scholarly journals Exchange Rate Regime, Inflation Targeting and Macroeconomic Performance

2016 ◽  
Vol 8 (8) ◽  
pp. 143
Author(s):  
Houda Jendoubi El Achnab
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
Flexible Exchange Rate ◽  
Emerging Countries ◽  
Macroeconomic Performance ◽  
Panel Models ◽  
Fixed Exchange Rate ◽  
Targeting Strategy

<p>This study aims to examine whether emerging countries can use both an inflation targeting strategy and exchange rate regime targeting in order to improve their macroeconomic performance. Empirically, we are based on a sample of 28 emerging countries, over the period 1985-2000. Our findings yielded from mean comparisons tests reveal that in addition to the inflation targeting strategy, countries may adopt an exchange rate regime to improve their growth and decrease their inflation. Moreover, the use of interactive variables in panel models shows that the inflation targeting strategy is a complement to the flexible exchange-rate regime and a substitute for the fixed exchange rate regime.</p>

Inflation targeting and exchange rate regimes in emerging markets

2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Christian Ebeke ◽  
Armand Fouejieu
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Emerging Markets ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Propensity Scores ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
Flexible Exchange Rate ◽  
Marginal Effect ◽  
It Adoption ◽  
Exchange Rate Flexibility ◽  
The Exchange Rate

Abstract This paper investigates the effects of the adoption of inflation targeting (IT) on the choice of exchange rate regime in emerging markets (EMs), conditional on certain macroeconomic conditions. Using a large sample of EMs and after dampening the endogeneity of the adoption of IT using a selection on observables, we find that IT countries on average have a relatively more flexible exchange rate regime than other EMs. However, the flexibility of the exchange rate regime shows strong heterogeneity among IT countries. IT countries with low trade and financial openness and with a large share of external debt exhibit a lower exchange rate flexibility than others. Moreover, the marginal effect of IT adoption on the exchange rate flexibility increases with the duration of the IT regime in place, and with the propensity scores to adopt it.

scholarly journals Interest Rate Policy and Exchange Rates Volatility Lessons from Indonesia

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 19-42
Author(s):  
Haryo Kuncoro
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
Exchange Rate Volatility ◽  
Flexible Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate Policy ◽  
Rate Policy ◽  
Exchange Rates Volatility

AbstractWhether or not inflation targeting adoption leads to increased volatility of exchange rates is controversial. The volatility increases with inflation targeting as a result of the flexible exchange rate regime. Others argue that inflation targeting delivers the best outcomes in terms of lower exchange rate volatility. The purpose of this paper is to investigate whether interest rate policy in inflation targeting frameworks – that is subjected to control inflation rate – may reduce the volatility of exchange rates. To test the hypothesis, we use monthly data in the case of Indonesia over the period 2005(7)-2016(7). Several control variables are introduced in the regressions. The result of the autoregressive distributed lag model proves the interest rate policy and foreign exchange intervention fail to reduce the exchange rates volatility. It seems inflation targeting in Indonesia puts too much emphasis on stabilizing the domestic currency thus leading to benign neglect of stabilizing its external value, ultimately resulting in increased exchange rate volatility. These findings suggest that central bank credibility plays an important role in conducting inflation targeting policy which operates primarily through a signalling effect.

scholarly journals Domestic Macroeconomic Adjustment to Oil Price Shocks Under Different Exchange Rate Regimes in Malaysia

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fumitaka Furuoka ◽  
Wong Hock Tsen ◽  
Chong Hui Ing ◽  
Ting Siew King
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
Exchange Rate Regimes ◽  
Flexible Exchange Rate ◽  
Oil Price ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Oil Price Shocks ◽  
Price Shocks ◽  
Fixed Exchange Rate

This study examined the insulation properties of flexible exchange rate regime and fixed exchange rate regime in response to the oil price shocks in Malaysia. A monthly time series data for the period 1980- 2005 was used to examine whether the response of output, exchange rate and price levels to the oil price shocks were different across the exchange rate regimes. For this purpose, this study employed the structural vector autoregressive model. Empirical results indicated that the short-run output responses to the oil price shocks are smoother under the flexible exchange rate regime compared to the situation under the fixed exchange rate regime.  

scholarly journals A Welfare Based Approach for choosing the Inflation Targeting and the Exchange Regime in Tunisia

2014 ◽  
Vol 6 (12) ◽  
pp. 919-932
Author(s):  
Abdelli Soulaima
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
Small Open Economy ◽  
Flexible Exchange Rate ◽  
Stochastic Dynamic ◽  
Consumer Prices ◽  
The Social ◽  
The Impact

The inflation targeting is considered as an attractive monetary policy strategy in order to handle the inflation rate and improves the credibility of the central bank. The paper provides a stochastic dynamic general equilibrium model with the specificity of employing a small open economy. This model analyzes the impact of different regimes of inflation targeting and exchange rate in Tunisia in terms of the welfare loss and describes some aspects of the Tunisian’s economy. The results displays that the social loss is higher under the managed exchange rate than the flexible exchange rate regime for all the shocks. Then in terms of the inflation targeting index, it demonstrates that the consumer prices index outperforms the domestic inflation except for the productivity shock, in contrast to the result of (Parrado, 2004). Finally the strict is superior to the flexible inflation targeting except with the foreign inflation and the domestic interest rate shock.

