LONG-TERM IMPACT OF BREXIT ON AUSTRIAN ECONOMY – SINGLE COUNTRY CGE MODEL

Author(s):  
Lukáš Burian
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anne Briand ◽  
Arnaud Reynaud ◽  
Franck Viroleau ◽  
Vasileos Markantonis ◽  
Giuliana Branciforti

Abstract We develop a dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model to assess the macroeconomic impacts of water scarcity and water (in)security in South Africa. The water-CGE model which includes a detailed representation of water flows (surface water, groundwater, wastewater, and seawater) has been calibrated with an updated social accounting matrix enabling to conduct policy simulations up to 2030. We show that water scarcity will have an impact on the South African economy. With an increase of water scarcity by 17%, the CGE model predicts a decrease of South African GDP by -0.34% in 2030. The long-term impact of water scarcity varies from one sector to another, with the most negatively impacted sectors being those related to water (loss of GDP up to -2.48%). Due to the increase of water scarcity, the unemployment rate is expected to be 0.1% higher in 2020 which represents a loss of 18,000 jobs compared to the baseline year (2013). The 17% increase in water scarcity is also expected to have a negative impact on household welfare: by 2030, household consumption may decrease by -0.26%. Some policies can mitigate the negative impacts of water scarcity, the most promising one being to promote water saving.


Crisis ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 36 (3) ◽  
pp. 220-224 ◽  
Author(s):  
Steven Stack

Abstract. Background: There has been no systematic work on the short- or long-term impact of the installation of crisis phones on suicides from bridges. The present study addresses this issue. Method: Data refer to 219 suicides from 1954 through 2013 on the Skyway Bridge in St. Petersburg, Florida. Six crisis phones with signs were installed in July 1999. Results: In the first decade after installation, the phones were used by 27 suicidal persons and credited with preventing 26 or 2.6 suicides a year. However, the net suicide count increased from 48 in the 13 years before installation of phones to 106 the following 13 years or by 4.5 additional suicides/year (t =3.512, p < .001). Conclusion: Although the phones prevented some suicides, there was a net increase after installation. The findings are interpreted with reference to suggestion/contagion effects including the emergence of a controversial bridge suicide blog.


2009 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jenna L. Claes ◽  
Sean S. Hankins ◽  
J. K. Ford
Keyword(s):  

Diabetes ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 68 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 966-P
Author(s):  
ATSUSHI FUJIYA ◽  
TOSHIKI KIYOSE ◽  
TAIGA SHIBATA ◽  
HIROSHI SOBAJIMA

Author(s):  
Xun Yuan ◽  
Andreas Mitsis ◽  
Thomas Semple ◽  
Michael Rubens ◽  
Christoph A. Nienaber

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiayue Jiao

 Economic vitality is an important indicator of regional competitiveness. The demand for talents and the vitality of enterprises in different regions are obvious to all and have practical significance. Therefore, it is necessary to establish a survey data model and conduct in-depth study on improving regional economic vitality from the perspective of policy.Based on a variety of forecasting methods, this paper analyzes the short-term and long-term impact of economic policies in Northeast China, and finally puts forward the factors that affect the economic vitality of northeast policies. Finally, the paper puts forward the feasibility and targeted suggestions of strengthening regional economic vitality, obtaining long-term development and building a more competitive city in the new era. 


Author(s):  
V.B. Kondratiev

The COVID-19 pandemic has affected the commodity markets and mining industry around the world in different ways. Mining company’s operations have been hit by coronavirus outbreaks and government-mandated production stops. Demand for many commodities remains low. This paper examines the potential long-term impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on future commodity demand, mining prospects, as well as tactical and strategic steps by mining companies to overcome the current crisis quickly and effectively.


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