The Geographies of Economic Voting in Presidential and Congressional Elections

2016 ◽  
Vol 131 (1) ◽  
pp. 101-132 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jordan M. Ragusa ◽  
Matthew Tarpey
Keyword(s):  
Economic Voting ◽  
Congressional Elections

Party Systems and Electoral Volatility in Latin America: A Test of Economic, Institutional, and Structural Explanations

1999 ◽  
Vol 93 (3) ◽  
pp. 575-590 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kenneth M. Roberts ◽  
Erik Wibbels
Keyword(s):  
Latin America ◽  
Latin American ◽  
Economic Voting ◽  
Party Systems ◽  
Congressional Elections ◽  
Time Series Regression ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Electoral Volatility ◽  
Democratic Regimes ◽  
High Level

Three different theoretical explanations are tested for the exceptionally high level of electoral volatility found in contemporary Latin America: economic voting, institutional characteristics of political regimes and party systems, and the structure and organization of class cleavages. A pooled cross-sectional time-series regression analysis is conducted on 58 congressional elections and 43 presidential elections in 16 Latin American countries during the 1980s and 1990s. Institutional variables have the most consistent effect on volatility, while the influence of economic performance is heavily contingent upon the type of election and whether the dependent variable is operationalized as incumbent vote change or aggregate electoral volatility. The results demonstrate that electoral volatility is a function of short-term economic perturbations, the institutional fragilities of both democratic regimes and party systems, and relatively fluid cleavage structures.

Income, Economic Voting, and Long-Term Political Change in the U.S., 1952- 1996

Social Forces ◽  
1999 ◽  
Vol 77 (4) ◽  
pp. 1339 ◽  
Author(s):  
Clem Brooks ◽  
David Brady
Keyword(s):  
Political Change ◽  
Economic Voting ◽  
The U.S

You’re Fired! Donald Trump and the 2020 Congressional Elections

The Forum ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 627-650
Author(s):  
Jamie L. Carson ◽  
Spencer Hardin ◽  
Aaron A. Hitefield
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Presidential Election ◽  
Descriptive Analysis ◽  
Vice President ◽  
The United States ◽  
Congressional Elections ◽  
General Election ◽  
Donald Trump ◽  
Modern Era

Abstract The 2020 elections brought to an end one of the most divisive and historic campaigns in the modern era. Former Vice President Joe Biden was elected the 46th President of the United States with the largest number of votes ever cast in a presidential election, defeating incumbent President Donald Trump in the process. The record turnout was especially remarkable in light of the ongoing pandemic surrounding COVID-19 and the roughly 236,000 Americans who had died of the virus prior to the election. This article examines the electoral context of the 2020 elections focusing on elections in both the House and Senate. More specifically, this article examines the candidates, electoral conditions, trends, and outcomes in the primaries as well as the general election. In doing so, we provide a comprehensive descriptive analysis of the climate and outcome of the 2020 congressional elections. Finally, the article closes with a discussion of the broader implications of the election outcomes on both the incoming 117th Congress as well as the upcoming 2022 midterm election.

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