scholarly journals Design and analysis of statistical probability distribution and non-parametric trend analysis for reference evapotranspiration

PeerJ ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
pp. e11597
Author(s):  
Sajid Gul ◽  
Jingli Ren ◽  
Neal Xiong ◽  
Muhammad Asif Khan

Accurate estimates of reference evapotranspiration are critical for water-resource management strategies such as irrigation scheduling and operation. Therefore, knowledge of events such as spatial and temporal reference evapotranspiration (ETo) and their related principle of statistical probability theory plays a vital role in amplifying sustainable irrigation planning. Spatiotemporal statistical probability distribution and its associated trends have not yet has explored in Pakistan. In this study, we have two objectives: (1) to determine the most appropriate statistical probability distribution that better describes ETo on mean monthly and seasons wise estimates for the design of irrigation system in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, and (2) to check the trends in ETo on a monthly, seasonal, and annual basis. To check the ETo trends, we used the modified version of the Mann-Kendall and Sen Slope. We used Bayesian Kriging for spatial interpolation and propose a practical approach to the design and study of statistical probability distributions for the irrigation system and water supplies management. Also, the scheme preeminent explains ETo, on a monthly and seasonal basis. The statistical distribution that showed the best fit ETo result occupying 58.33% and 25% performance for the design of irrigation scheme in the entire study region on the monthly level was Johnson SB and Generalized Pareto, respectively. However, according to the Anderson-Darling (AD) and Kolmogorov–Smirnov (KS) goodness of fit measure, seasonal ETo estimates were preferably suited to the Burr, Johnson SB & Generalized Extreme Value. More research work must be conduct to assess the significance of this study to other fields. In conclusion, these findings might be helpful for water resource management and policymaker in future operations.

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mengsheng Qin ◽  
Lu Hao ◽  
Lei Sun ◽  
Yongqiang Liu ◽  
Ge Sun

Abstract. Reference evapotranspiration (ETo) is an important hydrometeorological term widely used in water resource management, hydrological modeling, and understanding and projecting the hydrological effects of future climate change and land use change. Identifying the individual climatic controls on ETo helps better understand the processes of global climatic change impacts on local water resources and also simplify modeling efforts to predict actual evapotranspiration. We conducted a case study on the Qinhuai River Basin (QRB), a watershed dominated by a humid subtropical climate and mixed land uses in southern China. Long term (1961–2012) daily meteorological data at six weather stations across the watershed were used to estimate ETo by the FAO-56 Penman−Monteith model. The seasonal and annual trends of ETo were examined using the Mann−Kendall nonparametric test. The individual contributions from each meteorological variable were quantified by a detrending method. The results showed that basin-wide annual ETo had a decreasing trend during 1961–1987 due to decreased wind speed (WS), solar radiation (Rs), vapor pressure deficit (VPD), and increased relative humidity (RH). These variables had different magnitudes of contribution to the ETo trend in different seasons examined during 1961−1987. However, during 1988–2012, both seasonal and annual ETo showed an increasing trend, mainly due to increased VPD and decreased RH and, to lesser extent, to decreased absolute humidity (AH) and a rising air temperature. We show that the key climatic controls on ETo have dramatically shifted as a result of global climate change during the past five decades. Now the atmospheric demand, instead of air temperature alone, is a major control on ETo. Thus, we conclude that accurately predicting current and future ETo and hydrological change under a changing climate must consider changes in VPD (i.e., air humidity and temperature) in the study region. Water resource management in the study basin must consider the increasing trend of ETo to meet the associated increasing water demand for irrigation agriculture and domestic water uses.


2017 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 293-300 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohamed Elhag ◽  
Hanaa K. Galal ◽  
Haneen Alsubaie

Abstract. Hydrological characteristics such as topographic parameters, drainage attributes, and land use/land cover patterns are essential to evaluate the water resource management of a watershed area. In the current study, delineation of a watershed and calculation of morphometric characteristics were undertaken using the ASTER global digital elevation model (GDEM). The drainage density of the basin was estimated to be very high, which indicates that the watershed possesses highly permeable soils and low to medium relief. The stream order of the area ranges from first to sixth order, showing a semi-dendritic and radial drainage pattern that indicates heterogeneity in textural characteristics, and it is influenced by structural characteristics in the study area. The bifurcation ratio (Rb) of the basin ranges from 2.0 to 4.42, and the mean bifurcation ratio is 3.84 in the entire study area, which signifies that the drainage pattern of the entire basin is controlled much more by the lithological and geological structure. The elongation ratio is 0.14, which indicates that the shape of the basin has a narrow and elongated shape. A land use/land cover map was generated by using a Landsat-8 image acquired on 10 August 2015 and classified to distinguish mainly the alluvial deposit from the mountainous rock.


Author(s):  
Muhammad Nawaz Bhatti

The British Government of India divided the Muslim majority province of Punjab into Eastern and Western Punjab. But the partition line was drawn in a manner that headworks remained in India and irrigated land in Pakistan. The partition of Punjab was not scheduled in the original plan of the division of India. Why was it partitioned? To answer this question, the study in the first instance tries to explore circumstances, reasons, and conspiracies which led to the partition of Punjab which led to the division of the canal irrigation system and secondly, the impact of partition on water resource management in the Indus River Basin. Descriptive, historical, and analytical methods of research have been used to draw a conclusion. The study highlights the mindset of Indian National Congress to cripple down the newly emerging state of Pakistan that became a root cause of the partition of Punjab. The paper also highlights why India stopped water flowing into Pakistan on 1st April 1948 and the analysis also covers details about the agreement of 4th May 1948 and its consequences for Pakistan.


Waterlines ◽  
1997 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 23-25
Author(s):  
Barry Lloyd ◽  
Teresa Thorpe

1987 ◽  
Vol 19 (9) ◽  
pp. 97-106
Author(s):  
J. J. Vasconcelos

Hater resource managers in semi-arid regions are faced with some unique problems. The wide variations in precipitation and stream flows in semi-arid regions increase man's dependence on the ground water resource for an ample and reliable supply of water. Proper management of the ground water resource is absolutely essential to the economic well being of semi-arid regions. Historians have discovered the remains of vanished advanced civilizations based on irrigated agriculture which were ignorant of the importance of proper ground water resource management. In the United States a great deal of effort is presently being expended in the study and control of toxic discharges to the ground water resource. What many public policy makers fail to understand is that the potential loss to society resulting from the mineralization of the ground water resource is potentially much greater than the loss caused by toxic wastes discharges, particularly in developing countries. Appropriations for ground water resource management studies in developed countries such as the United States are presently much less than those for toxic wastes management and should be increased. It is the reponsibility of the water resource professional to emphasize to public policy makers the importance of ground water resource management. Applications of ground water resource management models in the semi-arid Central Valley of California are presented. The results demonstrate the need for proper ground water resource management practices in semi-arid regions and the use of ground water management models as a valuable tool for the water resource manager.


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