scenario forecasts are discussed. Failure to take into account of any kind of the feedbacks leads to incorrect predictive estimates of the sea level fluctuations statistical characteristics.

Periodically forced self-organization in the long-term evolution of planktic foraminifera

2001 ◽  
Vol 38 (2) ◽  
pp. 293-308 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andreas Prokoph ◽  
Anthony D Fowler ◽  
R Timothy Patterson
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Logistic Map ◽  
Late Eocene ◽  
Self Organization ◽  
Extinction Data ◽  
Sea Level Fluctuations ◽  
Global Sea Level ◽  
Extinction Events ◽  
The Impact

Wavelet transform and other signal analysis techniques suggest that the planktic foraminiferal (PF) long-term evolutionary record of the last 127 Ma can be attributed to complex periodic and nonlinear patterns. Correlation of the PF extinction pattern with other geological series favors an origin of the ~30 Ma periodicity and self-organization by quasi-periodic mantle-plume cycles that in turn drive episodic volcanism, CO2-degassing, oceanic anoxic conditions, and sea-level fluctuations. Stationary ~30 Ma periodicity and a weak secular trend of ~100 Ma period are evident in the PF record, even without consideration of the mass extinction at the K–T boundary. The 27–32 Ma periodicity in the impact crater record and lows in the global sea-level curve, respectively, are ~6.5 Ma and ~2.3 Ma out of phase with PF-extinction data, although major PF-extinction events correspond to the bolide impacts at the K–T boundary and in late Eocene. Another six extinction events correspond to abrupt global sea-level falls between the late Albian and early Oligocene. Self-organization in the PF record is characterized by increased radiation rates after major extinction events and a steady number of baseline species. Our computer model of long-term PF evolution replicates this SO pattern. The model consists of output from the logistic map, which is forced at 30 Ma and 100 Ma frequencies. The model has significant correlations with the relative PF-extinction data. In particular, it replicates singularities, such as the K–T event, nonstationary 2.5–10 Ma periodicities, and phase shifts in the ~30 Ma periodicity of the PF record.

scholarly journals An introduction to causes and consequences of Cretaceous sea-level changes (IGCP 609)

2019 ◽  
Vol 498 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael Wagreich ◽  
Benjamin Sames ◽  
Malcolm Hart ◽  
Ismail O. Yilmaz
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Sea Level Changes ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Sea Level Fluctuations ◽  
Groundwater Aquifer ◽  
Sea Level Oscillations ◽  
Short And Long Term ◽  
Geological Timescale ◽  
Land Water

AbstractThe International Geoscience Programme Project IGCP 609 addressed correlation, causes and consequences of short-term sea-level fluctuations during the Cretaceous. Processes causing several ka to several Ma (third- to fourth-order) sea-level oscillations during the Cretaceous are so far poorly understood. IGCP 609 proved the existence of sea-level cycles during potential ice sheet-free greenhouse to hothouse climate phases. These sea-level fluctuations were most probably controlled by aquifer-eustasy that is altering land-water storage owing to groundwater aquifer charge and discharge. The project investigated Cretaceous sea-level cycles in detail in order to differentiate and quantify both short- and long-term records based on orbital cyclicity. High-resolution sea-level records were correlated to the geological timescale resulting in a hierarchy of sea-level cycles in the longer Milankovitch band, especially in the 100 ka, 405 ka, 1.2 Ma and 2.4 Ma range. The relation of sea-level highs and lows to palaeoclimate events, palaeoenvironments and biota was also investigated using multiproxy studies. For a hothouse Earth such as the mid-Cretaceous, humid–arid climate cycles controlling groundwater-related sea-level change were evidenced by stable isotope data, correlation to continental lake-level records and humid–arid weathering cycles.

scholarly journals Impact of the European Russia drought in 2010 on the Caspian Sea level

