A simulation model to explore the response of the Gulf of Maine food web to large-scale environmental and ecological changes

2009 ◽  
Vol 220 (19) ◽  
pp. 2491-2502 ◽  
Author(s):  
William Overholtz ◽  
Jason Link
Keyword(s):  
Simulation Model ◽  
Food Web ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Gulf Of Maine ◽  
Ecological Changes

scholarly journals PEDRERA. Positive Energy District Renovation Model for Large Scale Actions

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (10) ◽  
pp. 2833
Author(s):  
Paolo Civiero ◽  
Jordi Pascual ◽  
Joaquim Arcas Abella ◽  
Ander Bilbao Figuero ◽  
Jaume Salom
Keyword(s):  
Simulation Model ◽  
Performance Indicators ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Key Performance Indicators ◽  
Positive Energy ◽  
Design Phase ◽  
Multiple Sources ◽  
Reliable Prediction ◽  
Sensitive Analysis ◽  
Web Platform

In this paper, we provide a view of the ongoing PEDRERA project, whose main scope is to design a district simulation model able to set and analyze a reliable prediction of potential business scenarios on large scale retrofitting actions, and to evaluate the overall co-benefits resulting from the renovation process of a cluster of buildings. According to this purpose and to a Positive Energy Districts (PEDs) approach, the model combines systemized data—at both building and district scale—from multiple sources and domains. A sensitive analysis of 200 scenarios provided a quick perception on how results will change once inputs are defined, and how attended results will answer to stakeholders’ requirements. In order to enable a clever input analysis and to appraise wide-ranging ranks of Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) suited to each stakeholder and design phase targets, the model is currently under the implementation in the urbanZEB tool’s web platform.

scholarly journals Atlantic puffin diet reflects haddock and redfish abundance in the Gulf of Maine

2020 ◽  
Vol 656 ◽  
pp. 75-87
Author(s):  
KM Depot ◽  
LC Scopel ◽  
SW Kress ◽  
P Shannon ◽  
AW Diamond ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Fisheries Management ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Gulf Of Maine ◽  
Strong Predictor ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Melanogrammus Aeglefinus ◽  
Generalist Predator ◽  
Successful Implementation ◽  
Ecosystem Based Fisheries Management ◽  
Atlantic Puffin

Ecosystem-based fisheries management, which considers the interactions between fisheries, target species, and the physical and biological components of ecosystems, is necessary to ensure that directed fisheries avoid adverse impacts to ecosystems over the long term. The successful implementation of ecosystem-based fisheries management requires an understanding of predator-prey relationships and ways to operationalize such relationships to inform fisheries management. Here, we investigated if the diet of a generalist predator, Atlantic puffin Fratercula arctica, can be used as an indicator of the abundance of 2 commercially exploited prey species (haddock Melanogrammus aeglefinus and Acadian redfish Sebastes fasciatus) in the Gulf of Maine. Because haddock and redfish eaten by puffins are juveniles (age 0), there is potential to use their proportions and lengths in puffin diet to better understand the processes influencing haddock and redfish recruitment. By using principal component analysis to develop measures of diet across multiple puffin colonies, we show both spatial variation and large-scale patterns in the proportions and lengths of haddock and redfish in puffin diet. Spawning stock biomass was a strong predictor of haddock proportion in puffin diet and a moderate predictor of redfish proportion; however, proportions in puffin diet did not predict age-1 recruitment, suggesting that variation in recruitment is caused by processes that occur after the puffin breeding season and which affect the survival of older juveniles. Haddock length on one colony was a moderate predictor of age-1 recruitment. We conclude that puffin diet can be used as an indicator of haddock and redfish abundance.

scholarly journals ACCESS TIME OF EMERGENCY VEHICLES UNDER THE CONDITION OF STREET BLOCKAGES AFTER A LARGE EARTHQUAKE

2016 ◽  
Vol III-4/W1 ◽  
pp. 37-44
Author(s):  
N. Hirokawa ◽  
T. Osaragi
Keyword(s):  
Simulation Model ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Large Earthquake ◽  
Access Time ◽  
Microscopic Simulation ◽  
Property Damage ◽  
Emergency Vehicles ◽  
Fire Stations ◽  
Average Access Time ◽  
Alternative Routes

The previous studies have been carried out on accessibility in daily life. However it is an important issue to improve the accessibility of emergency vehicles after a large earthquake. In this paper, we analyzed the accessibility of firefighters by using a microscopic simulation model immediately after a large earthquake. More specifically, we constructed the simulation model, which describes the property damage, such as collapsed buildings, street blockages, outbreaks of fires, and fire spreading, and the movement of firefighters from fire stations to the locations of fires in a large-scale earthquake. Using this model, we analyzed the influence of the street-blockage on the access time of firefighters. In case streets are blocked according to property damage simulation, the result showed the average access time is more than 10 minutes in the outskirts of the 23 wards of Tokyo, and there are some firefighters arrive over 20 minutes at most. Additionally, we focused on the alternative routes and proposed that volunteers collect information on street blockages to improve the accessibility of firefighters. Finally we demonstrated that access time of firefighters can be reduced to the same level as the case no streets were blocked if 0.3% of residents collected information in 10 minutes.

