scholarly journals THE COST OF FORWARD CONTRACTING IN THE CIF NOLA EXPORT BID MARKET

2019 ◽  
Vol 51 (1) ◽  
pp. 164-181 ◽  
Author(s):  
ANDREW M. MCKENZIE ◽  
BRADLEY J. ISBELL ◽  
B. WADE BRORSEN
Keyword(s):  
Risk Premium ◽  
Futures Market ◽  
Market Analysis ◽  
Forward Contracts ◽  
Market Participants ◽  
Forward Market ◽  
Contractual Obligations ◽  
The Cost ◽  
Forward Contracting

AbstractThe CIF NOLA “river market” represents an important but opaque forward market that serves Gulf exporters and elevators. CIF NOLA bids function similarly to traditional forward contracts; however, like a futures market, firms can offset their forward contractual obligations by offsetting positions in a liquid off-exchange paper market. Analysis shows grain sellers pay a risk premium for fall harvest delivery contracts. However, outside of fall harvest, contract liquidity, coupled with a good institutional balance of long and short market participants, mostly removes the pricing bias commonly found in farmer forward contracting in corn and soybeans.

scholarly journals Empirical Evidence on Time-Varying Hedging Effectiveness of Emissions Allowances under Departures from the Cost-of-Carry Theory

2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kai Chang
Keyword(s):  
Futures Market ◽  
Time Varying ◽  
Conditional Volatility ◽  
Conditional Correlation ◽  
Spot Prices ◽  
Market Participants ◽  
Hedging Effectiveness ◽  
Hedge Ratios ◽  
Cost Of Carry ◽  
The Cost

Under departures from the cost-of-carry theory, traded spot prices and conditional volatility disturbed from futures market have significant impacts on futures price of emissions allowances, and then we propose time-varying hedge ratios and hedging effectiveness estimation using ECM-GARCH model. Our empirical results show that conditional variance, conditional covariance, and their correlation between between spot and futures prices exhibit time-varying trends. Conditional volatility of spot prices, conditional volatility disturbed from futures market, and conditional correlation of market noises implied from spot and futures markets have significant effects on time-varying hedge ratios and hedging effectiveness. In the immature emissions allowances market, market participants optimize portfolio sizes between spot and futures assets using historical market information and then achieve higher risk reduction of assets portfolio revenues; accordingly, we can obtain better hedging effectiveness through time-varying hedge ratios with departures from the cost-of-carry theory.

The Optimal Wheat Futures Hedge at the Euronext Paris from a Farmer’s Perspective

2020 ◽  
Vol 69 (1) ◽  
pp. 49-63
Author(s):  
Teresa Vollmer
Keyword(s):  
Commodity Prices ◽  
Futures Market ◽  
Futures Contracts ◽  
Risk Minimization ◽  
Price Shocks ◽  
Market Participants ◽  
Hedge Ratios ◽  
Optimal Dynamic ◽  
One Year ◽  
The Cost

Futures contracts are extensively used by commer-cial market participants to hedge commodities against the risk of adverse price fluctuations. But although farmers have faced increased volatility in commodity prices in recent years, only very few of them actively use hedging as a risk management instrument. In this article we analyze the hedging potential of the Euronext milling wheat futures market for German farmers based on the estimation of optimal static as well as optimal dynamic hedge ratios. We find that both hedging approximately one year and half a year before harvesting leads to a reduction in the variance of returns compared with unhedged portfolios. But this risk minimization is achieved at the cost of lower returns on average. In addition we find that margin calls might be one of the reasons why so few farmers hedge since they cause liquidity problems especially in marketing years with unanticipated price shocks.

The Mismatch between Expectations and Realities of AS4 Audits: A Post-Implementation Research Analysis

2017 ◽  
Vol 37 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-19 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sanaz Aghazadeh ◽  
Marietta Peytcheva
Keyword(s):  
Implementation Research ◽  
Risk Premium ◽  
Cost Benefit ◽  
Multiple Methods ◽  
Material Weakness ◽  
Key Stakeholders ◽  
Auditing Standards ◽  
Equilibrium Market ◽  
The Cost ◽  
Research Analysis

SUMMARY We conduct a post-implementation research analysis of AS4, a standard guiding voluntary audits of material weakness (MW) remediation disclosures, to understand the reasons for the scarcity of AS4 audits in practice. We use multiple methods (experiments, comment letter analysis, and surveys) to understand the perspectives of key stakeholders. We find that regulators' expectations of the use of the standard did not come to fruition because an equilibrium market for active use of the standard could not be achieved; that managers desire to engage in AS4 audits for the riskier MWs but do not expect the associated costs to be high; and that auditors are reluctant to audit riskier MWs and would charge a considerable risk premium. Finally, we find that investors value AS4 audits, especially for riskier MWs, and find value in an AS4 audit for those risky MWs beyond that of the year-end audit. The overall findings of our study indicate that a mismatch in the cost-benefit functions of the key stakeholders led to a lack of AS4 audits. Our findings are important given the high costs associated with auditing standards development and approval.