2012 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 19-27 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. Arpe ◽  
S. A. G. Leroy ◽  
H. Lahijani ◽  
V. Khan
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Caspian Sea ◽  
Analysis Data ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
European Russia ◽  
Severe Drought ◽  
The Caspian Sea ◽  
Volga River ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. The hydrological budgets of the Volga basin (VB) and the Caspian Sea (CS) have been analysed. The components of the water balance for the CS were calculated for the period 1993 to 2010 with emphasis on summer 2010 when a severe drought developed over European Russia. A drop in precipitation over the VB in July 2010 occurs simultaneously with a decrease in evaporation for the same area, an increase of evaporation over the CS itself and a drop of the Caspian Sea level (CSL). The drop in the precipitation over the VB cannot lead to an instantaneous drop of the CSL because the precipitated water needs some months to reach the CS. The delay is estimated here to be 1 to 3 months for excessive precipitation in summer, longer for deficient precipitation and for winter cases. However, the evaporation over the CS itself is considered to be responsible for a simultaneous drop of the CSL from July to September 2010. The impact on the CSL from the precipitation deficit over the VB occurs in the months following the drought. The water deficit from July to September 2010 calculated from the anomalous precipitation minus evaporation over the VB would decrease the CSL by 22 cm, of which only 2 cm had been observed until the end of September (observed Volga River discharge anomaly). So the remaining drop of 20 cm can be expected in the months to follow if no other anomalies happen. In previous studies the precipitation over the VB has been identified as the main cause for CSL changes, but here from a 10 cm drop from beginning of July to end of September, 6 cm can be directly assigned to the enhanced evaporation over the CS itself and 2 cm due to reduced precipitation over the CS. Further periods with strong changes of the CSL are also investigated, which provide some estimates concerning the accuracy of the analysis data. The investigation was possible due to the new ECMWF interim reanalysis data which are used to provide data also for sensitive quantities like surface evaporation and precipitation. The comparison with independent data and the consistency between such data for calculating the water budget over the CS gives a high confidence in the quality of the data used. This investigation provides some scope for making forecasts of the CSL few months ahead to allow for mitigating societal impacts.

scholarly journals <i>Lingulodinium machaerophorum</i> expansion over the last centuries in the Caspian Sea reflects global warming

2012 ◽  
Vol 9 (11) ◽  
pp. 16663-16704
Author(s):  
S. A. G. Leroy ◽  
H. A. K. Lahijani ◽  
J.-L. Reyss ◽  
F. Chalié ◽  
S. Haghani ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Caspian Sea ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Sediment Cores ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
Sea Level Changes ◽  
The Caspian Sea ◽  
Sea Level Fluctuations ◽  
Marine Surface ◽  
A Minor

Abstract. We analysed dinoflagellate cyst assemblages in four short sediment cores, two of them dated by radionuclides, taken in the south basin of the Caspian Sea. The interpretation of the four sequences is supported by a collection of 27 lagoonal or marine surface sediment samples. A sharp increase in the biomass of the dinocyst occurs after 1967, especially owing to Lingulodinium machaerophorum. Considering nine other cores covering parts or the whole of Holocene, this species started to develop in the Caspian Sea only during the last three millennia. By analysing instrumental data and collating existing reconstructions of sea level changes over the last few millennia, we show that the main forcing of the increase of L. machaerophorum percentages and of the recent dinocyst abundance is global climate change, especially sea surface temperature increase. Sea level fluctuations likely have a minor impact. We argue that the Caspian Sea has entered the Anthropocene.

scholarly journals Results of sea level studies at RSHU

2020 ◽  
pp. 269-305
Author(s):  
V.N. Malinin ◽  
S.M. Gordeeva ◽  
Yu.V. Mitina ◽  
O.I. Shevchuk
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Caspian Sea ◽  
World Ocean ◽  
Volga Basin ◽  
Cyclonic Activity ◽  
The Caspian Sea ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic

