A novel seizure diagnostic model based on kernel density estimation and least squares support vector machine

Detection of dysphonia is useful for monitoring the progression of phonatory impairment for patients with Parkinson’s disease (PD), and also helps assess the disease severity. This paper describes the statistical pattern analysis methods to study different vocal measurements of sustained phonations. The feature dimension reduction procedure was implemented by using the sequential forward selection (SFS) and kernel principal component analysis (KPCA) methods. Four selected vocal measures were projected by the KPCA onto the bivariate feature space, in which the class-conditional feature densities can be approximated with the nonparametric kernel density estimation technique. In the vocal pattern classification experiments, Fisher’s linear discriminant analysis (FLDA) was applied to perform the linear classification of voice records for healthy control subjects and PD patients, and the maximum a posteriori (MAP) decision rule and support vector machine (SVM) with radial basis function kernels were employed for the nonlinear classification tasks. Based on the KPCA-mapped feature densities, the MAP classifier successfully distinguished 91.8% voice records, with a sensitivity rate of 0.986, a specificity rate of 0.708, and an area value of 0.94 under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The diagnostic performance provided by the MAP classifier was superior to those of the FLDA and SVM classifiers. In addition, the classification results indicated that gender is insensitive to dysphonia detection, and the sustained phonations of PD patients with minimal functional disability are more difficult to be correctly identified.

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Forecasting Hourly Power Load Considering Time Division: A Hybrid Model Based on K-means Clustering and Probability Density Forecasting Techniques

Sustainability ◽

10.3390/su11246954 ◽

2019 ◽

Vol 11 (24) ◽

pp. 6954

Author(s):

Fuqiang Li ◽

Shiying Zhang ◽

Wenxuan Li ◽

Wei Zhao ◽

Bingkang Li ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Probability Density ◽

Density Estimation ◽

Kernel Density Estimation ◽

Clustering Algorithm ◽

Estimation Method ◽

Kernel Density ◽

Support Vector ◽

Average Width ◽

Power Load ◽

Density Forecasting

In comparison with traditional point forecasting method, probability density forecasting can reflect the load fluctuation more effectively and provides more information. This paper proposes a hybrid hourly power load forecasting model, which integrates K-means clustering algorithm, Salp Swarm Algorithm (SSA), Least Square Support Vector Machine (LSSVM), and kernel density estimation (KDE) method. Firstly, the loads at 24 times a day are grouped into three categories according to the K-means clustering algorithm, which correspond to the valley period, flat period, and peak period of the load, respectively. Secondly, the load point forecasting value is obtained by LSSVM method optimized by SSA algorithm. Furthermore, the kernel density estimation method is employed to fit the forecasting error of SSA-LSSVM in different time periods, and the probability density function of the error distribution is obtained. The final load probability density forecasting result is obtained by combining the point forecasting value and the error fitting result, and then the upper and lower limits of the confidence interval under the given confidence level are solved. In this paper, the performance of the model is evaluated by two indicators named interval coverage and interval average width. Meanwhile, in comparison with several other models, it can be concluded that the proposed model can effectively improve the forecasting effect.

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