scholarly journals A Review of Traffic Congestion Prediction Using Artificial Intelligence

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-18
Author(s):  
Mahmuda Akhtar ◽  
Sara Moridpour
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Traffic Congestion ◽  
Historical Data ◽  
Research Area ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Real Time Traffic ◽  
Probe Vehicle ◽  
Vehicle Data ◽  
Congestion Prediction

In recent years, traffic congestion prediction has led to a growing research area, especially of machine learning of artificial intelligence (AI). With the introduction of big data by stationary sensors or probe vehicle data and the development of new AI models in the last few decades, this research area has expanded extensively. Traffic congestion prediction, especially short-term traffic congestion prediction is made by evaluating different traffic parameters. Most of the researches focus on historical data in forecasting traffic congestion. However, a few articles made real-time traffic congestion prediction. This paper systematically summarises the existing research conducted by applying the various methodologies of AI, notably different machine learning models. The paper accumulates the models under respective branches of AI, and the strength and weaknesses of the models are summarised.

Machine Learning Approach to Short-Term Traffic Congestion Prediction in a Connected Environment

2018 ◽  
Vol 2672 (45) ◽  
pp. 185-195 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amr Elfar ◽  
Alireza Talebpour ◽  
Hani S. Mahmassani
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Traffic Control ◽  
Traffic Congestion ◽  
Historical Data ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Congested Traffic ◽  
Vehicle Trajectories ◽  
Congestion Prediction ◽  
The Individual

Traffic congestion is a complex phenomenon triggered by a combination of multiple interacting factors. One of the main factors is the disturbances caused by individual vehicles, which cannot be identified in aggregate traffic data. Advances in vehicle wireless communications present new opportunities to measure traffic perturbations at the individual vehicle level. The key question is whether it is possible to find the relationship between these perturbations and shockwave formation and utilize this knowledge to improve the identification and prediction of congestion formation. Accordingly, this paper explores the use of three machine learning techniques, logistic regression, random forests, and neural networks, for short-term traffic congestion prediction using vehicle trajectories available through connected vehicles technology. Vehicle trajectories provided by the Next Generation SIMulation (NGSIM) program were utilized in this study. Two types of predictive models were developed in this study: (1) offline models which are calibrated based on historical data and are updated (re-trained) whenever significant changes occur in the system, such as changes/updates to the infrastructure, and (2) online models which are calibrated using historical data and updated regularly using real-time information on prevailing traffic conditions obtained through V2V/V2I communications. Results show that the accuracy of the models built in this study to predict the congested traffic state can reach 97%. The models presented can be used in various potential applications including improving road safety by warning drivers of upcoming traffic slowdowns and improving mobility through integration with traffic control systems.

Machine Learning Approach to Forecast Work Zone Mobility using Probe Vehicle Data

2020 ◽  
Vol 2674 (9) ◽  
pp. 157-167
Author(s):  
Mohsen Kamyab ◽  
Stephen Remias ◽  
Erfan Najmi ◽  
Sanaz Rabinia ◽  
Jonathan M. Waddell
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Traffic Congestion ◽  
Learning Algorithms ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Work Zone ◽  
Data Sources ◽  
Work Zones ◽  
Probe Vehicle ◽  
Vehicle Data ◽  
Lane Closures

The aim of deploying intelligent transportation systems (ITS) is often to help engineers and operators identify traffic congestion. The future of ITS-based traffic management is the prediction of traffic conditions using ubiquitous data sources. There are currently well-developed prediction models for recurrent traffic congestion such as during peak hour. However, there is a need to predict traffic congestion resulting from non-recurring events such as highway lane closures. As agencies begin to understand the value of collecting work zone data, rich data sets will emerge consisting of historical work zone information. In the era of big data, rich mobility data sources are becoming available that enable the application of machine learning to predict mobility for work zones. The purpose of this study is to utilize historical lane closure information with supervised machine learning algorithms to forecast spatio-temporal mobility for future lane closures. Various traffic data sources were collected from 1,160 work zones on Michigan interstates between 2014 and 2017. This study uses probe vehicle data to retrieve a mobility profile for these historical observations, and uses these profiles to apply random forest, XGBoost, and artificial neural network (ANN) classification algorithms. The mobility prediction results showed that the ANN model outperformed the other models by reaching up to 85% accuracy. The objective of this research was to show that machine learning algorithms can be used to capture patterns for non-recurrent traffic congestion even when hourly traffic volume is not available.