Study of sea level is being developed at RSHU in several directions: global, regional and local. The global one includes the study of the patterns of interannual fluctuations of the global sea level (GLS), identification of their genesis and development of a set of methods for its long-term forecast. Two approaches to the genesis of GLS are considered. In foreign studies, changes in GLS are determined by changes in the water mass of various cryosphere components, land water reserves and steric level fluctuations. Another approach, implemented at RSHU, is to assess contributions of various factors using the equation of the freshwater balance of the World Ocean as the sum of eustatic and steric factors. A physical-statistical method for two-decade GLS forecasting, based on delay in the GLS response to air temperature over the ocean, has been developed, as well as the GLS projections at the end of the century for climatic scenarios according to the CMIP5 project have been provided. In the regional context, the main attention is paid to identifying the genesis of the interannual variability of the Caspian Sea level with the aim of its long-term forecasting. The entire chain of cause-and-effect relationships in the North Atlantic-atmosphere-Volga basin-Caspian level system is discussed. It has been established that, as a result of the intensification of cyclonic activity in the North Atlantic, especially in the Norwegian Sea, caused by the processes of large-scale interaction between the ocean and the atmosphere, there is an increase in evaporation and in the zonal transfer of water vapour to Europe and then to the Volga basin. Therefore, more precipitation falls in the runoff-forming zone of the basin, the annual runoff of the Volga and the level of the Caspian Sea increasing. The reverse is observed with weakening of cyclonic activity in the North Atlantic. In view of this, the level of the Caspian Sea is an integral indicator of largescale moisture exchange in the ocean-atmosphere-land system. The article discusses the features of interannual sea level fluctuations in Kronstadt since 1836. A simple two-parameter model for forecasting sea level by the end of the 21st century is proposed for major climate scenarios, the predictors being the GSL and the North Atlantic Oscillation. According to the most realistic forecast, the level in Kronstadt may rise to 34-59 cm (Baltic system) by the end of the century, while according to the “pessimistic” one — to 80-90 cm (Baltic system). The estimates of the extreme storm surge at which the level rise north of the Gorskaya can reach 600 cm (Baltic system) are given. The effect of flooding from storm surges is especially strong near Sestroretsk. The total area of possible flooding of the Kurortny district at a 4-m high surge wave exceeds 1260 hectares, all the beaches being completely lost. The trajectories of flood cyclones and their role for periods of climate warming and cooling are considered

scholarly journals Long-term invasion dynamics of Spartina increase vegetation diversity and geomorphological resistance of salt marshes against sea level rise

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dirk Granse ◽  
Sigrid Suchrow ◽  
Kai Jensen
Keyword(s):  
Salt Marsh ◽  
Species Diversity ◽  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Salt Marshes ◽  
High Marsh ◽  
Marsh Vegetation ◽  
Vegetation Diversity ◽  
The Impact

AbstractThe cordgrass Spartina anglica C.E. Hubbard (Poaceae) is an invasive transformer in many salt marsh ecosystems worldwide. Relatively little is known about the capacity of Spartina to accelerate salt marsh succession and to protect salt marshes against sea level rise. We analyzed long-term changes in vegetation and elevation in mainland salt marshes of the European Wadden Sea in Schleswig-Holstein, Germany, to estimate the impact of non-native Spartina on the geomorphological resistance of salt marshes to sea level rise and on changes in species diversity. From 1989 to 2019, the Spartina-zone shifted and expanded upwards to elevations of the high marsh zone and Spartina increased in frequency in several salt marsh vegetation communities. At sites where Spartina dominated the vegetation already three decades ago, elevation and species diversity increased with a higher rate compared to sites lacking Spartina. The median change rates reached for elevation MHT +8.6 versus +1.5 mm per year, for species richness +3 versus $$\pm$$ ± 0 species per three decades, and for evenness +0.04 versus −0.08 per three decades, regarding plots with versus without former Spartina dominance, respectively. Invasion of salt marshes by Spartina and its continued, long-term presence were associated with increased elevation and species diversity in the face of sea level rise.

CHANGES IN BACKGROUND CONCENTRATIONS OF METALS IN THE SEDIMENTS OF MARSH-LAGOON LANDSCAPES OF THE WESTERN CASPIAN

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maria Kasatenkova ◽  
Maria Kasatenkova ◽  
Nicolay Kasimov ◽  
Nicolay Kasimov ◽  
Mihail Lychagin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Salt Marshes ◽  
Background Concentrations ◽  
The Caspian Sea ◽  
Sea Level Fluctuations ◽  
Reducing Conditions ◽  
Environmental Transformation ◽  
Migration Of Elements ◽  
Persistent Anomalies ◽  
Variable Valency

The last 1978-1995 transgression of the Caspian Sea caused the development of marsh-lagoon system along the Western Caspian seashore. Due to salt marshes are very vulnerable to sea-level fluctuations, complex and dynamic system, they may be considered as a regional model of rapid environmental transformation. Changing conditions of migration in the soils of marsh-lagoon landscapes during the sea-level rise influenced on the migration of elements of variable valency, primarily Fe and Mn, but also Zn, Cu, Pb, Ni, Co, leading to their mobilization in slightly alkaline and neutral reducing conditions and subsequent deposition on the geochemical barriers. That led to the emergence of landscape-geochemical anomalies of Fe and heavy metals in the soils of salt marshes with a characteristic time of formation of any persistent anomalies during 5-10 years.

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