scholarly journals Evolution of seismicity near the southernmost terminus of the San Andreas Fault: Implications of recent earthquake clusters for earthquake risk in southern California

2017 ◽  
Vol 44 (3) ◽  
pp. 1293-1301 ◽  
Author(s):  
Egill Hauksson ◽  
Men‐Andrin Meier ◽  
Zachary E. Ross ◽  
Lucile M. Jones
Keyword(s):  
Southern California ◽  
San Andreas Fault ◽  
Earthquake Risk ◽  
San Andreas ◽  
Earthquake Clusters

scholarly journals A revised position for the primary strand of the Pleistocene-Holocene San Andreas fault in southern California

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (13) ◽  
pp. eaaz5691
Author(s):  
Kimberly Blisniuk ◽  
Katherine Scharer ◽  
Warren D. Sharp ◽  
Roland Burgmann ◽  
Colin Amos ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Los Angeles ◽  
Southern California ◽  
San Andreas Fault ◽  
Slip Rate ◽  
Large Magnitude ◽  
Slip Rates ◽  
San Andreas ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
Large Earthquakes ◽  
Dependent Probability

The San Andreas fault has the highest calculated time-dependent probability for large-magnitude earthquakes in southern California. However, where the fault is multistranded east of the Los Angeles metropolitan area, it has been uncertain which strand has the fastest slip rate and, therefore, which has the highest probability of a destructive earthquake. Reconstruction of offset Pleistocene-Holocene landforms dated using the uranium-thorium soil carbonate and beryllium-10 surface exposure techniques indicates slip rates of 24.1 ± 3 millimeter per year for the San Andreas fault, with 21.6 ± 2 and 2.5 ± 1 millimeters per year for the Mission Creek and Banning strands, respectively. These data establish the Mission Creek strand as the primary fault bounding the Pacific and North American plates at this latitude and imply that 6 to 9 meters of elastic strain has accumulated along the fault since the most recent surface-rupturing earthquake, highlighting the potential for large earthquakes along this strand.

High-Resolution Seismic Images and Seismic Velocities of the San Andreas Fault Zone at Burro Flats, Southern California

2008 ◽  
Vol 98 (6) ◽  
pp. 2948-2961 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. C. Tsai ◽  
R. D. Catchings ◽  
M. R. Goldman ◽  
M. J. Rymer ◽  
P. Schnurle ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Fault Zone ◽  
Southern California ◽  
San Andreas Fault ◽  
Seismic Velocities ◽  
San Andreas ◽  
Seismic Images

scholarly journals New geodetic constraints on southern San Andreas fault-slip rates, San Gorgonio Pass, California

Geosphere ◽  
2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Katherine A. Guns ◽  
Richard A Bennett ◽  
Joshua C. Spinler ◽  
Sally F. McGill
Keyword(s):  
Velocity Field ◽  
Southern California ◽  
San Andreas Fault ◽  
Plate Boundary ◽  
Slip Rate ◽  
Fault Slip ◽  
Slip Rates ◽  
San Andreas ◽  
Fault Slip Rates ◽  
Gps Velocity Field

Assessing fault-slip rates in diffuse plate boundary systems such as the San Andreas fault in southern California is critical both to characterize seis­mic hazards and to understand how different fault strands work together to accommodate plate boundary motion. In places such as San Gorgonio Pass, the geometric complexity of numerous fault strands interacting in a small area adds an extra obstacle to understanding the rupture potential and behavior of each individual fault. To better understand partitioning of fault-slip rates in this region, we build a new set of elastic fault-block models that test 16 different model fault geometries for the area. These models build on previ­ous studies by incorporating updated campaign GPS measurements from the San Bernardino Mountains and Eastern Transverse Ranges into a newly calculated GPS velocity field that has been removed of long- and short-term postseismic displacements from 12 past large-magnitude earthquakes to estimate model fault-slip rates. Using this postseismic-reduced GPS velocity field produces a best- fitting model geometry that resolves the long-standing geologic-geodetic slip-rate discrepancy in the Eastern California shear zone when off-fault deformation is taken into account, yielding a summed slip rate of 7.2 ± 2.8 mm/yr. Our models indicate that two active strands of the San Andreas system in San Gorgonio Pass are needed to produce sufficiently low geodetic dextral slip rates to match geologic observations. Lastly, results suggest that postseismic deformation may have more of a role to play in affecting the loading of faults in southern California than previously thought.

scholarly journals Dynamic models of earthquake rupture along branch faults of the eastern San Gorgonio Pass region in California using complex fault structure

Geosphere ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 474-489 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roby Douilly ◽  
David D. Oglesby ◽  
Michele L. Cooke ◽  
Jennifer L. Hatch
Keyword(s):  
Finite Element ◽  
Los Angeles ◽  
Southern California ◽  
San Andreas Fault ◽  
Recurrence Time ◽  
Fault Geometry ◽  
Regional Stress ◽  
Coachella Valley ◽  
San Andreas ◽  
Valley Segment

Abstract Geologic data suggest that the Coachella Valley segment of the southern San Andreas fault (southern California, USA) is past its average recurrence time period. At its northern edge, this right-lateral fault segment branches into the Mission Creek and Banning strands of the San Andreas fault. Depending on how rupture propagates through this region, there is the possibility of a throughgoing rupture that could lead to the channeling of damaging seismic energy into the Los Angeles Basin. The fault structures and potential rupture scenarios on these two strands differ significantly, which highlights the need to determine which strand provides a more likely rupture path and the circumstances that control this rupture path. In this study, we examine the effect of different assumptions about fault geometry and initial stress pattern on the dynamic rupture process to test multiple rupture scenarios and thus investigate the most likely path(s) of a rupture that starts on the Coachella Valley segment. We consider three types of fault geometry based on the Southern California Earthquake Center Community Fault Model, and we create a three-dimensional finite-element mesh for each of them. These three meshes are then incorporated into the finite-element method code FaultMod to compute a physical model for the rupture dynamics. We use a slip-weakening friction law, and consider different assumptions of background stress, such as constant tractions and regional stress regimes with different orientations. Both the constant and regional stress distributions show that rupture from the Coachella Valley segment is more likely to branch to the Mission Creek than to the Banning fault strand. The fault connectivity at this branch system seems to have a significant impact on the likelihood of a throughgoing rupture, with potentially significant impacts for ground motion and seismic hazard both locally and in the greater Los Angeles metropolitan area.

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