scholarly journals Análisis de escenarios de políticas para la gestión pública de la agricultura de regadío

2011 ◽  
Vol 5 (9) ◽  
pp. 81 ◽  
Author(s):  
Laura Riesgo ◽  
José A. Gómez-Limón

In this paper we present a methodological approach to analyze the combination of different agricultural policy and irrigation water pricing alternatives. For this purpose we take into account that farmers consider a broad set of criteria at the same time when making decisions. Thus, policy scenario simulations are done trough multi-criteria mathematical programming models capable to simulate farmers’ future behaviour. For this purpose we have opted for models developed within the Multi-Attribute Utility Theory (MAUT). It is also worth noting that results obtained from the simulation models are not only related with farmers’ decision variables (crop mixes). A set of relevant economic, social and environmental attributes related to public objectives are also obtained as a way of measuring the efficiency of the policy scenarios proposed. The results obtained show the usefulness of this methodological approach to evaluate the combined pressures and impacts of both policies.

Author(s):  
Lucinio Asensio ◽  
Rosario Gómez de Barreda ◽  
Miguel Ruiz ◽  
José-Luis Miguel de Diego ◽  
Elvira Miqueleiz

In agricultural economics, one of the greatest weaknesses in mathematical programming models for the evaluation of agricultural processes is the calibration of the model in a base year. The reason for this is that it is extremely difficult, if not impossible, to introduce all the variables affecting farmers’ decisions in the models and thus obtain reliable results. This chapter presents a method for calibrating mathematical programming models using limited information. From the mathematical programming properties, by using the dual form of the original model, this methodology allows the model results to reproduce the situation existing in a baseline situation of the unit (farm, region) modelled. This method, called Positive Mathematical Programming, is currently being used in a great number of analyses of new agricultural policies. In this chapter it is applied to analyse the impact of recent measures of the European Common Agricultural Policy in Spain.


2011 ◽  
Vol 7 (14) ◽  
pp. 83 ◽  
Author(s):  
José A. Gómez-Limón ◽  
Jesús Barreiro-Hurlé

Economic valuation of complex environmental goods has several issues still opened to debate. This paper focuses on two of these aspects; linearity of attributes in the valuation function and individual utility function heterogeneity. A methodological approach based on Multi-attribute Utility Theory is proposed which allows to contrast the impact of these concerns on environmental good valuation. We apply the proposed methodology to value a protected natural in the province of Granada (Spain). From the results obtained we can conclude that attribute non-linearity and individual utility function’s heterogeneity are relevant aspects to be taken into account in environmental valuation.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 965
Author(s):  
Irina Stipanovic ◽  
Zaharah Allah Bukhsh ◽  
Cormac Reale ◽  
Kenneth Gavin

Aged earthworks constitute a major proportion of European rail infrastructures, the replacement and remediation of which poses a serious problem. Considering the scale of the networks involved, it is infeasible both in terms of track downtime and money to replace all of these assets. It is, therefore, imperative to develop a rational means of managing slope infrastructure to determine the best use of available resources and plan maintenance in order of criticality. To do so, it is necessary to not just consider the structural performance of the asset but also to consider the safety and security of its users, the socioeconomic impact of remediation/failure and the relative importance of the asset to the network. This paper addresses this by looking at maintenance planning on a network level using multi-attribute utility theory (MAUT). MAUT is a methodology that allows one to balance the priorities of different objectives in a harmonious fashion allowing for a holistic means of ranking assets and, subsequently, a rational means of investing in maintenance. In this situation, three different attributes are considered when examining the utility of different maintenance options, namely availability (the user cost), economy (the financial implications) and structural reliability (the structural performance and subsequent safety of the structure). The main impact of this paper is to showcase that network maintenance planning can be carried out proactively in a manner that is balanced against the needs of the organization.


2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (10) ◽  
pp. 3453 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiyong Ding ◽  
Juefang Cai ◽  
Guangxiang Guo ◽  
Chen Chen

With the rapid development of the urbanization process, rainstorm water-logging events occur more frequently in big cities in China, which causes great impact on urban traffic safety and brings about severe economic losses. Water-logging has become a hot issue of widespread concern in China. As one kind of natural disasters and emergencies, rainstorm water-logging has the uncertainties of occurrence, development, and evolution. Thus, the emergency decision-making in rainstorm water-logging should be carried out in stages according to its development trend, which is very complicated. In this paper, an emergency decision-making method was proposed for urban water-logging with a hybrid use of dynamic network game technology, Bayesian analysis, and multi-attribute utility theory. The dynamic game process between “rainstorm water-logging” and “decision-making group” was established and the dynamic generation of emergency schemes was analyzed based on Bayesian analysis in various stages of water-logging. In terms of decision-making attributes, this paper mainly considered two goals, i.e., ensuring smooth traffic and controlling emergency cost. The multi-attribute utility theory was used to select the final scheme. An example analysis in Guangzhou of China showed that the method is more targeted and can achieve emergency management objectives more effectively when compared with traditional methods. Therefore, it can provide reference for the scientific decision-making of emergency management in urban rainstorm water-logging.


Author(s):  
Muhammad L O Mardin ◽  
Achamad Fuad ◽  
Hairil K Sirajuddin

Abstrak: Banyaknya pilihan rumah seringkali membuat calon pembeli merasa ragu atau kesulitan saat harus menentukan langsung rumah yang mana yang akan dibeli, karena pada pemilihan perumahan yang akan dibeli belum ada sistem yang akan membantu dalam memilih perumahan yang dibeli, sehingga pada proses pemilihan masih menggunakan pikiran saja dan belum ada perhitungan pada saat pemilihan perumahan yang akan di beli. Tujuan penelitian ini menghasilkan sebuah sistem pendukung keputusan pemilihan perumahan. Kriteria yang diajukan dalam proses pemilihan perumahan yaitu: Harga perumahan, Jarak dari pusat kota, Jarak dengan pasar terdekat, [1], tipe perumahan, jarak dengan jalan umum, jarak dengan lahar. Dari hasil pemilihan perumahan menggunakan sistem yang telah dibuat. dengan 10 alternatif, dengan tingkat kepentingan masing-masing kriteria yang digunakan yaitu: harga = 5, tipe rumah = 5, jarak dengan pusat kota = 2, jarak dengan pasar terdekat = 2, jarak dengan jalan umum = 4, jarak perumahan dengan lahar = 5, telah diperoleh alternatif yang akan direkomendasikan yaitu perumahan safira residen 70 dengan dengan nilai tertinggi 0,65.Kata kunci: Sistem Pendukung Keputusan, Pemilihan, Perumahan, Multi Attribute Utility TheoryAbstract: A large number of choices of houses often makes prospective buyers feel doubtful or difficult when they have to determine directly which house to buy because, in the selection of housing to be purchased, no system will assist in choosing the housing to be purchased so that in the selection process, you still use your mind. There is no calculation at the time of the selection of housing to be purchased. The purpose of this research is to produce a housing selection decision support system. The criteria proposed in the housing selection process are housing prices, distance from the city, distance to the nearest market, [1], type of housing, distance to public roads, distance to lava. From the results of the election using the system that has been created. With ten alternatives, with their respective interests. The criteria used are: price =5, type of house = 5, distance to city center = 2, distance to the nearest market = 2, distance to public roads = 4 distance from housing to lava = 5, has obtained an alternative that will be recommended, namely the residential sapphire housing 70 with the highest value of 0.65Keywords: Housing, Selection, Decision Support System, Multi-Attribute Utility Theory.


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