scholarly journals The Choice of Interest Rate Models and Its Effect on Bank Capital Requirements Regulation and Financial Stability

2017 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 74
Author(s):  
Sebastian Lang ◽  
Reto Signer ◽  
Klaus Spremann
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Economic Value ◽  
Generalized Method Of Moments ◽  
Balance Sheet ◽  
Interest Rate Risk ◽  
Capital Requirements ◽  
Regulatory Capital ◽  
Interest Rate Models

According to the Basel regulation banks may use internal risk models to measure interest rate risk and calculate regulatory capital requirements. Under its pillar II the Basel framework grants leeway to banks in their choice of these models. We therefore focus on how well interest rate models describe real interest rate movements empirically and which impact the model choice has on the economic value of bank equity during the financial crisis. Furthermore, we address the question how different choices of interest rate models affect the overall financial stability. To this end we estimate eight different interest rate models for three different currencies (USD, EUR, CHF) using the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM). Then we approximate the balance sheet of a typical Swiss bank during the financial crisis and run Monte Carlo simulations of the balance sheet using the estimated interest rate models. Our results show that the required economic value of equity for a bank varies considerably with the different choices of interest rate models. However, the interest rate models which are empirically best fitting do not imply aggregate financial stability. Thus, banks’ choices of interest rate models to calculate regulatory capital requirements may have a crucial impact on overall financial stability.

Bank Capital Requirements after the Financial Crisis

2019 ◽  
pp. 706-735
Author(s):  
Mark E. Van Der Weide ◽  
Jeffrey Y. Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Structural Changes ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Balance Sheet ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Capital Requirements ◽  
Bank Capital ◽  
Regulatory Capital ◽  
Stress Tests ◽  
Global Banking

Regulators responded with an array of strategies to shore up weaknesses exposed by the 2008 financial crisis. This chapter focuses on reforms to bank capital regulation. We first discuss the ways in which the post-crisis Basel III reforms recalibrated the existing framework by improving the quality of capital, increasing the quantity of capital, and improving the calculation of risk weights. We then shift to the major structural changes in the regulatory capital framework—capital buffers on top of the minimum requirements; a leverage ratio that explicitly accounts for off-balance-sheet exposures; risk-based and leverage capital surcharges on the largest banks; bail-in debt to facilitate orderly resolution; and forward-looking stress tests. We conclude with a quantitative assessment of the evolution of capital in the global banking system and in the US banking sector.

scholarly journals What's Wrong with Annuity Markets?

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 (044) ◽  
pp. 1-69
Author(s):  
Stéphane Verani ◽  
◽  
Pei Cheng Yu ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rate Risk ◽  
Capital Requirements ◽  
Regulatory Capital ◽  
Life Insurers ◽  
Rate Risk ◽  
Interest Rate Risk Management ◽  
Rate Environment ◽  
Life Annuities ◽  
The Cost

We show that the supply of life annuities in the U.S. is constrained by interest rate risk. We identify this effect using annuity prices offered by U.S. life insurers from 1989 to 2019 and exogenous variations in contract-level regulatory capital requirements. The cost of interest rate risk management accounts for at least half of the average life annuity markups or eight per- centage points. The contribution of interest rate risk to annuity markups sharply increased after the great financial crisis, suggesting new retirees' opportunities to transfer their longevity risk are unlikely to improve in a persistently low interest rate environment.

Interest rate risk in the banking book – is the SSM’s regulatory approach tight enough?

2021 ◽  
Vol 33 (1) ◽  
pp. 57-70
Author(s):  
Marc Wambold ◽  
Axel Wieandt
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Economic Value ◽  
Interest Rate Risk ◽  
Capital Requirements ◽  
Minimum Capital ◽  
Rate Risk ◽  
Regulatory Approach ◽  
European Banking ◽  
Outlier Tests