scholarly journals Traffic congestion prediction based on Estimated Time of Arrival

PLoS ONE ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 15 (12) ◽  
pp. e0238200
Author(s):  
Noureen Zafar ◽  
Irfan Ul Haq
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Congestion ◽  
Rapid Expansion ◽  
Time Of Arrival ◽  
Random Forest Classification ◽  
Traffic Forecasting ◽  
Real Time Traffic ◽  
Forest Classification ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Congestion Prediction ◽  
Google Map Api

With the rapid expansion of sensor technologies and wireless network infrastructure, research and development of traffic associated applications, such as real-time traffic maps, on-demand travel route reference and traffic forecasting are gaining much more attention than ever before. In this paper, we elaborate on our traffic prediction application, which is based on traffic data collected through Google Map API. Our application is a desktop-based application that predicts traffic congestion state using Estimated Time of Arrival (ETA). In addition to ETA, the prediction system takes into account various features such as weather, time period, special conditions, holidays, etc. The label of the classifier is identified as one of the five traffic states i.e. smooth, slightly congested, congested, highly congested or blockage. The results demonstrate that the random forest classification algorithm has the highest prediction accuracy of 92 percent followed by XGBoost and KNN respectively.

scholarly journals Characterizing Interstate Crash Rates Based on Traffic Congestion Using Probe Vehicle Data

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michelle M. Mekker ◽  
Stephen M. Remias ◽  
Margaret L. McNamara ◽  
Darcy M. Bullock
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Congestion ◽  
Crash Rates ◽  
Probe Vehicle ◽  
Vehicle Data

scholarly journals Predicting short-term survival after total resection in glioblastomas by machine learning-based radiomic analysis of preoperative MRI

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Santiago Cepeda ◽  
Angel Perez-Nuñez ◽  
Sergio Garcia-Garcia ◽  
Daniel Garcia-Perez ◽  
Ignacio Arrese ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Predictive Models ◽  
Tumor Resection ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Total Resection ◽  
Complete Tumor Resection ◽  
Term Survival ◽  
Complete Tumor ◽  
Short Term Survival

Abstract Background Radiomics, in combination with artificial intelligence, has emerged as a powerful tool for the development of predictive models in neuro-oncology. Our study aims to find an answer to a clinically relevant question: is there a radiomic profile that can identify glioblastoma (GBM) patients with short-term survival after complete tumor resection?

Assessing Highway Travel Time Reliability using Probe Vehicle Data

2018 ◽  
Vol 2672 (15) ◽  
pp. 118-130 ◽  
Author(s):  
Piotr Olszewski ◽  
Tomasz Dybicz ◽  
Kazimierz Jamroz ◽  
Wojciech Kustra ◽  
Aleksandra Romanowska
Keyword(s):  
Travel Time ◽  
Traffic Congestion ◽  
Time Of Day ◽  
Travel Time Reliability ◽  
Floating Car Data ◽  
Probe Vehicle ◽  
Vehicle Data ◽  
Reliability Indicator ◽  
Reliability Performance ◽  
Road Segments

Probe vehicle data (also known as “floating car data”) can be used to analyze travel time reliability of an existing road corridor in order to determine where, when, and how often traffic congestion occurs at particular road segments. The aim of the study is to find the best reliability performance measures for assessing congestion frequency and severity based on probe data. Pilot surveys conducted on A2 motorway in Poland confirm the usefulness and reasonable accuracy of probe data for measuring speed variation in both congested and free-flowing traffic. Historical probe vehicle data and traditional traffic counts from Polish S6 expressway were used to analyze travel time reliability on its 24 road sections. Travel time indexes and reliability ratings for the whole year 2016 were calculated to identify segments with lower reliability and higher expected delay. It is concluded that unlike the HCM-6 method, travel times obtained from probe data should be averaged in 1-hour intervals. Delay index is proposed as a new reliability indicator for road segments. Delay map diagrams are recommended for showing how the congestion spots move in space and with time of day.

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