scholarly journals Factors of Stock Return and Carhart Model: The Case of Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) of Bangladesh

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 14
Author(s):  
Mohammad Akter Hossan ◽  
Mohammad Joynal Abedin
Keyword(s):  
Risk Premium ◽  
Stock Return ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Market Value ◽  
Value Premium ◽  
Excess Return ◽  
Momentum Effect ◽  
Market Risk Premium ◽  
Price Momentum ◽  
Size Premium

The objective of this study is to find factors of stock return by testing validity of Carhart model in Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) of Bangladesh. For this purpose, this study uses monthly excess return of portfolios, size, book-to-market value, market return, and price momentum data of 109 sample firms to calculate return factors such as market risk premium, size premium (SMB), value premium (HML), and momentum effect (UMD) for the sample period of 2005 to 2014. Then a total of ten portfolios, six based on size and book-to-market value and four based on size and price momentum, are constructed in this study. Excess return of each of these portfolios are calculated and regressed on the above four factors. Results of this study reveal that in DSE, market risk premium is positively and significantly related with the excess return of all portfolios; Size premium is found positively and significantly related with the return of small size portfolios; Value premium is found negatively and significantly related with the returns of all portfolios except one big portfolio (B/H); momentum effect is found positively and significantly related to the excess return of up (U), big (B), and small (S) size portfolios. It is also evident from R2 value, F statistic, and robustness test of this study that four-factor model is valid and it can predict portfolio returns accurately when there is no abnormality such as market crash occurs in DSE.

scholarly journals Investor Sentiments and Fama–French Five-Factor Premia

SAGE Open ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 215824402110278
Author(s):  
Ume Habibah ◽  
Mujeeb-u-Rehman Bhayo ◽  
Muhammad Shahid Iqbal
Keyword(s):  
Risk Premium ◽  
Explanatory Power ◽  
Composite Index ◽  
Value Premium ◽  
Excess Return ◽  
Monthly Data ◽  
Market Risk Premium ◽  
Size Premium ◽  
Investor Sentiments ◽  
Profitability Premium

This study provides new insights to predict the excess return of a security. As if factor premia are getting influenced by the sentiments that means sentiments are ultimately affecting the excess return of a security. To meet the objective, a composite index developed by Baker and Wurgler is used as sentiment proxy. Monthly data are used from July 1965 to September 2015 in U.S. context. Granger casualty, Vector Autoregression (VAR), and Fama–Macbeth regression are applied to get the results. Results show that investor sentiments significantly drive the Fama factors’ premia: size premium and profitability premium. Sentiments also contain some information to explain the investment premia but fail to explain the market risk premium and value premium. Furthermore, results suggest that sentiments increase the explanatory power of model measured by R square. In short, this study suggests that investor sentiments play a role in explaining the Fama–French five-factor premia.

scholarly journals Cash to Price Ratio & Stock Returns: Evidence from Emerging Markets

2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (11) ◽  
pp. 153
Author(s):  
Nudrat Fatima ◽  
Muhammad Waqas ◽  
Rameez Hassan ◽  
Ahmad Fraz ◽  
Muhammad Arif
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Return ◽  
Positive Relationship ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Equity Markets ◽  
Value Premium ◽  
Size Premium ◽  
Market Premium ◽  
Relationship Of ◽  
India And China

This study examines the impact of size premium and value premium on average return in emerging economies i.e. Pakistan, India and China equity markets for the period from June 2000 to June 2015 by using three factors model. This study predicts the significance and positive relationship between value premium(C/P Ratio) and stock return for all non-financial companies listed on Karachi stock exchange, Bombay stock exchange and Shanghai stock exchange on the basis of market Capitalization. The regression results of the study illustrate that size premium predict returns more for small firms than big firms while market premium found significantly positive with stock returns in Pakistan, India, and China. Value premium is found positive for all created portfolios. Therefore, it can be concluded that value effect is present in three emerging markets. High C/P ratio outperforms the low C/P ratio stocks. In this study C/P ratio (value premium) integrated with size and market premium to check whether it can predict stock returns of small and large firms for high or low C/P ratio. The finding is similar that the positive relationship of value premium and stock return and the negative relationship of size premium and stock return. The explanatory power of Fama and French three-factor model is greater than CAPM for all three equity markets, so, the asset pricing model can facilitate investors in efficient portfolio diversification for getting enhanced returns.