Abstract The current low interest rate environment is an unprecedented situation for the European banking union’s single supervisory mechanism (SSM) in that it increases interest rate risk in the banking book (IRRBB) for euro area banks. Sudden upward movements in rates threaten the economic value of bank equity, and persistently high interest rates can lead to lower bank earnings. These risks point to the need for a comprehensive supervisory approach to regulating IRRBB. Given the extraordinary circumstances and high levels of IRRBB which banks are and will be exposed to, we evaluate whether the SSM’s regulatory approach is tight enough. Specifically, we assess the adequacy of the supervisory outlier tests by performing an empirical analysis on historical interest rate changes and discussing whether the earnings perspective should be included in the supervisory outlier tests. Furthermore, we consider the minimum capital requirements for IRRBB against the background of the current low interest rates. Overall, we conclude that the current SSM’s approach on IRRBB is not tight enough. While we confirm the adequacy of the existing supervisory outlier tests, we recommend complementing them with outlier tests regarding the net interest income of banks. We further recommend implementing a standardised approach for calculating minimum capital requirements to improve banks’ resilience against IRRBB.

Balance-sheet interest rate risk: a weighted Lp approach

2018 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 91-104 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leslaw Gajek ◽  
Elzbieta Krajewska
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Balance Sheet ◽  
Interest Rate Risk ◽  
Rate Risk

Economic Consequences of the AOCI Filter Removal for Advanced Approaches Banks

2019 ◽  
Vol 94 (6) ◽  
pp. 309-335 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sehwa Kim ◽  
Seil Kim ◽  
Stephen G. Ryan
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rate Risk ◽  
Economic Consequences ◽  
Data Availability ◽  
Regulatory Capital ◽  
Management Options ◽  
Interest Rate Spread ◽  
Loan Supply ◽  
Other Comprehensive Income ◽  
Interest Rate Risk Management

ABSTRACT We examine economic consequences of U.S. bank regulators' phased removal of the prudential filter for accumulated other comprehensive income for advanced approaches banks beginning on January 1, 2014. The primary effect of the AOCI filter is to exclude unrealized gains and losses on available-for-sale securities from banks' regulatory capital. We predict and find that, to mitigate regulatory capital volatility resulting from the filter removal, advanced approaches banks increased the proportion of investment securities classified as held-to-maturity, thereby limiting their financing and interest rate risk management options, and they decreased securities risk, thereby reducing their interest rate spread. We further predict and find that these banks borrow more under securities repurchase agreements potentially collateralized by held-to-maturity securities and reduce loan supply owing to their reduced financing options, and that they increase loan risk to mitigate the decrease in their interest rate spread. JEL Classifications: G21; G28; M41; M48. Data Availability: Data are available from the public sources cited in the text.

Macroeconomic Shocks and Unconventional Monetary Policy

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Emerging Markets ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Spillover Effects ◽  
Macroeconomic Shocks ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Developed Economies

Barely two decades after the Asian financial crisis Asia was suddenly confronted with multiple challenges originating outside the region: the 2008 global financial crisis, the European debt crisis, and, finally developed economies’ implementation of unconventional monetary policies. Especially the implementation of quantitative easing (QE), ultra-low interest rate policies, and negative interest rate policies by a number of large central banks has given rise to concerns over financial stability and international capital flows. One of the regions most profoundly affected by the crisis was Asia due to its high dependence on international trade and international financial linkages. The objective of this book is to explain how macroeconomic shocks stemming from the global financial crisis and recent unconventional monetary policies in developed economies have affected macroeconomic and financial stability in emerging markets, with a particular focus on Asia. In particular, the book covers the following thematic areas: (i) the spillover effects of macroeconomic shocks on financial markets and flows in emerging economies; (ii) the impact of recent macroeconomic shocks on real economies in emerging markets; and (iii) key challenges for the monetary, exchange rate, trade, and macroprudential policies of developing economies, especially Asian economies, and suggestions and recommendations to increase resiliency against external shocks.

scholarly journals Risk Management for Bonds with Embedded Options

Mathematics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (5) ◽  
pp. 790
Author(s):  
Antonio Díaz ◽  
Marta Tolentino
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Interest Rate Risk ◽  
Interest Rate Models ◽  
Management Measures ◽  
Interest Rate Risk Management ◽  
Embedded Options ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rate Change

This paper examines the behavior of the interest rate risk management measures for bonds with embedded options and studies factors it depends on. The contingent option exercise implies that both the pricing and the risk management of bonds requires modelling future interest rates. We use the Ho and Lee (HL) and Black, Derman, and Toy (BDT) consistent interest rate models. In addition, specific interest rate measures that consider the contingent cash-flow structure of these coupon-bearing bonds must be computed. In our empirical analysis, we obtained evidence that effective duration and effective convexity depend primarily on the level of the forward interest rate and volatility. In addition, the higher the interest rate change and the lower the volatility, the greater the differences in pricing of these bonds when using the HL or BDT models.

scholarly journals Who Bears Interest Rate Risk?

