scholarly journals ANALYSIS OF MAXIMUM SEA LEVELS IN SOUTHERN ENGLAND

1978 ◽  
Vol 1 (16) ◽  
pp. 53
Author(s):  
J. Graff ◽  
D.L. Blackman

Along the south coast of England, series of observed annual maximum sea levels, ranging from 16 years to 125 years have been analysed for each of 10 ports. The Jenkinson method of analysis was used to compute the frequency of recurrence of extreme levels. For a number of these ports the series of annual maxima are shown to have significant trends of the same order as those for mean sea level. The Jenkinson method can be simply adjusted to cope with maxima having a component linear trend, making it possible to allow for such trends in computing the frequency of recurrence of extreme levels. If a trend in the annual maxima varies throughout the sample of observations it is shown that difficulties arise in using the Jenkinson method to compute acceptable statistics. It is also shown that for certain ports having long series of observed annual maxima it may be necessary to restrict the sample size of observations in order to compute estimates of the recurrence of extreme levels within reasonable return periods.

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (6) ◽  
pp. 595
Author(s):  
Américo Soares Ribeiro ◽  
Carina Lurdes Lopes ◽  
Magda Catarina Sousa ◽  
Moncho Gomez-Gesteira ◽  
João Miguel Dias

Ports constitute a significant influence in the economic activity in coastal areas through operations and infrastructures to facilitate land and maritime transport of cargo. Ports are located in a multi-dimensional environment facing ocean and river hazards. Higher warming scenarios indicate Europe’s ports will be exposed to higher risk due to the increase in extreme sea levels (ESL), a combination of the mean sea level, tide, and storm surge. Located on the west Iberia Peninsula, the Aveiro Port is located in a coastal lagoon exposed to ocean and river flows, contributing to higher flood risk. This study aims to assess the flood extent for Aveiro Port for historical (1979–2005), near future (2026–2045), and far future (2081–2099) periods scenarios considering different return periods (10, 25, and 100-year) for the flood drivers, through numerical simulations of the ESL, wave regime, and riverine flows simultaneously. Spatial maps considering the flood extent and calculated area show that most of the port infrastructures' resilience to flooding is found under the historical period, with some marginal floods. Under climate change impacts, the port flood extent gradually increases for higher return periods, where most of the terminals are at high risk of being flooded for the far-future period, whose contribution is primarily due to mean sea-level rise and storm surges.


1986 ◽  
Vol 25 (2) ◽  
pp. 189-198 ◽  
Author(s):  
Q. B. Hendey ◽  
T. P. Volman

The dating of the 6 to 8-m shoreline in southern Africa as early Pleistocene prompted a reassessment of evidence from archaeological cave sites on the south coast of the Cape Province which had suggested that this shoreline is of last interglacial age. The successions in the caves at Klasies River Mouth and Die Kelders have been misinterpreted. In fact, they confirm a pre-last interglacial age for this feature. These sites, together with Herolds Bay Cave, indicate that in southern Africa the only last interglacial shoreline above present sea level is at about 4 m, and that it dates from isotope substage 5e.


1974 ◽  
Vol 28 (5) ◽  
pp. 524-530 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. W. Lennon

The use of mean sea level as a surface of reference that might provide an independent control for geodetic leveling has been a long term goal arising from the classical analogy between the geoid as an equipotential surface and the surface assumed by a hypothetical undisturbed world ocean. The problems associated with this aim are now known to be vast, and are associated with the dynamics of the marine system, notably its response to meteorological forces, to variations in density and to the effects of basic circulation patterns. In consequence the mean sea level surface varies rapidly in both time and space. This identifies in fact a distinctive scientific discipline, coastal geodesy, in which contributions are required by both geodesists and oceanographers. It has come to be recognized that the coastal zone is a hazardous environment for all observational techniques concerned. On the one hand, the difficulties of measurement of coastal sea levels have only recently been understood; on the other hand, precise leveling procedures are now known to be influenced by the attraction of marine tides and by crustal deformation of tidal loading. Much of the data available for study are therefore inadequate and, moreover, it should be noted that long-time series are required. It is now possible to lay plans for both geodetic and oceanographic procedures to remedy these deficiencies in the long-term interests of the study.


Author(s):  
Norihisa Usui ◽  
Koji Ogawa ◽  
Kei Sakamoto ◽  
Hiroyuki Tsujino ◽  
Goro Yamanaka ◽  
...  

Abstract Using a coastal assimilation model, generation mechanism of unusually high sea level (UHSL) at the south coast of Japan in September 2011 is investigated. Both model results and tide gauge observations indicate that sea level rise associated with the UHSL event occurred twice in the middle and end of September. The first one, which is localized around the eastern part of the Seto Inland Sea, is caused by a cyclonic circulation in the Kii Channel formed as a result of northward migration of the Kuroshio axis toward Cape Shionomisaki. The second sea level rise, which is the main contributor to this UHSL event, is observed in wide areas not only at the south coast of Japan, but also at the coast of the Japan Sea. It is brought about by a coastal trapped wave (CTW) induced as a result of a fluctuation of the Kuroshio path to the south of the Boso Peninsula. The CTW with positive SSH anomalies propagates westward along the south coast of Japan, and then goes into the coast of the Japan Sea. Sensitivity experiments and a modal characteristic analysis indicate that the CTW is mainly characterized by the first mode baroclinic Kelvin wave. The phase speed for the first mode is calculated at 2.96 m s$$^{-1}$$ - 1 , which compares well with that estimated by tide gauge observations.


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