Relationship-Specificity, Contract Enforceability, and Income Smoothing

2013 ◽  
Vol 88 (5) ◽  
pp. 1629-1656 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yiwei Dou ◽  
Ole-Kristian Hope ◽  
Wayne B. Thomas
Keyword(s):  
Incomplete Contracts ◽  
Optimal Investment ◽  
Income Smoothing ◽  
Additional Risk ◽  
Specific Investment ◽  
Specific Investments ◽  
Contractual Obligations ◽  
The Cost ◽  
The Relationship

ABSTRACT: Contracting parties, such as the firm and its supplier, have cost-reducing incentives to make investments that support the unique transactions between them. However, to the extent that one party may renege on its contractual obligations, the other party incurring the cost of the relationship-specific investment bears additional risk and is less willing to invest such that sub-optimal investment occurs. In countries where enforceability of explicit contracts is particularly weak, parties have incentives to signal their willingness to fulfill implicit claims and maintain long-term relationships. We predict that firms engage in income smoothing to send such a signal to their suppliers. Consistent with these expectations, we find that firms that both reside in countries with weak contract enforceability and operate in industries with a greater need for relationship-specific investments tend to smooth reported income more. We further decompose income smoothing into “informational” and “garbled” components and find that results are driven by the informational component of income smoothing. Our results support the important role that accruals play in providing information in the presence of incomplete contracts. JEL Classifications: F14, K12, L14, M41, M43

scholarly journals Analysis of the risk premium in the forward market for salmon

2020 ◽  
pp. 100122
Author(s):  
Fred Espen Benth ◽  
Anne Maria Eikeset ◽  
Simon Asher Levin ◽  
Wanjuan Ren
Keyword(s):  
Risk Premium ◽  
Forward Market

Renting Balance Sheet Space: Intermediary Balance Sheet Rental Costs and the Valuation of Derivatives

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (11) ◽  
pp. 5051-5091 ◽  
Author(s):  
Matthias Fleckenstein ◽  
Francis A Longstaff
Keyword(s):  
Asset Pricing ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Balance Sheet ◽  
Futures Market ◽  
The Other ◽  
Capital Regulation ◽  
Debt Overhang ◽  
Interest Rate Futures ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Cost

Abstract A long-standing asset pricing puzzle is that the funding rates in derivatives contracts often differ from those in cash markets. We propose that the cost of renting intermediary balance sheet space may help resolve this puzzle. We study a persistent basis in what is arguably the largest derivatives market, namely, the interest rate futures market. This basis is strongly related to exogenous measures of intermediary balance sheet usage and proxies for the balance sheet costs imposed by debt overhang problems and capital regulation. These results extend to the cash derivatives bases documented in many of the other largest financial markets.

scholarly journals Research on Risk Control under the Background of Electricity Futures Market

2020 ◽  
Vol 165 ◽  
pp. 06032
Author(s):  
Suyuan Chang ◽  
Dunnan Liu ◽  
Xiaoyu Li
Keyword(s):  
Electricity Market ◽  
Effective Means ◽  
Futures Market ◽  
Spot Price ◽  
Price Difference ◽  
Forward Contracts ◽  
Hedging Strategies ◽  
Futures Hedging ◽  
The Difference ◽  
Market Factors

In the process of electricity marketization, the electricity futures market is an effective means to avoid the risk of electricity price fluctuations. Based on the background of the electricity futures market, this article first analyzes the physical and market factors of the price fluctuation risk in the electricity market; then, it studies the principle and implementation effects of the power futures hedging function; finally, the manufacturer’s strategy of hedging based on the price difference between the spot price of electricity and the price of forward contracts has been studied in detail. This article believes that the electricity futures market can effectively hedge the spot market risk, and hedging strategies based on the difference between the spot price and the forward price are better.

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