2018 ◽  
Vol 32 (8) ◽  
pp. 2921-2954 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter Hoffmann ◽  
Sam Langfield ◽  
Federico Pierobon ◽  
Guillaume Vuillemey
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Balance Sheet ◽  
Interest Rate Risk ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Net Worth ◽  
Loan Rate ◽  
Rate Risk ◽  
European Banking

Abstract We study the allocation of interest rate risk within the European banking sector using novel data. Banks’ exposure to interest rate risk is small on aggregate, but heterogeneous in the cross-section. Contrary to conventional wisdom, net worth is increasing in interest rates for approximately half of the institutions in our sample. Cross-sectional variation in banks’ exposures is driven by cross-country differences in loan-rate fixation conventions for mortgages. Banks use derivatives to partially hedge on-balance-sheet exposures. Residual exposures imply that changes in interest rates have redistributive effects within the banking sector. Received October 31, 2017; editorial decision August 30, 2018 by Editor Philip Strahan. Authors have furnished an Internet Appendix, which is available on the Oxford University Press Web site next to the link to the final published paper online.

scholarly journals Mechanisms of Protection from Interest Rate Risk with Reference to the Life Insurance Market in Montenegro

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 17-42
Author(s):  
Milijana Novović Burić ◽  
Vladimir Kašćelan ◽  
Milivoje Radović ◽  
Ana Lalević Filipović
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Life Insurance ◽  
Financial Management ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Interest Rate Risk ◽  
Economic Security ◽  
Insurance Market ◽  
Insurance Companies ◽  
Rate Risk

Abstract Insurance companies are facing major challenges that point to the need for control process and risk management. Risk management in insurance has a direct impact on solvency, economic security, and overall financial stability of insurance companies. It is very important for insurance companies to adequately calculate risks to which they are exposed. Asset liability management (ALM), as an integrated approach to financial management, requires simultaneous decision-making about categories and values of assets and liabilities in order to establish the optimum volume and the ratio of assets and liabilities, with the understanding of complexity of the financial market in which financial institutions operate. ALM focuses on a significant number of risks, whereby the emphasis in this paper will be on interest rate risk which indicates potential losses that may reflect in a lower interest margin, a lower value of assets or both, in terms of changes in interest rates. In the above context, the aim of this paper is to show how to protect from interest rate changes and how these changes influence the insurance market in Montenegro, both from the theoretical and the practical point of view. The authors consider this to be an interesting and very important topic, especially because the life insurance market in Montenegro is underdeveloped and subject to fluctuations. Also, taking into account the fact that Montenegro is a country that has been making serious efforts to join the EU, it is expected that insurance companies in Montenegro will strengthen their financial position in the market even using the ALM traditional techniques, which is shown in this paper.

scholarly journals Negative Interest Rate Risk. Atavism or Normalization of Central Banks’ Monetary Policy

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (342) ◽  
pp. 89-116
Author(s):  
Irena Pyka ◽  
Aleksandra Nocoń
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Central Banks ◽  
Interest Rate Risk ◽  
Interest Rate Policy ◽  
Rate Policy ◽  
Negative Interest Rate Policy

In the face of the global financial crisis, central banks have used unconventional monetary policy instruments. Firstly, they implemented the interest rate policy, lowering base interest rates to a very low (almost zero) level. However, in the following years they did not undertake normalizing activities. The macroeconomic environment required further initiatives. For the first time in history, central banks have adopted Negative Interest Rate Policy (NIRP). The main aim of the study is to explore the risk accompanying the negative interest rate policy, aiming at identifying channels and consequences of its impact on the economy. The study verifies the research hypothesis stating that the risk of negative interest rates, so far unrecognized in Theory of Interest Rate, is a consequence of low effectiveness of monetary policy normalization and may adopt systemic nature, by influencing – through different channels – the financial stability and growth dynamics of the modern world economy.

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