Minimal time detection of parameter change in a counting process

Author(s):  
A. V. Balakrishnan
1998 ◽  
Vol 38 (6) ◽  
pp. 209-217 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianhua Lei ◽  
Sveinung Sægrov

This paper demonstrates the statistical approach for describing failures and lifetimes of water mains. The statistical approach is based on pipe inventory data and the maintenance data registered in the data base. The approach consists of data pre-processing and statistical analysis. Two classes of statistical models are applied, namely counting process models and lifetime models. With lifetime models, one can estimate the probability which a pipe will fail within a time horizon. With counting process models one can see the deteriorating (or improving) trend in time of a group of “identical” pipes and their rates of occurrence of failure (ROCOF). The case study with the data base from Trondheim municipality (Norway) demonstrates the applicability of the statistical approach and leads to the following results: 1). In the past 20 years, Trondheim municipality has experienced approximately 250 to 300 failures per year. However, the number of failures per year will significantly increase in the near future unless better maintenance practice is implemented now. 2). Unprotected ductile iron pipes have a higher probability of failures than other materials. The average lifetime of unprotected ductile iron pipes is approximately 30 to 40 years shorter than the lifetime of a cast iron pipe. 3). Pipes installed 1963 and 1975 are most likely to fail in the future; 4) The age of a pipe does not play a significant role for the remaining lifetime of the pipe; 5). After 2 to 3 failures, a pipe enters a fast-failure stage (i.e., frequent multiple between failures).


Author(s):  
Junshan Qiu ◽  
Dali Zhou ◽  
H.M. Jim Hung ◽  
John Lawrence ◽  
Steven Bai

2020 ◽  
Vol 23 (3) ◽  
pp. 656-693 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas M. Michelitsch ◽  
Alejandro P. Riascos

AbstractWe survey the ‘generalized fractional Poisson process’ (GFPP). The GFPP is a renewal process generalizing Laskin’s fractional Poisson counting process and was first introduced by Cahoy and Polito. The GFPP contains two index parameters with admissible ranges 0 < β ≤ 1, α > 0 and a parameter characterizing the time scale. The GFPP involves Prabhakar generalized Mittag-Leffler functions and contains for special choices of the parameters the Laskin fractional Poisson process, the Erlang process and the standard Poisson process. We demonstrate this by means of explicit formulas. We develop the Montroll-Weiss continuous-time random walk (CTRW) for the GFPP on undirected networks which has Prabhakar distributed waiting times between the jumps of the walker. For this walk, we derive a generalized fractional Kolmogorov-Feller equation which involves Prabhakar generalized fractional operators governing the stochastic motions on the network. We analyze in d dimensions the ‘well-scaled’ diffusion limit and obtain a fractional diffusion equation which is of the same type as for a walk with Mittag-Leffler distributed waiting times. The GFPP has the potential to capture various aspects in the dynamics of certain complex systems.


1997 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 201-202
Author(s):  
Isabel M. Banuchi

The Banuchi graft dispenser is an instrument for transplanting a plurality of hair grafts into preformed holes that facilitates and reduces the time of the implant procedure. The graft dispenser is an elongated hollow tube having both proximal and distal ends open to facilitate the hair graft loading process. It has an open channel extending along the length of the tube that holds the grafts, simplifying the counting process during the procedure. This instrument offers many advantages. The most attractive advantage for both patients and surgeons is that it reduces the time of implantation significantly. This reduction in time is due to the fact that with the graft dispenser, the surgeon can use the instrument not only to hold the grafts, but to dilate the preformed incisions and make the insertion more accurately and quickly. The new instrument has been designed in stainless steel and soon will be available in disposable plastic for further convenience. A multiple-channel instrument with a common funnel has been tested and proven to be very useful. A special tray to keep the loaded grafts in saline solution has also been designed.


1993 ◽  
Vol 297 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qing Gu ◽  
Eric A. Schiff ◽  
Jean Baptiste Chevrier ◽  
Bernard Equer

We have measured the electron drift mobility in a-Si:H at high electric fields (E ≤ 3.6 x 105 V%cm). The a-Si:Hpin structure was prepared at Palaiseau, and incorporated a thickp+ layer to retard high field breakdown. The drift mobility was obtained from transient photocurrent measurements from 1 ns - 1 ms following a laser pulse. Mobility increases as large as a factor of 30 were observed; at 77 K the high field mobility de¬pended exponentially upon field (exp(E/Eu), where E u= 1.1 x 105 V%cm). The same field dependence was observed in the time range 10 ns – 1 μs, indicating that the dispersion parameter change with field was negligible. This latter result appears to exclude hopping in the exponential conduction bandtail as the fundamental transport mechanism in a-Si:H above 77 K; alternate models are briefly discussed.


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