scholarly journals PENGARUH ECONOMIC VALUE ADDED (EVA) DAN MARKET VALUE ADDED (MVA) TERHADAP RETURN SAHAM PERUSAHAAN OTOMOTIF DI INDONESIA TAHUN 2007–2010

El Dinar ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 1 (02) ◽  
Author(s):  
Putri Kurnia Widiati
Keyword(s):  
Stock Return ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Economic Value ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Market Value ◽  
Stock Exchanges ◽  
Good Prediction ◽  
Economic Value Added ◽  
Market Value Added ◽  
Important Position

<p>This study analyzed the effect of Economic Value Added (EVA), Market Value Added (MVA) of otomotif companies Stock return listed on stock exchanges Indonesia, because otomotif companies have an important position on Indonesian Economics.Population of this research are otomotif company that listed on the Stock Exchange of Indonesia from 2007–2010 with sensus sampling method and multiple regresion analysis to analyzed. For the parsial side Market Value Added (MVA) has an influence to stock return of Otomotif Company that listed on the Stock Exchange. To get the trust from investor, otomotif company should have good performance with a good value of Market Value Added, because Market Value Added has significant effect to stock return; and have a good prediction about another factor that influence the stock return wich used histories data for the indicator.</p><p> </p>

scholarly journals ANALISIS PENGARUH CAPM BETA, FIRM SIZE, BOOK TO MARKET RATIO, DAN MOMENTUM TERHADAP RETURN SAHAM

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Alex Tumpal Hutajulu ◽  
Evita Puspitasari
Keyword(s):  
Firm Size ◽  
Stock Return ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Market Value ◽  
Total Asset ◽  
Predictive Capability ◽  
Book Value ◽  
Purposive Sampling ◽  
Book To Market Ratio ◽  
Capm Beta

This research is performed to examine influence of capm beta, firm size, book to market ratio, and momentum on stock return in companies that listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The population in this research was manufacture companies that listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange during 2012-2014 with purposive sampling. Variables used in this research are capital gain (return), natural logarithma total asset (firm size), the ratio of book value to market value (book to market ratio), and return t-12 (momentum). The results shows that beta, firm size, book to market ratio and momentum simultaneously have a significant impact toward stock return. The conclusion based on partial test are (1) book to market ratio and momentum have a positive significance influence toward stock return (2) beta has negative insignificance influence toward stock return and firm size has positive insignificance influence toward stock return. Predictive capability of independent variabel in this research to stock return is 34,09% while other 65,91% was influenced by other factors.

Effect of Cash Holding Policy of Financially Constrained Firms on Their Market Performance

2018 ◽  
Vol 43 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 31-45
Author(s):  
Nidhi Singh
Keyword(s):  
Capital Structure ◽  
Stock Return ◽  
Market Performance ◽  
Cash Holdings ◽  
Market Value ◽  
Excess Return ◽  
Cash Holding ◽  
Market Return ◽  
Indian Context ◽  
Excess Cash

Our study is based on the methodology suggested by Faulkender and Wang (2006) in the Indian context, to discuss the various aspects of cash holding policy with respect to financially constrained (FC) and unconstrained firms. Primary goal of the study is to understand shareholders’ perception on the level of cash holdings in constrained and unconstrained firms, and how much value they give to excess cash holdings with respect to cash level and capital structure of a firm. This study also analyzes the shareholders’ perception, which is measured by stock return, and market value of asset, by determining the variation, in excess return and Tobin’s Q over the last 10 years. The result shows less or no effect of excess cash holding either in average firms or in constrained firms. Findings also suggests that shareholders, prefer large firms to maintain excess cash for investment, or to fulfil their liabilities on time. Overall the findings determine the importance of cash level but also indicate the presence of other determinants of the firms, to enhance market return and build shareholders perception.

