Predictive validity of the structured assessment of violence risk in youth: A 4-year follow-up

2014 ◽  
Vol 25 (3) ◽  
pp. 192-206 ◽  
Author(s):  
Monica Gammelgård ◽  
Anna-Maija Koivisto ◽  
Markku Eronen ◽  
Riittakerttu Kaltiala-Heino
2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Satu Rauta ◽  
Sanna Salanterä ◽  
Tero Vahlberg ◽  
Kristiina Junttila

Patient classification systems generate information for staff allocation based on a patient’s care needs. This study aims to test further the instrument for assessing nursing intensity (NI) in perioperative settings. Nine operating departments from five university hospitals were involved. The perioperative nurses gathered data from patients (N=876) representing different fields of surgery. Reliability was tested by parallel classifications (n=144). Also, the users’ (n=40) opinions were surveyed. The results support the predictive validity and interrater reliability of the instrument. The nurses considered the instrument feasible to use. The patients’ low ASA class did not automatically signify low NI; however, high ASA class was more frequently associated with high intraoperative NI. Intraoperative NI indicated the length of the postanaesthesia care and the type of the follow-up unit. Parallel classifications ensured the homogenous use of the instrument. The use of the instrument is recommended.


1991 ◽  
Vol 68 (3_suppl) ◽  
pp. 1317-1318 ◽  
Author(s):  
George A. Clum ◽  
Richard L. Luscomb ◽  
Anne T. Patsiokas

The question of whether high stress leads to attempting suicide (parasuicide) or suicide attempters are more likely to report high stress was examined in a one-year follow-up study of 98 persons, 47 of whom had attempted suicide. Cross-lagged panel correlations between stress and parasuicide provided both concurrent and predictive validity that stress as measured by life changes leads to parasuicide. A high relationship between stress at baseline and stress at follow-up provided support for the notion that some individuals experience chronic stress and that such individuals may be the ones at risk for future suicide attempts.


2020 ◽  
Vol 44 (6) ◽  
pp. 485-501
Author(s):  
Shanna M. Y. Li ◽  
Jodi L. Viljoen ◽  
Aisha K. Christiansen ◽  
Nicole M. Muir

Sexual Abuse ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 32 (2) ◽  
pp. 203-219
Author(s):  
Leonel C. Gonçalves ◽  
Juliane Gerth ◽  
Astrid Rossegger ◽  
Thomas Noll ◽  
Jérôme Endrass

This study evaluated the validity of the Static-99 and Static-99R in assessing sexual recidivism in Switzerland, based on a sample of 142 male sex offenders. Both tools showed predictive validity, but the Static-99R had better discrimination (OR = 1.82, AUC = .81) and calibration (Brier = .078, P/E = 0.96) than the Static-99. A cut score of four on the Static-99R maximized sensitivity (92.9%) and specificity (60.2%). However, although most offenders (98.7%) with a score < 4 did not commit sexual offenses in the 5-year follow-up period, only one in five (20.3%) offenders with a score ≥ 4 actually recidivated. Furthermore, the predicted number of recidivists in the well above average risk category (Static-99R ≥ 6) was 24% higher than expected in routine samples. The results suggest that the Static-99R may be a useful screening tool to identify low-risk individuals but offenders with scores ≥ 4 should be subjected to a more thorough assessment.


2020 ◽  
Vol 47 (4) ◽  
pp. 399-418 ◽  
Author(s):  
Keren Cuervo ◽  
Lidón Villanueva ◽  
Miguel Basto-Pereira

This study analyzes the predictive validity of the Youth Level of Service/Case Management Inventory (YLS/CMI) for youth and adult recidivism in a Spanish juvenile sample. Participants’ age ranged between 14 and 18.09 years old ( N = 264) and 82% were boys and all had been sentenced to probation and custody centers. Data on juvenile and young adult recidivism were collected for the sample with mean follow-up periods of 13.74 and 20.19 months, respectively. The area under the curve, Kaplan–Meier and Cox regression survival analyses were each conducted to check for predictive validity. The findings demonstrated that the YLS/CMI is able to predict recidivism in both the juvenile period and the emerging adult period in a different cultural context. Prior Offenses and Education/Employment emerged as significant predictors for youth and young adult recidivism. The entire YLS/CMI is therefore an effective tool for risk classification in a different cultural sample.


1978 ◽  
Vol 43 (3) ◽  
pp. 791-794
Author(s):  
James D. Roff ◽  
Raymond Knight

The New Haven Schizophrenia Index, a checklist designed for research use, was evaluated with a sample of 45 male schizophrenics where follow-up information had been obtained for 22 yr. The checklist had high levels of interrater agreement and scores were significantly related to other concurrent measures of thought disorder or psychotic thinking. The index did not have stability or predictive validity in terms of eventual outcome. A measure of affectivity did display both stability and a significant relationship with outcome.


Assessment ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 27 (5) ◽  
pp. 959-975 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jodi L. Viljoen ◽  
Aisha K. Bhanwer ◽  
Catherine S. Shaffer ◽  
Kevin S. Douglas

Although the Structured Assessment of Violence Risk in Youth (SAVRY) and the Youth Level of Service/Case Management Inventory (YLS/CMI) are among the most widely used adolescent risk assessment tools, they conceptualize and measure strengths differently. As such, in this study, we compared the predictive validity of SAVRY Protective Total and YLS/CMI Strength Total, and tested conceptual models of how these measures operate (i.e., risk vs. protective effects, direct vs. buffering effects, causal models). Research assistants conducted 624 risk assessments with 156 youth on probation. They rated protective factors at baseline, and again at 3-, 6-, 9-, and 12-month follow-up periods. The SAVRY Protective Total and YLS/CMI Strength Total inversely predicted any charges in the subsequent 2 years (area under the curve scores = 0.61 and 0.60, respectively, p < .05). Furthermore, when adolescents’ protective total scores increased, their self-reported violence decreased, thus providing evidence that these factors might play a causally relevant role in reducing violence. However, protective factors did not provide incremental validity over risk factors. In addition, because these measures are brief and use a dichotomous rating system, they primarily captured deficits in protective factors (i.e., low scores). This suggests a need for more comprehensive measures.


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