Advancing an Ecosystem Approach in the Gulf of Maine

2012 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Gulf Of Maine ◽  
Critical Role ◽  
Monitoring Program ◽  
Ecosystem Dynamics ◽  
Georges Bank ◽  
Scotian Shelf ◽  
Monitoring Programs ◽  
Zooplankton Dynamics ◽  
Biological Environment

<i>Abstract</i>.—Zooplankton communities perform a critical role as secondary producers in marine ecosystems. They are vulnerable to climate-induced changes in the marine environment, including temperature, stratification, and circulation, but the effects of these changes are difficult to discern without sustained ocean monitoring. The physical, chemical, and biological environment of the Gulf of Maine, including Georges Bank, is strongly influenced by inflow from the Scotian Shelf and through the Northeast Channel, and thus observations both in the Gulf of Maine and in upstream regions are necessary to understand plankton variability and change in the Gulf of Maine. Large-scale, quasi synoptic plankton surveys have been performed in the Gulf of Maine since Bigelow’s work at the beginning of the 20th century. More recently, ongoing plankton monitoring efforts include Continuous Plankton Recorder sampling in the Gulf of Maine and on the Scotian Shelf, U.S. National Marine Fisheries Service’s MARMAP (Marine Resources Monitoring, Assessment, and Prediction) and EcoMon (Ecosystem Monitoring) programs sampling the northeast U.S. Continental Shelf, including the Gulf of Maine, and Fisheries and Oceans Canada’s Atlantic Zone Monitoring Program on the Scotian Shelf and in the eastern Gulf of Maine. Here, we review and compare past and ongoing zooplankton monitoring programs in the Gulf of Maine region, including Georges Bank and the western Scotian Shelf, to facilitate retrospective analysis and broadscale synthesis of zooplankton dynamics in the Gulf of Maine. Additional sustained sampling at greater-than-monthly frequency at selected sites in the Gulf of Maine would be necessary to detect changes in phenology (i.e. seasonal timing of biological events). Sustained zooplankton sampling in critical nearshore fish habitats and in key feeding areas for upper trophic level organisms, such as marine mammals and seabirds, would yield significant insights into their dynamics. The ecosystem dynamics of the Gulf of Maine are strongly influenced by large-scale forcing and variability in upstream inflow. Improved coordination of sampling and data analysis among monitoring programs, effective data management, and use of multiple modeling approaches will all enhance the mechanistic understanding of the structure and function of the Gulf of Maine pelagic ecosystem.

scholarly journals Environmental Surveillance Can Dynamically Track Ecological Changes in Enteroviruses

2019 ◽  
Vol 85 (24) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hiroki Ozawa ◽  
Hiromu Yoshida ◽  
Shuzo Usuku
Keyword(s):  
Multidimensional Scaling ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Local Community ◽  
Amino Acid Sequences ◽  
Time Dependent ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Dependent Manner ◽  
Environmental Surveillance ◽  
Ecological Changes ◽  
Over Time

ABSTRACT Environmental surveillance can be used to trace enteroviruses shed from human stool using a sewer network that is independent of symptomatic or asymptomatic infection. In this study, the local transmission of enteroviruses was analyzed using two wastewater treatment plants, which were relatively close to each other (15 km), designated as sentinels. Influent was collected at both sentinels once a month from 2013 to 2016, and viruses were isolated. Using neutralizing tests with type-specific polyclonal antisera and molecular typing, 933 isolates were identified as enteroviruses. Our results showed that the frequency of virus isolation varied for each serotype at the two sentinels in a time-dependent manner. Because echovirus 11 (Echo11) and coxsackievirus B5 isolates showed a high frequency and were difficult to distinguish, they were further grouped into various lineages based on the VP1 amino acid sequences. The prevalence of each lineage was visualized using multidimensional scaling. The results showed that Echo11 isolates of the same lineage were isolated continuously, similar to coxsackievirus B5 isolates of three lineages. Conversely, Echo1, Echo13, Echo18, Echo19, Echo20, Echo29, and Echo33 were isolated only once each. Our findings suggested that if an enterovirus is imported into the population, it may result in small-scale transmission, whereas if there are initially many infected individuals, it may be possible for the virus to spread to a wide area, beyond the local community, over time. In addition, our findings could provide insights into risk assessment of transmission for importation of poliovirus in polio-free countries and regions. IMPORTANCE In this study, we showed that environmental enterovirus surveillance can be used to monitor the propagation of nonpolio enteroviruses in addition to poliovirus detection. Since epidemiological studies of virus transmission based on the past were performed using specimens from humans, there were limitations to research design, such as specimen collection for implementation on a large-scale target population. However, environmental monitoring can dynamically track the ecological changes in enteroviruses in the region by monitoring viruses in chronological order and targeting the population within the area by monitoring viruses over time. We observed differences in the transmission of echovirus 11 and coxsackievirus B5 in the region according to lineage in a time-dependent manner and with a multidimensional scaling pattern.

scholarly journals Seaside Sparrows reveal contrasting food web responses to large-scale stressors in coastal Louisiana saltmarshes

Ecosphere ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 8 (7) ◽  
pp. e01878 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jill A. Olin ◽  
Christine M. Bergeon Burns ◽  
Stefan Woltmann ◽  
Sabrina S. Taylor ◽  
Philip C. Stouffer ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Food Web ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Coastal Louisiana
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