scholarly journals Pengaruh Likuiditas, Solvabilitas dan Nilai Pasar Terhadap Return Saham

2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 43
Author(s):  
Dede Hertina ◽  
Mohamad Bayu Herdiawan Hidayat
Keyword(s):  
Stock Return ◽  
Agricultural Sector ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Market Value ◽  
Quantitative Approach ◽  
Research Results ◽  
Verification Method ◽  
Return Value

The purpose of this study was to determine the information, solvability, and value of shares of the Agricultural Sector Companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the 2012-2016 period. The method used in this research is descriptive and verification method with a quantitative approach. Research Results The company with the highest liquidity in 2012 was PT Bumi Teknokultura Unggul Tbk with liquidity of 6747.74, and the company with the lowest liquidity in 2013 was PT Bumi Teknokultura Unggul Tbk with liquidity of 14.33. The highest solvency value is PT. Central Proteinaprima Tbk amounted to 64.05, while the lowest solvency value in 2015 was owned by PT Inti Agri Resources Tbk at 0.04. The highest Market Value in 2012 was PT. Central Proteinaprima Tbk amounted to 38.72, while the lowest average market value in 2016 was PT Gozco Plantation Tbk of 0.19. The highest Stock Return Value in 2014 was PT. Central Proteinaprima Tbk at 1.06, while the lowest stock return value in 2015 was owned by PT Eagle High Plantations Tbk at -0.66.

scholarly journals Pengaruh return on equity, earnings per share, economic value added, dan market value added terhadap return saham perusahaan sektor pertanian yang terdaftar di bursa efek indonesia periode 2010-2016

2018 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nastasya Cindy Hidajat
Keyword(s):  
Stock Return ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Economic Value ◽  
Value Added ◽  
Market Value ◽  
Economic Value Added ◽  
Return On Equity ◽  
Panel Data Regression ◽  
Data Regression ◽  
Market Value Added

The purpose of this research was to test the effect of return on equity, earning per share, economic value added, and market value added to stock return of agriculture firm that listed at Indonesian Stock Exchange in the period of 2010-2016 either partially or simultaneously. This research used 77 samples. The method used is panel data regression analysis using EViews 6. The results showed that return on equity, earning per share economic value added, and market value added partially has positive significant influence on the stock return, and return on equity, earning per share, economic value added, and market value added simultaneously affect the stock return.

scholarly journals DEFAULT RISK PREMIUM AND EQUITY RETURN OF NON-FINANCIAL COMPANIES OF PAKISTAN

2017 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 64-76
Author(s):  
Sadaf Adalat
Keyword(s):  
Risk Premium ◽  
Default Risk ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Explanatory Power ◽  
Weighted Average ◽  
Equity Returns ◽  
Investment Strategies ◽  
Size Premium ◽  
Fama And French ◽  
Market Premium

The current study was aimed to examine the relationship between default risk premium and equity return by using sample of hundred companies from period between 2000 and 2015, listed at Karachi Stock Exchange. The firms are chosen on the basis of market capitalization. To examine the role of market premium, size premium, value premium and default premium in estimating the equity returns, the two pass regression was used. It was found that CAPM is valid model as market premium is priced but explanatory power is low. Similarly, the findings suggested that the CAPM model is not better than Fama and French model. Default risk premium is also significantly influencing equity returns. The study findings provided evidence about premium of default risk anomaly in Pakistani markets during the sample period. In default sorted portfolio the low default stocks earn lower than the high default stocks. This study has implications for decision markers in estimating cost of equity as well as weighted average cost of capital as it provides more information in comparison to CAPM. Moreover, information about premium of size, value and default anomaly may facilitate under developing investment strategies.

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