scholarly journals Могући правци развоја монетарне политике БиХ у циљу подстицања економског раста // Possible tendencies of BiH monetary policy in encouraging the economic growth

2014 ◽  
Vol 12 (20) ◽  
pp. 213
Author(s):  
Бранка Топић-Павковић
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Bosnia And Herzegovina ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Current Account Balance ◽  
Currency Board ◽  
Policy Model ◽  
Currency Boards ◽  
And Control

Резиме: Осигурати раст националне економије, уз истовремену унутрашњу и спољну стабилност цијена, поставља се као примарни задатак економске политике. Избор валутног одбора као модела управљања монетарном политиком обезбјеђује раст повјерења у домаћу валуту, макроекономску стабилност и јачање кредибилитета централне банке, посебно у земљама транзиционих и реформских процеса. Полазећи од ограничења овог модела монетарне политике, питања домаће конкурентности и контроле биланса текућег рачуна постају све битнија. У условима немогућности интервенције монетарне политике штетне посљедице на извоз и економски раст земље несумњиво показују да класични монетарни одбор представља погодно средство монетарне стабилизације, али не и механизам динамизирања привредног раста. Рад се фокусира на избор облика монетарне политике која би у датим условима могла да обезбиједи највећи допринос расту и привредном опоравку. Циљ рада је указати на могуће модификације постојећег система монетарног одбора у Босни и Херцеговини, анализом савремених валутних одбора и искустава земаља чланица које су примјењивале овај режим прије приступања Европској (монетарној) унији. Резултати истраживања потврђују низ предности које монетарни одбор пружа малим и отвореним економијама, али истичу и недостатке који доводе у питање одрживост овог аранжмана монетарне политике и воде модификацији постојећег модела валутног одбора, што би проширило дјеловање Централне банке Босне и Херцеговине.Summary: To ensure the growth of the national economy with simultaneous internal and external price stability is set as the primary goal of economic policy. Choosing the currency board as a model of monetary policy provides increased confidence in the local currency, macroeconomic stability and strength of the central bank credibility, especially in development countries. Considering the constraints of the currency board, national competitiveness and control of the current account balance are becoming very significant questions. In terms of the inability of monetary policy interventions to effect on exports and economic growth of the country, undoubtedly show that classical monetary board is a convenient measure of monetary stabilization but not the mechanism of intensification of economic growth. This paper focuses on the choice of monetary policy model to the given conditions which could provide the growth and economic recovery. The aim of this paper is to emphasize the possible modification of the existing system of currency board in Bosnia and Herzegovina, by analyzing modern currency boards and experiences of member states that have followed this regime before accession to the European (Monetary) Union. The results confirmed a number of benefits that monetary board provides for a small and open economy, but also point out the shortcomings that stress questions about the sustainability of this arrangement and possible tendencies of modification of existing model of the currency board, primarily with widening the instruments and action of the Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina.

scholarly journals Business cycle synchronization and monetary policy in Bosnia and Herzegovina

Bankarstvo ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 50 (2) ◽  
pp. 8-20
Author(s):  
Dragan Jović
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Business Cycle ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Bosnia And Herzegovina ◽  
Great Part ◽  
Currency Board ◽  
The Business Cycle ◽  
Further Development ◽  
Discretionary Monetary Policy ◽  
New Instruments

By adopting the currency board at the end of the last century, and by pegging its exchange rate to the Euro, a quarter of a century ago, Bosnia and Herzegovina surrendered a great part of its monetary policy in the hand of European Central Bank in the hope that the synchronization of the business cycle will make foreign monetary policy completely suitable for Bosnia and Herzegovina. At the same time during these two decades, the Central Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina has been developing and using reserve requirement and remuneration as discretionary instruments of monetary policy. The research shows that the domestic business cycle and the foreign one are relatively weakly synchronized compared to other countries' degree of synchronization, and by this findings current discretionary monetary policy and its further development and enrichment with new instruments is fully justified. Bosnia and Herzegovina must continue with developing its own discretionary monetary policy without relying on foreign monetary policy.

scholarly journals The Political Economy of Currency Boards: Case of Bosnia and Herzegovina

2010 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 7-20 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shirley Gedeon
Keyword(s):  
Political Economy ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Bosnia And Herzegovina ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Central Banking ◽  
The Political ◽  
Currency Board ◽  
Currency Boards

