Periodic solution for a stochastic nonautonomous SIR epidemic model with logistic growth

2016 ◽  
Vol 462 ◽  
pp. 816-826 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qun Liu ◽  
Daqing Jiang ◽  
Ningzhong Shi ◽  
Tasawar Hayat ◽  
Ahmed Alsaedi
Keyword(s):  
Periodic Solution ◽  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Logistic Growth ◽  
Sir Epidemic Model ◽  
Sir Epidemic

scholarly journals Stability and Hopf Bifurcation for a Delayed SIR Epidemic Model with Logistic Growth

2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yakui Xue ◽  
Tiantian Li
Keyword(s):  
Incidence Rate ◽  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Threshold Value ◽  
Endemic Equilibrium ◽  
Logistic Growth ◽  
Global Dynamics ◽  
Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Sir Epidemic Model ◽  
Globally Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Sir Epidemic

We study a delayed SIR epidemic model and get the threshold value which determines the global dynamics and outcome of the disease. First of all, for anyτ, we show that the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable; whenR0<1, the disease will die out. Directly afterwards, we prove that the endemic equilibrium is locally asymptotically stable for anyτ=0; whenR0>1, the disease will persist. However, for anyτ≠0, the existence conditions for Hopf bifurcations at the endemic equilibrium are obtained. Besides, we compare the delayed SIR epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate to the one with bilinear incidence rate. At last, numerical simulations are performed to illustrate and verify the conclusions.

scholarly journals Dynamical Analysis of SIR Epidemic Model with Nonlinear Pulse Vaccination and Lifelong Immunity

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wencai Zhao ◽  
Juan Li ◽  
Xinzhu Meng
Keyword(s):  
Periodic Solution ◽  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Fixed Point Theory ◽  
Positive Periodic Solution ◽  
Point Theory ◽  
Dynamical Analysis ◽  
Sir Epidemic Model ◽  
Pulse Vaccination ◽  
Sir Epidemic ◽  
Disease Free

SIR epidemic model with nonlinear pulse vaccination and lifelong immunity is proposed. Due to the limited medical resources, vaccine immunization rate is considered as a nonlinear saturation function. Firstly, by using stroboscopic map and fixed point theory of difference equations, the existence of disease-free periodic solution is discussed, and the globally asymptotical stability of disease-free periodic solution is proven by using Floquet multiplier theory and differential impulsive comparison theorem. Moreover, by using the bifurcation theorem, sufficient condition for the existence of positive periodic solution is obtained by choosing impulsive vaccination period as a bifurcation parameter. Lastly, some simulations are given to validate the theoretical results.

scholarly journals Analysis of an SIR Epidemic Model with Pulse Vaccination and Distributed Time Delay

2007 ◽  
Vol 2007 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shujing Gao ◽  
Zhidong Teng ◽  
Juan J. Nieto ◽  
Angela Torres
Keyword(s):  
Periodic Solution ◽  
Time Delay ◽  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Discrete Dynamical System ◽  
Vaccination Rate ◽  
Sir Epidemic Model ◽  
Pulse Vaccination ◽  
Sir Epidemic ◽  
Distributed Time Delay ◽  
Large Pulse

Pulse vaccination, the repeated application of vaccine over a defined age range, is gaining prominence as an effective strategy for the elimination of infectious diseases. An SIR epidemic model with pulse vaccination and distributed time delay is proposed in this paper. Using the discrete dynamical system determined by the stroboscopic map, we obtain the exact infection-free periodic solution of the impulsive epidemic system and prove that the infection-free periodic solution is globally attractive if the vaccination rate is larger enough. Moreover, we show that the disease is uniformly persistent if the vaccination rate is less than some critical value. The permanence of the model is investigated analytically. Our results indicate that a large pulse vaccination rate is sufficient for the eradication of the disease.

A MATHEMATICAL DESCRIPTION OF THE CRITICAL POINT IN PHASE TRANSITIONS

2013 ◽  
Vol 24 (10) ◽  
pp. 1350065 ◽  
Author(s):  
AYSE HUMEYRA BILGE ◽  
ONDER PEKCAN
Keyword(s):  
Phase Transition ◽  
Critical Point ◽  
Growth Curve ◽  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Sir Model ◽  
Transition Curve ◽  
Logistic Growth ◽  
Sir Epidemic Model ◽  
Sir Epidemic ◽  
Sigmoidal Curve

Let y(x) be a smooth sigmoidal curve, y(n) be its nth derivative and {xm,i} and {xa,i}, i = 1,2,…, be the set of points where respectively the derivatives of odd and even order reach their extreme values. We argue that if the sigmoidal curve y(x) represents a phase transition, then the sequences {xm,i} and {xa,i} are both convergent and they have a common limit xc that we characterize as the critical point of the phase transition. In this study, we examine the logistic growth curve and the Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) epidemic model as typical examples of symmetrical and asymmetrical transition curves. Numerical computations indicate that the critical point of the logistic growth curve that is symmetrical about the point (x0, y0) is always the point (x0, y0) but the critical point of the asymmetrical SIR model depends on the system parameters. We use the description of the sol–gel phase transition of polyacrylamide-sodium alginate (SA) composite (with low SA concentrations) in terms of the SIR epidemic model, to compare the location of the critical point as described above with the "gel point" determined by independent experiments. We show that the critical point tc is located in between the zero of the third derivative ta and the inflection point tm of the transition curve and as the strength of activation (measured by the parameter k/η of the SIR model) increases, the phase transition occurs earlier in time and the critical point, tc, moves toward ta.

scholarly journals The Dynamics of the Pulse Birth in an SIR Epidemic Model with Standard Incidence

2009 ◽  
Vol 2009 ◽  
pp. 1-18
Author(s):  
Juping Zhang ◽  
Zhen Jin ◽  
Yakui Xue ◽  
Youwen Li
Keyword(s):  
Periodic Solution ◽  
Numerical Simulations ◽  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Basic Reproductive Number ◽  
Reproductive Number ◽  
Asymptotically Stable ◽  
Sir Epidemic Model ◽  
Sir Epidemic ◽  
Theoretical Results

An SIR epidemic model with pulse birth and standard incidence is presented. The dynamics of the epidemic model is analyzed. The basic reproductive numberR∗is defined. It is proved that the infection-free periodic solution is global asymptotically stable ifR∗<1. The infection-free periodic solution is unstable and the disease is uniform persistent ifR∗>1. Our theoretical results are confirmed by numerical simulations.

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