scholarly journals PREDICTION OF MAXIMUM POSSIBLE STORM SURGES IN ISE BAY UNDER A FUTURE CLIMATE

2012 ◽  
Vol 1 (33) ◽  
pp. 47
Author(s):  
Tomokazu Murakami ◽  
Jun Yoshino ◽  
Takashi Yasuda
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclone ◽  
Potential Vorticity ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Storm Surges ◽  
Future Climate ◽  
Ocean Wave ◽  
Storm Tide ◽  
Ise Bay ◽  
Maximum Value ◽  
A1b Scenario

This study aims at investigating space and time–distributions of possible maximum storm surges in Ise Bay caused by potential typhoons based on the SRES A1B scenario. Initial fields of 50 potential typhoons were provided by using potential vorticity bogussing scheme of a tropical cyclone. Then, the distributions over the whole area of Ise Bay under the 50 initial fields were predicted by using an atmosphere–ocean–wave coupled model. The results show that all storm tides in Nagoya Port caused by the 50 potential typhoons exceed 3.5 m which is the largest storm tide ever recorded in Japan and that its maximum value reaches 6.9 m.

scholarly journals Storm Surges and High Waves in Ise Bay Caused by Potential Typhoons Based on the SRES A1B Scenario

2011 ◽  
Vol 67 (2) ◽  
pp. I_406-I_410 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tomokazu MURAKAMI ◽  
Hironori FUKAO ◽  
Jun YOSHINO ◽  
Takashi YASUDA
Keyword(s):  
Storm Surges ◽  
Ise Bay ◽  
A1b Scenario

Development of Atmosphere-Ocean-Wave-Water Quality Coupled Model and Numerical Analysis of Water Quality Structure in Ise Bay at Tokai Heavy Rain

2008 ◽  
Vol 55 ◽  
pp. 1211-1215
Author(s):  
Koji KAWASAKI ◽  
Tomokazu MURAKAMI ◽  
Yosuke OKUBO ◽  
Chang-Hoon KIM ◽  
Norimi MIZUTANI
Keyword(s):  
Water Quality ◽  
Numerical Analysis ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Heavy Rain ◽  
Ocean Wave ◽  
Ise Bay

scholarly journals Assessing the Potential Highest Storm Tide Hazard in Taiwan Based on 40-Year Historical Typhoon Surge Hindcasting

Atmosphere ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (6) ◽  
pp. 346 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yi-Chiang Yu ◽  
Hongey Chen ◽  
Hung-Ju Shih ◽  
Chih-Hsin Chang ◽  
Shih-Chun Hsiao ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Coupled Model ◽  
Storm Surges ◽  
Storm Tide ◽  
Astronomical Tide ◽  
Individual Potential ◽  
Hazard Level ◽  
The Individual ◽  
Central Weather Bureau ◽  
Fully Coupled

Typhoon-induced storm surges are catastrophic disasters in coastal areas worldwide, although typhoon surges are not extremely high in Taiwan. However, the rising water level around an estuary could be a block that obstructs the flow of water away from the estuary and indirectly forms an overflow in the middle or lower reaches of a river if the occurrence of the highest storm surge (HSS) coincides with the highest astronomical tide (HAT). Therefore, assessing the highest storm tide (HST, a combination of the HSS and HAT) hazard level along the coast of Taiwan is particularly important to an early warning of riverine inundation. This study hindcasted the storm surges of 122 historical typhoon events from 1979 to 2018 using a high-resolution, unstructured-grid, surge-wave fully coupled model and a hybrid typhoon wind model. The long-term recording measurements at 28 tide-measuring stations around Taiwan were used to analyze the HAT characteristics. The hindcasted HSSs of each typhoon category (the Central Weather Bureau of Taiwan classified typhoon events into nine categories according to the typhoon’s track) were extracted and superposed on the HATs to produce the individual potential HST hazard maps. Each map was classified into six hazard levels (I to VI). Finally, a comprehensive potential HST hazard map was created based on the superposition of the HSSs from 122 typhoon events and HATs.

scholarly journals Dynamical and Physical Processes Leading to Tropical Cyclone Intensification under Upper-Level Trough Forcing

2013 ◽  
Vol 70 (8) ◽  
pp. 2547-2565 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marie-Dominique Leroux ◽  
Matthieu Plu ◽  
David Barbary ◽  
Frank Roux ◽  
Philippe Arbogast
Keyword(s):  
Angular Momentum ◽  
Tropical Cyclone ◽  
Potential Vorticity ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Three Dimensional ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Thick Layer ◽  
Limited Area ◽  
Southwest Indian Ocean ◽  
Upper Level

Abstract The rapid intensification of Tropical Cyclone (TC) Dora (2007, southwest Indian Ocean) under upper-level trough forcing is investigated. TC–trough interaction is simulated using a limited-area operational numerical weather prediction model. The interaction between the storm and the trough involves a coupled evolution of vertical wind shear and binary vortex interaction in the horizontal and vertical dimensions. The three-dimensional potential vorticity structure associated with the trough undergoes strong deformation as it approaches the storm. Potential vorticity (PV) is advected toward the tropical cyclone core over a thick layer from 200 to 500 hPa while the TC upper-level flow turns cyclonic from the continuous import of angular momentum. It is found that vortex intensification first occurs inside the eyewall and results from PV superposition in the thick aforementioned layer. The main pathway to further storm intensification is associated with secondary eyewall formation triggered by external forcing. Eddy angular momentum convergence and eddy PV fluxes are responsible for spinning up an outer eyewall over the entire troposphere, while spindown is observed within the primary eyewall. The 8-km-resolution model is able to reproduce the main features of the eyewall replacement cycle observed for TC Dora. The outer eyewall intensifies further through mean vertical advection under dynamically forced upward motion. The processes are illustrated and quantified using various diagnostics.

scholarly journals ESTIMATION OF WORST-CLASS TROPICAL CYCLONE AND STORM SURGE, AND ITS RETURN PERIOD -CASE STUDY FOR ISE BAY-

2015 ◽  
Vol 71 (2) ◽  
pp. I_1513-I_1518 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yoko SHIBUTANI ◽  
Sota NAKAJO ◽  
Nobuhito MORI ◽  
Sooyoul KIM ◽  
Hajime MASE
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclone ◽  
Storm Surge ◽  
Return Period ◽  
Ise Bay

scholarly journals Potential Vorticity Asymmetries and Tropical Cyclone Motion

1999 ◽  
Vol 127 (1) ◽  
pp. 124-131 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lloyd J. Shapiro ◽  
James L. Franklin
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclone ◽  
Potential Vorticity
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