scholarly journals Spot Market Volatility and Futures Trading: The Pitfalls of Using a Dummy Variable Approach

2015 ◽  
Vol 36 (1) ◽  
pp. 30-45 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin T. Bohl ◽  
Jeanne Diesteldorf ◽  
Christian A. Salm ◽  
Bernd Wilfling
2013 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 65-93
Author(s):  
Adil Awan ◽  
Amir Rafique

The impact of single-stock futures on spot market volatility is still debated in the finance literature. The aim of this study is to analyze the effect of the introduction of single-stock futures on the volatility of the Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE). We examine changes in the level of volatility and structure after the introduction of single-stock futures, evaluating 24 companies listed on the KSE. The study applies the F-test to determine differences in variance as a traditional measure for volatility and uses GARCH (1,1) as an econometric technique for detecting time-varying volatility. The results show that there is no effect on the volatility level but that changes occur in the structure of volatility after stock futures trading.


1977 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 675-675
Author(s):  
Marcellus S. Snow

A general proof using matrices is given proving the equivalence of the Chow test (analysis of covariance) and an appropriate adaptation of the dummy variable technique. Implications of hypothesis testing in the linear regression framework are reviewed for each method. The dummy variable approach is found to have the following advantages: (a) it is more convenient in testing hypotheses regarding the equality of subvectors of the parameter vectors from separate regressions, in particular not requiring the running of new regressions as the Chow test approach sometimes does; and (b) a more general form of hypothesis can be tested, namely that corresponding regression parameters differ by a constant other than zero.


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