scholarly journals Probabilistic Methods and Technologies of Risk Prediction and Rationale of Preventive Measures by Using “Smart Systems”: Applications to Coal Branch for Increasing Industrial Safety of Enterprises

Author(s):  
Vladimir Artemyev ◽  
Jury Rudenko ◽  
George Nistratov
Author(s):  
E.V. Klovach ◽  
◽  
A.S. Pecherkin ◽  
V.K. Shalaev ◽  
V.I. Sidorov ◽  
...  

In Russia, the reform of the regulatory guillotine is being implemented in the field of control and supervisory activity. It should result in a new regulatory system formed according to the principles specified in the key federal laws: «On state control (supervision) and municipal control in the Russian Federation» (Law on Control) and «On mandatory requirements in the Russian Federation» (Law on Mandatory Requirements) adopted in August 2020. In the field of industrial safety, this process was launched by the Decree of the Government of the Russian Federation № 1192, which will come into force on January 1, 2021. The main provisions are discussed in the article, which are related to the Law on Control and the Law on Mandatory Requirements. The Law on Control establishes the priority of preventive measures aimed at reducing the risk of causing harm in relation to the control activities, the grounds for carrying out control (supervisory) activities, the types of these activities in the forms of interaction with the controlled person and without such, the procedure for presentation of the results of control (supervisory) activity. The Law on Mandatory Requirements establishes that the provisions of regulatory legal acts should enter into force either from March 1 or September 1, but not earlier than 90 days after their official publication, and their validity period should not exceed 6 years. The drafts of regulatory legal acts developed by the federal executive bodies are subject to regulatory impact assessment. With a view to ensuring systematization of mandatory require ments, their register is kept. The federal executive body prepares a report on the achievement of the goals of mandatory requirements introduction. By January 1, 2021, 10 resolutions of the Government of the Russian Federation, 48 federal norms and rules in the field of industrial safety and 9 other regulatory legal acts of Rostechnadzor should be adopted. The drafts of all the documents are already prepared, some of the acts are completing the process of discussion and approval.


2021 ◽  
Vol 37 (3) ◽  
pp. 21-27
Author(s):  
T. Tairova ◽  
N. Romanenko ◽  
O. Slypachuk

Development of scientifically based measures for the prevention of occupational injuries due to alcohol intoxication of workers are based on modeling of the labor protection system. In order to develop effective preventive measures to prevent accidents at work, the mathematical model of the labor protection system (OS) was built, which takes into account many indicators that assess violations of labor and industrial discipline related to alcohol consumption. The study was based on actual statistics on occupational injuries. The application of the method of mathematical modeling on the basis of injury indicators is justified, as the proposed approach allows to ensure the targeting of preventive measures, the complexity and alternative solutions to problems, the objectivity of management decisions. The proposed scientific approaches to the development of preventive measures for labor protection allow to increase the level of industrial safety, optimize the size of penalties for violations of labor and industrial discipline, regulate relations arising in the course of work related to alcohol consumption in the workplace. Limitations / implications of research. The developed scientific approaches to the prevention of occupational injuries due to alcohol intoxication of workers are universal, they can be applied to different sectors of the economy. Practical consequences. The obtained theoretical conclusions, based on statistical data on occupational injuries, are brought to the level of specific proposals suitable for practical use in the planning of preventive measures for labor protection at enterprises. The presented scientific approaches to solving management problems in labor protection are based on a component method of assessing the occurrence of traumatic events due to violations of labor and production discipline by both employees and employers. For a comprehensive analysis of industrial risks, the main and concomitant causes that led to accidents due to alcohol intoxication of workers were taken into account. This allowed to provide a systematic approach to the assessment of production conditions and behavioral reactions of staff.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 72
Author(s):  
Paul Croft

The rapid rise and implementation of Smart Systems (i.e., multi-functional observation and platform systems that depict settings and/or identify situations or features of interest, often in real-time) has inversely paralleled and readily exposed the reduced capacity of human and societal systems to effectively respond to environmental hazards. This overarching review and essay explores the complex set of interactions found among Smart, Societal, and Environmental Systems. The resulting rise in the poorly performing response solutions to environmental hazards that has occurred despite best practices, detailed forecast information, and the use and application of real-time in situ observational platforms are considered. The application of Smart Systems, relevant architectures, and ever-increasing numbers of applications and tools development by individuals as they interact with Smart Systems offers a means to ameliorate and resolve confounding found among all of the interdependent Systems. The interactions of human systems with environmental hazards further expose society’s complex operational vulnerabilities and gaps in response to such threats. An examination of decision-making, the auto-reactive nature of responses before, during, and after environmental hazards; and the lack of scalability and comparability are presented with regard to the prospects of applying probabilistic methods, cross-scale time and space domains; anticipated impacts, and the need to account for multimodal actions and reactions—including psycho-social contributions. Assimilation of these concepts and principles in Smart System architectures, applications, and tools is essential to ensure future viability and functionalities with regard to environmental hazards and to produce an effective set of societal engagement responses. Achieving the promise of Smart Systems relative to environmental hazards will require an extensive transdisciplinary approach to tie psycho-social behaviors directly with non-human components and systems in order to close actionable gaps in response. Pathways to achieve a more comprehensive understanding are given for consideration by the wide diversity of disciplines necessary to move forward in Smart Systems as tied with the societal response to environmental hazards.


Diabetology ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 123-129
Author(s):  
Gian Alix ◽  
Huaxiong Huang ◽  
Aziz Guergachi ◽  
Karim Keshavjee ◽  
Xin Gao

An online risk prediction tool is developed to calculate a user’s risk of developing type II diabetes mellitus (T2DM). The risk prediction is based on the user’s input of medical lab information, such as age, sex, body mass index, fasting blood sugar, triglycerides, and high-density lipoprotein levels. The calculator is modelled using a logistic regression model, and it is trained using the medical records of over ten thousand Canadian patients. This newly developed tool is intended to serve physicians and patients in predicting future diabetes risk and take early preventive measures.


2012 ◽  
Vol 45 (12) ◽  
pp. 10-11
Author(s):  
MARY ANN MOON
Keyword(s):  

2015 ◽  
Vol 21 ◽  
pp. 97
Author(s):  
Nitika Malhotra ◽  
Reem Alnazawi ◽  
Ved Gossain ◽  
Matthew Hebdon
Keyword(s):  

Crisis ◽  
2009 ◽  
Vol 30 (4) ◽  
pp. 180-185 ◽  
Author(s):  
Evertjan Jansen ◽  
Marcel C.A. Buster ◽  
Annemarie L. Zuur ◽  
Cees Das

Background: According to recent figures, Amsterdam is the municipality with the highest absolute number of suicides and the second highest suicide rate in the Netherlands. Aims: The aim of the study was to identify time trends and demographic differences in the occurrence of nonfatal suicide attempts versus suicides. Methods: We used registrations of forensic physicians and ambulance services of the Municipal Health Service of Amsterdam to study 1,004 suicides and 6,166 nonfatal attempts occurring in Amsterdam over the period 1996–2005. Results: The number of nonfatal attempts declined from 1996 to 2005, but the number of completed suicides remained relatively stable. Although case fatality was strongly associated with method used, we also found higher case fatalities for men and older people independent of method. Conclusions: The case fatality results suggest differences in motive among different demographic groups: possibly the wish to die is stronger among men and elderly. This finding had implications for the success to be expected from different preventive measures.


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