The Political Economy of Currency Boards: Case of Bosnia and HerzegovinaCurrency Board Arrangements (CBAs) operate in several post-socialist European economies as an alternative to traditional central banking. The CBA literature primarily focuses on the discipline of the fixed exchange rate, suggesting that the gain of reduced exchange rate volatility and monetary stability outweigh the loss of independent monetary policy. It does not address the role and impact of foreign ownership of the banking system on currency board dynamics. Through a case study of the CBA in Bosnia and Herzegovina over a ten-year period, including the global financial crisis of 2008-09, this paper suggests that monetary policy is not abandoned; it is decentralized and privatized and critical to the maintenance of financial stability of the CBA.

scholarly journals Currency Board Policy and Economic Development of Bosnia and Herzegovina in the Context of European integration

2018 ◽  
Vol 15 (27) ◽  
Author(s):  
Željko Marić
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Economic Development ◽  
European Integration ◽  
Bosnia And Herzegovina ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Domestic Currency ◽  
Currency Board ◽  
Negative Consequences ◽  
Deductive Method ◽  
Discretionary Monetary Policy

Bosnia and Herzegovina is a small and open economy in transition with great distrust in local authorities and institutions. The country applies a currency board as the only acceptable and optimal exchange rate system in order to protect its monetary policy from political influences. The strict rules of the currency board provide monetary stability and confidence in the domestic currency, but disable the pursuit of discretionary monetary policy and limit autonomous fiscal policy for the purpose of stimulating an investment cycle and economic development without coordinated accompanying support of monetary policy.The subject of this paper is an analysis of the short-term and long-term effects of the currency board application in Bosnia and Herzegovina in conditions of increasing liberalization through the process of European integration. Given the negative consequences and limitations of the currency board system, this paper analyses in particular the possibility of introducing a central bank with discretionary monetary policy instruments, as well as other measures that can influence the overvaluation of the domestic currency exchange rate.The scientific methods used in the paper are: inductive-deductive method, descriptive method and statistical method. The conclusion and recommendations areobtained by using inductive-deductive method and descriptions of current economictrends based on numerous secondary statistical data presented in the tables andcharts.

Interest Rate–Economic Growth Nexus Under Currency Board Operations

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 13-24
Author(s):  
Martinianus Tshimologo Tibinyane ◽  
Teresia Kaulihowa
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Impulse Response ◽  
Response Function ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Small Open Economy ◽  
Impulse Response Function ◽  
Policy Instrument ◽  
Variance Decomposition ◽  
Currency Board

This paper analyses the effect of the prime interest rate as a monetary policy instrument to stimulate economic growth in Namibia, a small open economy that is constrained by currency board operations. A Vector Autoregressive Model (VAR) was used for the period 1980–2019. The result shows that Namibia’s prime interest rate has no significant effect on economic growth. This finding remains robust and consistent when impulse response function and variance decomposition are employed. The impulse response function indicates a shock on the prime interest rate exhibits an inverse relationship. However, this effect is insignificant in both short and long-run scenarios. The variance decomposition indicates that the prime interest rate has a strongly exogenous impact, implying it has a weak influence on GDP growth. Policy implication indicates that small open economies under currency board operations need to identify different policy responses to circumvent external shocks and addresses their development needs.

scholarly journals Unconventional monetary policy of the European Central Bank: A brief recapitulation

2019 ◽  
Vol 53 (3) ◽  
pp. 43
Author(s):  
Ilona Skibińska-Fabrowska
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Economic Crisis ◽  
Financial Market ◽  
European Central Bank ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Unconventional Monetary Policy ◽  
European Central ◽  
National Bank

<p>The financial and economic crisis that has hit many economies in recent years has significantly increased the activity of central banks. After using the standard instruments of conducting monetary policy, in view of the obstruction of monetary impulse transmission channels, they reached for non-standard instruments. Among them, asset purchase programs played a signifciant role. The European Central Bank (ECB) launched the largest asset purchase programme (APP) of this type in 2014 and expired in December 2018. The aim of the undertaken activities was to improve the situation on the financial market and stimulate economic growth. The article reviews the literature and results of research on the effects of the program and indicates the possibility of using the ECB’s experience in conducting monetary policy by the National Bank of Poland.</p>

scholarly journals THE ROLE OF THE CENTRAL BANK IN THE FUNCTION OF IMPROVEMENT OF LIQUIDITY OF BANKING SECTOR IN BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (24) ◽  
Author(s):  
Goran Mitrović ◽  
Živko Erceg
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Bosnia And Herzegovina ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Policy Instruments ◽  
Foreign Banks ◽  
Dayton Agreement ◽  
The Impact

