Pheromone Model: Application to Traffic Congestion Prediction

Author(s):  
Yasushi Ando ◽  
Osamu Masutani ◽  
Hiroshi Sasaki ◽  
Hirotoshi Iwasaki ◽  
Yoshiaki Fukazawa ◽  
...  
2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 108-118 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wiam Elleuch ◽  
Ali Wali ◽  
Adel M. Alimi

ABSTRACT: The prediction of accurate traffic information such as speed, travel time, and congestion state is a very important task in many Intelligent Transportations Systems (ITS) applications. However, the dynamic changes in traffic conditions make this task harder. In fact, the type of road, such as the freeways and the highways in urban regions, can influence the driving speeds and the congestion state of the corresponding road. In this paper, we present a NNs-based model to predict the congestion state in roads. Our model handles new inputs and distinguishes the dynamic traffic patterns in two different types of roads: highways and freeways. The model has been tested using a big GPS database gathered from vehicles circulating in Tunisia. The NNs-based model has shown their capabilities of detecting the nonlinearity of dynamic changes and different patterns of roads compared to other nonparametric techniques from the literature. ABSTRAK: Ramalan maklumat trafik yang tepat seperti kelajuan, masa perjalanan dan keadaan kesesakan adalah tugas yang sangat penting dalam banyak aplikasi Sistem Pengangkutan Pintar (ITS). Walau bagaimanapun, perubahan keadaan lalu lintas yang dinamik menjadikan tugas ini menjadi lebih sukar. Malah, jenis jalan raya, seperti jalan raya dan lebuh raya di kawasan bandar, boleh mempengaruhi kelajuan memandu dan keadaan kesesakan jalan yang sama. Dalam makalah ini, kami membentangkan model berasaskan NN untuk meramalkan keadaan kesesakan di jalan raya. Model kami mengendalikan input baru dan membezakan corak trafik dinamik dalam dua jenis jalan raya yang lebuh raya dan jalan raya. Model ini telah diuji menggunakan pangkalan data GPS yang besar yang dikumpulkan dari kenderaan yang beredar di Tunisia. Model berasaskan NNs telah menunjukkan keupayaan mereka untuk mengesan ketiadaan perubahan dinamik dan pola jalan yang berbeza berbanding dengan teknik nonparametrik yang lain dari kesusasteraan.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-18
Author(s):  
Mahmuda Akhtar ◽  
Sara Moridpour

In recent years, traffic congestion prediction has led to a growing research area, especially of machine learning of artificial intelligence (AI). With the introduction of big data by stationary sensors or probe vehicle data and the development of new AI models in the last few decades, this research area has expanded extensively. Traffic congestion prediction, especially short-term traffic congestion prediction is made by evaluating different traffic parameters. Most of the researches focus on historical data in forecasting traffic congestion. However, a few articles made real-time traffic congestion prediction. This paper systematically summarises the existing research conducted by applying the various methodologies of AI, notably different machine learning models. The paper accumulates the models under respective branches of AI, and the strength and weaknesses of the models are summarised.


PLoS ONE ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (12) ◽  
pp. e0238200
Author(s):  
Noureen Zafar ◽  
Irfan Ul Haq

With the rapid expansion of sensor technologies and wireless network infrastructure, research and development of traffic associated applications, such as real-time traffic maps, on-demand travel route reference and traffic forecasting are gaining much more attention than ever before. In this paper, we elaborate on our traffic prediction application, which is based on traffic data collected through Google Map API. Our application is a desktop-based application that predicts traffic congestion state using Estimated Time of Arrival (ETA). In addition to ETA, the prediction system takes into account various features such as weather, time period, special conditions, holidays, etc. The label of the classifier is identified as one of the five traffic states i.e. smooth, slightly congested, congested, highly congested or blockage. The results demonstrate that the random forest classification algorithm has the highest prediction accuracy of 92 percent followed by XGBoost and KNN respectively.


2021 ◽  
pp. 19-31
Author(s):  
Badr-Eddine Soussi Niaimi ◽  
Mohammed Bouhorma ◽  
Hassan Zili

Sensors ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (10) ◽  
pp. 2229 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sen Zhang ◽  
Yong Yao ◽  
Jie Hu ◽  
Yong Zhao ◽  
Shaobo Li ◽  
...  

Traffic congestion prediction is critical for implementing intelligent transportation systems for improving the efficiency and capacity of transportation networks. However, despite its importance, traffic congestion prediction is severely less investigated compared to traffic flow prediction, which is partially due to the severe lack of large-scale high-quality traffic congestion data and advanced algorithms. This paper proposes an accessible and general workflow to acquire large-scale traffic congestion data and to create traffic congestion datasets based on image analysis. With this workflow we create a dataset named Seattle Area Traffic Congestion Status (SATCS) based on traffic congestion map snapshots from a publicly available online traffic service provider Washington State Department of Transportation. We then propose a deep autoencoder-based neural network model with symmetrical layers for the encoder and the decoder to learn temporal correlations of a transportation network and predicting traffic congestion. Our experimental results on the SATCS dataset show that the proposed DCPN model can efficiently and effectively learn temporal relationships of congestion levels of the transportation network for traffic congestion forecasting. Our method outperforms two other state-of-the-art neural network models in prediction performance, generalization capability, and computation efficiency.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2 (4) ◽  
pp. 366-371 ◽  
Author(s):  
Liangliang Zhang ◽  
Yuanhua Jia ◽  
Zhonghai Niu ◽  
Cheng Liao

AbstractThe traffic congestion often occurs in urban road network. When one of the sections becomes congested, it will lead to a series of congestions in other sections. The traffic congestion spreads rapidly until part of road network becomes congestion ultimately. In this case, the paper investigates the mechanism of the traffic congestion in urban road network and points out that subsystems of the traffic congestion always perform completive and cooperative functions in the process of traffic congestion. The process behaves in a manner of self-organized criticality, which can be forecasted. The paper also establishes synergetic predictive models based on self-organized criticality of the synergetic theory. Finally, the paper takes Beijing road network as an example to forecast the widespread traffic congestion. The result shows that the established models are accuracy, and the traffic congestion is featured of self-organized criticality.


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