scholarly journals Which currency exchange regime for emerging markets?: Corner solutions under question

2007 ◽  
Vol 54 (4) ◽  
pp. 397-427 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jean-Pierre Allegret
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Emerging Markets ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
International Institutions ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
Exchange Rate Regimes ◽  
Emerging Countries ◽  
Currency Exchange ◽  
Corner Solutions ◽  
Exchange Regime

During the 90s, recurrent exchange rate crises in emerging markets have shown the extreme fragility of soft pegs, the so-called intermediate exchange rate regimes. As a result, numerous academic economists but also International institutions have promoted a new consensus: domestic authorities have to choose their exchange rate regime between only two solutions called corner solutions or extreme regimes: hard pegs or independent floating. This paper questions de relevance of this consensus. We stress the main advantages and costs of each corner solution. We conclude by stressing that intermediate regimes associated to an inflation targeting framework seem a better solution for emerging countries than corner solutions.

scholarly journals Contrôle De L’inflation En Regime De Change Fixe: Le Cas De La Communaute Economique Et Monetaire d’Afrique Centrale (CEMAC)

2017 ◽  
Vol 13 (10) ◽  
pp. 379
Author(s):  
Tangakou Soh Robert ◽  
Mba Fokwa Arsѐne ◽  
Akanga Reuben Johnson
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Trade Balance ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
Endogenous Variable ◽  
Negative Effects ◽  
Development Indicators ◽  
Fixed Exchange Rate ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
Main Determinants

This paper focuses on the determinants of inflation under different policy rules and fixed exchange rate regime, the example of the CEMAC zone. The purpose of this paper is to check the behaviour of inflation in fixed exchange rate regime for a flexible targeting period and a period of strict targeting. The data used are mainly from the World Bank, in «the book of world development indicators» contained in the CD -ROM (WDI 2015). Working for the periods 1977-1994, 1995-2012 and 1977-2012, the analyses was done with a dynamic panel that has the distinction of being among the independent variables, the endogenous variable lagged one or more periods. The endogenous variable is the rate of inflation. Estimates made from the Arellano and Bond (1991) method, it is clear that during the period (1977- 1994) of flexible inflation targeting, money supply, trade balance and the exchange rate are the main determinants of inflation. During the period (1995-2012) of strategy of strict inflation targeting, the main determinants of inflation are the benefits of natural resources, the trade balance and the economic crisis. The determinants of inflation have opposing effects of a match type to another and it is the combination of these effects for each variable that shows the different effects of the determinants of inflation over the period. The exchange rate increased the rate of inflation over the first sub-period (1977-1994) and throughout the entire period (1977-2012). In times (1995-2012) of strict inflation targeting, these negative effects were mitigated at the expense of economic growth. Countries with fixed exchange rate regime should not adopt a strict policy of inflation targeting, but should alternate with the growth objective by facilitating financing for investments.

A NOTE ON REMITTANCES, MONETARY REGIMES, AND NONTRADABLE INFLATION DYNAMICS

2015 ◽  
Vol 20 (6) ◽  
pp. 1668-1682 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emmanuel K.K. Lartey
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
The Philippines ◽  
Nominal Exchange Rate ◽  
Optimal Monetary Policy ◽  
Inflation Dynamics ◽  
Sectoral Output ◽  
Monetary Regimes ◽  
Fixed Exchange Rate

This paper examines the dynamic and desirable properties of monetary regimes in a remittances recipient economy, with emphasis on the effect on sectoral output and nontradable inflation dynamics. The findings indicate that under a fixed exchange rate regime, an increase in remittances creates increased demand for nontradable goods, and hence a rise in nontradable inflation, as well as expansion in output of nontradables. Under a nontradable inflation targeting regime, however, a decrease in nontradable inflation and an expansion in tradable goods production are observed following an increase in remittances. A near-zero nontradable inflation rate and managed variability in the nominal exchange rate typify the optimal monetary policy, suggesting that an inflation targeting regime is preferable to a fixed exchange regime under such a scenario. A VAR analysis shows that the dynamics of inflation in El Salvador and the Philippines is in consonance with those observed in the model under the fixed exchange rate and nontradable inflation targeting regimes, respectively.

Exchange Rate Regimes and Economic Stability

2010 ◽  
pp. 29-43
Author(s):  
S. Smirnov
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
Exchange Rate Policy ◽  
Real Sector ◽  
Economic Stability ◽  
Exogenous Shocks ◽  
Floating Exchange Rate ◽  
Rate Policy ◽  
Managed Floating

The Bank of Russia intends to introduce inflation targeting policy and exchange rate free floating regime in three years. Exogenous shocks absorption which stabilizes the real sector of economy is usually considered to be one of the advantages of free floating exchange rate policy. However, our research based on the analysis of 25 world largest economies exchange rates and industrial production during the crisis of 2008-2009 does not confirm this hypothesis. The article also analyzes additional risks associated with free floating exchange rate regime in Russia and presents some arguments in favor of managed floating exchange rate regime.

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