The monetary policy of Bosnia andHerzegovina is rather limited because it is basedon the principles of a currency boardcharacterized by the impossibility of implementingthe basic monetary policy instruments incomparison with the monetary policy of theEuropean Union. However, the constant presenceof European integrations should point the need fora more drastic change in the monetary policy ofBosnia and Herzegovina. By entering theEuropean Monetary Union (EMU), the monetaryterritory of Bosnia and Herzegovina will becomeone of the branches of the European Central Bank(ECB). In addition, it is not difficult to concludewhy the Law about the Central Bank of Bosnia andHerzegovina has been adopted with the first lawsof the Dayton Agreement, if it is known that thelargest part of the banking system, and thereforethe financial market, is owned by foreign banks.This work will point out the significance of theCentral Bank of Bosnia and Herzegovina, as oneof the most important factors for maintaining thepermanent liquidity of the banking sector inBosnia and Herzegovina. The possibilities andlimitations of the Central Bank of Bosnia andHerzegovina will be determined, with theassumption of macroeconomic sustainability overa longer period of time. The need of reforming thebanking system in Bosnia and Herzegovina will beanalyzed through the constant implementation ofthe Basel standards with the increasingparticipation of foreign banks in the Bosnia andHerzegovina. It will be determined the impact ofthe implementation of the Basel III in the bankingindustry in Bosnia and Herzegovina and itsconsequences on the banking and economicsystem.models, on the ways of financing theelimination of adverse consequences of naturaldisasters.

SATISFICING SOLUTIONS TO A MONETARY POLICY PROBLEM

2009 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 46-80 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jacek Krawczyk ◽  
Kunhong Kim
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Optimal Solution ◽  
Solution Procedure ◽  
Viability Theory ◽  
Policy Model ◽  
Policy Problem ◽  
Viability Analysis ◽  
Unique Optimal Solution ◽  
Nobel Prize Laureate

Herbert A. Simon, 1978 Economics Nobel Prize laureate, talked about satisficing (his neologism) rather than optimizing as being what economists really need. Indeed, optimization might be an unsuitable solution procedure (in that it suggests a unique “optimal” solution) for problems where many solutions could be satisfactory. We think that looking for an applicable monetary policy is a problem of this kind because there is no unique way in which a central bank can achieve a desired inflation (unemployment, etc.) path. We think that it is viability theory, which is a relatively young area of mathematics, that rigorously captures the essence of satisficing. We aim to use viability analysis to analyze a simple macro policy model and show how some robust adjustment rules can be endogenously obtained.

The new Central bank three-year plan in the context of the main problems of the Russian economy (on the draft «Main directions of the unified state monetary policy for 2021 and the period 2022–2023» of the Bank of Russia)

2021 ◽  
pp. 33-44
Author(s):  
Mikhail Ershov ◽  
Anna Tanasova
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Subject Area ◽  
Negative Answer ◽  
Russian Economy ◽  
Regulatory Instruments ◽  
Budget Policy ◽  
The Subject ◽  
The Russian Federation

The article presents an analysis of the draft «Main directions of the unified state monetary policy for 2021 and for the period 2022–2023» of the Bank of Russia, aimed at finding out whether the designed monetary policy will contribute to solving the main problems of the Russian economy. Leaning towards a generally negative answer to this question, the authors of the article, firstly, establish that some of these problems, including problems whose solution falls within the direct competence of the Bank of Russia, and which, accordingly, fall within the subject area of the regulatory instruments available to the Central Bank of the Russian Federation, are clearly insufficiently worked out in the document or, worse, only simply indicated. Unfortunately, this also applies to the key reproduction tasks associated with ensuring rapid, sustainable and high-quality economic growth. Secondly, they fix the year that began in March 2021 new round of increase in the key rate of the Bank of Russia. Third, they emphasize the fact of the negative synergy of the Bank of Russia’s tight monetary policy and the Russian Ministry of Finance’s tight budget policy, designed for the period up to 2023. The article substantiates the need for a coordinated approach of financial regulators and agencies to solve the problems of overcoming the crisis and stimulating economic growth.

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