scholarly journals The Spillover and Transmission of Chinese Financial Markets Risk

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (8) ◽  
pp. 66
Author(s):  
Sha Zhu

After the 2008 financial crisis, the whole world financial markets became more fluctuates, the same to China also. It is necessary to pay great attention to high volatility problem in Chinese market, and also the uncertainty problem, risk accumulation and spillover effect come along with it. This paper calculates stock market return and builds financial stress index to explore the risk spillover effect. Empirical results show that the Chinese financial market have higher volatility than other countries. The Chinese stock market had higher dynamic market co-movement with international financial markets after 2008 financial crisis. What’s more, this article also finds the financial risk spreads between China and US. When the US financial stress index increases, China's financial stress index experiences a larger increase. However, after the change in China's financial stress index, the US financial stress index has no obvious trend of change. So we should pay more attention to periods of Chinese financial market risk and its spillover.

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (SPE1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Arefeh Mohaghegh ◽  
Mohsen Hamidiyan ◽  
Seyed Ali Hosseini Esfidvajani ◽  
Gholamreza Jafari

The focus of the present study is on the financial markets of Iran. In fact, the purpose of the present study is to examine the critical state of the Iranian stock market and compare it with one of the famous American markets called Dow Jones. The purpose of the financial crisis is to examine the effect of the interaction of companies within a market. According to modern financial theory, crisis is a phenomenon of market orientation and finding a negative preferred direction among companies. The stock market data of 180 companies of this market that were active during the period of 2008 to 2019 were used to investigate the financial crisis of the Iranian Stock Exchange. The results show that the average transfer entropy for 180 firms in the Iranian stock market is more random. That is to say, the observed declines do not correspond to the time periods of the crisis in the stock market. Although transfer entropy seems to be a good indicator for determining the period of crisis in the US Dow Jones market, it cannot be an indicator for determining the financial crisis for the Iranian stock market.


Author(s):  
İsmail Yıldırım

Crisis in 2001 and global financial crisis in 2008 effect Turk economy in a lot of ways. Financial crisis creates destructive effect especially on increasing market economies. It is not so easy to watch occurring of this financial crisis and determining of its expanding. First of all determining of crisis terms are needed to predict of financial crisis. In this part, a financial stress index is composed by using TL interest rate and monthly data of global gross reserves belongs to $/TL exchange rate between 1997:01-2014:12 terms for Turkey. Months when financial stress index raised to top level for Turkey and financial crisis are observed on, are found as February(2001) and November (2008).


2019 ◽  
Vol 43 (4) ◽  
pp. 867-890 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michael J McCormack

AbstractThis paper investigates the relationship between financial stress and the working class in the USA. Employing a financial stress index created from the Survey of Consumer Finances, I show that working class households are nearly twice as likely to be financially stressed than wealthier non-working class households from 1992 to 2016. A possible explanation of this result could be that the financial expropriation of personal income among the working class has the effect of increasing that group’s financial stress relative to wealthier classes. Working class households in the USA have struggled to afford means of subsistence in lieu of lacklustre wage growth and a tattered safety net. Financial expropriation of these households has operated in tandem with this precarity, increasing financial stress in a time of financialised capitalism.


2019 ◽  
Vol 20 (4) ◽  
pp. 962-980 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shegorika Rajwani ◽  
Dilip Kumar

During the past few years, many of the financial markets have gone through devastating effects due to the crisis in one or the other economy of the world. The recent global financial crisis has triggered dramatic movements in various stock markets which may arise from interdependence or contagion between the markets. This article attempts to measure the contagion between the equity markets of Asia and the US stock market. The countries considered in the Asian group are China, India, Indonesia, South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Malaysia and Japan. Most of the Asian economies have experienced drastic higher volatility and uncertainty in the financial markets. If the markets are contagious, then the investors will be unable to reap benefits through international diversification of the portfolio. In such a case, the policymakers will further frame policies so that they can insulate themselves from inflicting heavy damage from various crises. To achieve our goal, we make use of the time-varying copula approach which helps us to study the joint behaviour of the series based on their marginal distribution. Time-varying copula approach can also capture the non-linear dependence in the series and exhibits a rich pattern of tail behaviour. Our findings support the contagion between the Asian stock markets and the US stock market during the global financial crisis. This article also highlights that the increased tail dependence is an important factor for the contagion between the Asian stock markets and the US market.


2009 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 77-100 ◽  
Author(s):  
Markus K Brunnermeier

The financial market turmoil in 2007 and 2008 has led to the most severe financial crisis since the Great Depression and threatens to have large repercussions on the real economy. The bursting of the housing bubble forced banks to write down several hundred billion dollars in bad loans caused by mortgage delinquencies. At the same time, the stock market capitalization of the major banks declined by more than twice as much. While the overall mortgage losses are large on an absolute scale, they are still relatively modest compared to the $8 trillion of U.S. stock market wealth lost between October 2007, when the stock market reached an all-time high, and October 2008. This paper attempts to explain the economic mechanisms that caused losses in the mortgage market to amplify into such large dislocations and turmoil in the financial markets, and describes common economic threads that explain the plethora of market declines, liquidity dry-ups, defaults, and bailouts that occurred after the crisis broke in summer 2007.


2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (6) ◽  
pp. 12
Author(s):  
Sha Zhu

Financial stress index (FSI), as a financial risk measure, can timely reflect the risk of China’s financial market with early warning function and forecasting ability. First of all, referring to the IMF index system, this paper constructs the pressure indicators of China’s financial market, and then establishes the impulse response function of VAR (2,2) model with the main macroeconomic variables to analyze the impact of the FSI index on China’s macroeconomic. The research conclusion shows that the financial stress index constructed in this paper has a lasting negative impact on China’s major macroeconomic variables. At the same time, FSI can objectively and timely reflect the crisis warning of financial risk, and can also well correspond to the real economic and financial events that have happened already.


Author(s):  
Lesia Tyshchenko ◽  
Atilla Csajbok

In this paper, we develop a daily Financial Stress Index (FSI) for the comprehensive quantitative measurement of the degree of stress in Ukraine’s financial system. We use 14 individual indicators grouped into four sub-indices – the banking sector, corporate debt, government debt, and the foreign exchange market – to construct the FSI. The index measures the level of stress and vulnerability of the financial sector and enables to compare this level at current moment with its dynamic in the past. The FSI can signal the start of a financial crisis and can be used to assess the effectiveness of anti-crisis measures.


Fractals ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 25 (01) ◽  
pp. 1750010 ◽  
Author(s):  
SALIM LAHMIRI

In this paper, the generalized Hurst exponent is used to investigate multifractal properties of historical volatility (CHV) in stock market price and return series before, during and after 2008 financial crisis. Empirical results from NASDAQ, S&P500, TSE, CAC40, DAX, and FTSE stock market data show that there is strong evidence of multifractal patterns in HV of both price and return series. In addition, financial crisis deeply affected the behavior and degree of multifractality in volatility of Western financial markets at price and return levels.


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