The Future History of Long Term Care

2007 ◽  
Vol 8 (9) ◽  
pp. 553-556 ◽  
Author(s):  
John E. Morley
1989 ◽  
Vol 14 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 3-18 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carter Catlett Williams
Keyword(s):  

Gerontology ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 1-5
Author(s):  
Joël Belmin ◽  
Pierre Lutzler ◽  
Patrick Hidoux ◽  
Olivier Drunat ◽  
Carmelo Lafuente-Lafuente ◽  
...  

<b><i>Background:</i></b> Long-term care facilities (LTCFs) experienced severe burden from the Coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19), and vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 is a major issue for their residents. <b><i>Objective:</i></b> The objective of this study was to estimate the vaccination coverage rate among the residents of French LTCFs. <b><i>Method:</i></b> Participants and settings: 53 medical coordinators surveyed 73 LTCFs during the first-dose vaccination campaign using the BNT162b2 vaccine, conducted by health authorities in January and early February 2021. Measurements: in all the residents being in the LTCF at the beginning of the campaign, investigators recorded age, sex, history of clinical or asymptomatic COVID-19, serology for SARS-CoV-2 or severe allergy, current end-of-life situation, infectious or acute disease, refusal of vaccination by the resident or by the representative person of vaccine, and the final status, vaccinated or not. <b><i>Results:</i></b> Among the 4,808 residents, the average coverage rate for COVID-19 vaccination was 69%, and 46% of the LTCFs had a coverage rate &#x3c;70%. Among unvaccinated residents, we observed more frequently a history of COVID-19 or a positive serology for SARS-CoV-2 (44.6 vs. 11.2% among vaccinated residents, <i>p</i> &#x3c; 0.001), a history of severe allergy (3.7 vs. 0.1%, <i>p</i> &#x3c; 0.001), end-of-life situation (4.9 vs. 0.3%, <i>p</i> &#x3c; 0.001), current infectious or acute illness (19.6 vs. 0.3%, <i>p</i> &#x3c; 0.001), and refusal of vaccination by residents or representative persons (38.9 vs. 0.4%, <i>p</i> &#x3c; 0.001). <b><i>Conclusions:</i></b> About 3 out of 10 residents remained unvaccinated, and half of the LTCFs had a coverage rate &#x3c;70%. This suggests that COVID-19 will remain a threat to many LTCFs after the vaccination campaigns.


2017 ◽  
pp. 103-110
Author(s):  
Peter J. Whitehouse
Keyword(s):  

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (13) ◽  
pp. 3530 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaocang Xu ◽  
Linhong Chen

The aging population in China highlights the significance of elderly long-term care (LTC) services. The number of people aged 65 and above increased from 96 million in 2003 to 150 million in 2016, some of whom were disabled due to chronic diseases or the natural effects of aging on bodily functions. Therefore, the measurement of future LTC costs is of crucial value. Following the basic framework but using different empirical methods from those presented in previous literature, this paper attempts to use the Bayesian quantile regression (BQR) method, which has many advantages over traditional linear regression. Another innovation consists of setting and measuring the high, middle, and low levels of LTC cost prediction for each disability state among the elderly in 2020–2050. Our projections suggest that by 2020, LTC costs will increase to median values of 39.46, 8.98, and 20.25 billion dollars for mild, moderate, and severe disabilities, respectively; these numbers will reach 141.7, 32.28, and 72.78 billion dollars by 2050. The median level of daily life care for mild, moderate, and severe disabilities will increase to 26.23, 6.36, and 27 billion dollars. Our results showed that future LTC cost increases will be enormous, and therefore, the establishment of a reasonable individual-social-government payment mechanism is necessary for the LTC system. The future design of an LTCI system must take into account a variety of factors, including the future elderly population, different care conditions, the financial burden of the government, etc., in order to maintain the sustainable development of the LTC system.


2001 ◽  
Vol 79 (2) ◽  
pp. 207-252 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joshua M. Wiener ◽  
Carroll L. Estes ◽  
Susan M. Goldenson ◽  
Sheryl C. Goldberg

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