Short-term traffic flow rate forecasting based on identifying similar traffic patterns

2016 ◽  
Vol 66 ◽  
pp. 61-78 ◽  
Author(s):  
Filmon G. Habtemichael ◽  
Mecit Cetin
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Flow Rate ◽  
Traffic Patterns ◽  
Short Term

scholarly journals Formation of the Traffic Flow Rate under the Influence of Traffic Flow Concentration in Time at Controlled Intersections in Tyumen, Russian Federation

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (15) ◽  
pp. 8324
Author(s):  
Viacheslav Morozov ◽  
Sergei Iarkov
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Flow Rate ◽  
Traffic Congestion ◽  
Traffic Management ◽  
System Analysis ◽  
Motor Vehicle ◽  
Experimental Studies ◽  
Transport Systems ◽  
Experiment Planning ◽  
Traffic Light

Present experience shows that it is impossible to solve the problem of traffic congestion without intelligent transport systems. Traffic management in many cities uses the data of detectors installed at controlled intersections. Further, to assess the traffic situation, the data on the traffic flow rate and its concentration are compared. Latest scientific studies propose a transition from spatial to temporal concentration. Therefore, the purpose of this work is to establish the regularities of the influence of traffic flow concentration in time on traffic flow rate at controlled city intersections. The methodological basis of this study was a systemic approach. Theoretical and experimental studies were based on the existing provisions of system analysis, traffic flow theory, experiment planning, impulses, probabilities, and mathematical statistics. Experimental data were obtained and processed using modern equipment and software: Traficam video detectors, SPECTR traffic light controller, Traficam Data Tool, SPECTR 2.0, AutoCad 2017, and STATISTICA 10. In the course of this study, the authors analyzed the dynamics of changes in the level of motorization, the structure of the motor vehicle fleet, and the dynamics of changes in the number of controlled intersections. As a result of theoretical studies, a hypothesis was put forward that the investigated process is described by a two-factor quadratic multiplicative model. Experimental studies determined the parameters of the developed model depending on the directions of traffic flow, and confirmed its adequacy according to Fisher’s criterion with a probability of at least 0.9. The results obtained can be used to control traffic flows at controlled city intersections.

scholarly journals Research on the impact of ship traffic flow on the restricted channel segment of the middle Yangtze River based on traffic wave theory

2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (8) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ting Liu ◽  
Gabriel Lodewijks
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Flow Rate ◽  
Flow Simulation ◽  
Wave Theory ◽  
Flow Density ◽  
List Type ◽  
Ship Traffic ◽  
Traffic Wave ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Channel Segment

Abstract Abstract On the basis of the influence of dry season on ship traffic flow, the gathering and dissipating process of ship traffic flow was researched with Greenshields linear flow—density relationship model, the intrinsic relationship between the ship traffic congestion state and traffic wave in the unclosed restricted channel segment was emphatically explored when the ship traffic flow in a tributary channel inflows, and the influence law of multiple traffic waves on the ship traffic flow characteristics in unclosed restricted segment is revealed. On this basis, the expressions of traffic wave speed and direction, dissipation time of queued ships and the number of ships affected were provided, and combined with Monte Carlo method, the ship traffic flow simulation model in the restricted channel segment was built. The simulation results show that in closed restricted channel segment the dissipation time of ships queued is mainly related to the ship traffic flow rate of segments A and C, and the total number of ships affected to the ship traffic flow rate of segment A. And in unclosed restricted channel segment, the dissipation time and the total number of ships affected are also determined by the meeting time of the traffic waves in addition to the ship traffic flow rate of segments. The research results can provide the theoretical support for further studying the ship traffic flow in unclosed restricted channel segment with multiple tributaries Article Highlights The inflow of tributaries' ship traffic flows has an obvious impact on the traffic conditions in the unenclosed restricted channel segment. The interaction and influence between multiple ship traffic waves and the mechanism of generating new traffic waves are explained. The expression of both dissipation time of queued ships and the total number of ships affected in the closed and unclosed restricted channel segment are given.

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