scholarly journals Predicting ICU length of stay using APACHE-IV in persons with severe sepsis – a pilot study

2015 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 1 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amit Chattopadhyay ◽  
Sharmila Chatterjee

Introduction: Accurate length of stay (LOS) prediction of severe sepsis patients in intensive care unit (ICU) is critical for resource management. Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation-IV (APACHE-IV) model is commonly used forpredicting LOS. This study assesses the ICU-LOS predictability of APACHE-IV system for severe sepsis patients.Methods: Following ethical clearance, we used ICU data (06/2006 – 08/2008: from a hospital in India) to compare APACHE-IV score and predicted LOS of severe sepsis patients with actual observed ICU-LOS. We employed t-test, correlations, ANOVA andlinear regression of suitably transformed variables as needed.Results: Out of 3,949 ICU admissions, 198 were severe sepsis admissions where 134 patients (80%) had usable data. Of these 75 had verifiable APACHE-IV scores (final sample) with 55% men; median age: 67 years (IQR: 21) 53% did not have dialysis; 87% were on mechanical ventilation (MV). Mean ICU-LOS (10.1 days + 6.4) was significantly greater than predicted ICU-LOS (5.6days + 1.8 ; p<.001). ICU-LOS was very strongly correlated with days on MV (r=0.9). Mean ICU-LOS was significantly greaterfor those receiving blood transfusion (p<.001); on MV (p<.001); having surgery (p<.001) and having high frequency of dialysis (p<.001) – differences not predicted by APACHE-IV. Overall, the predicted ICU-LOS underestimation was by 4.5 days.Conclusions: The results provide a preliminary indication that APACHE-IV model may be a poor predictor of ICU-LOS insevere sepsis cases.

Critical Care ◽  
2010 ◽  
Vol 14 (Suppl 2) ◽  
pp. P39
Author(s):  
O Bayer ◽  
M Kohl ◽  
B Kabisch ◽  
N Riedemann ◽  
U Settmacher ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fadi Aljamaan ◽  
Esraa Altawil ◽  
Mohamad-Hani Temsah ◽  
Ahmad Almeman

Abstract BackgroundBacterial infections are a frequent cause of hospitalization and a leading cause of death, particularly with the emergence of antibiotics resistance. The emergence of Carbapenem resistance among gram-negative bacteria (GNB) is one of the evolving alerts as its use is considered the last resort of treatment [1]. Therefore, this urged studying the risk factors for the development of multi-drug resistant [2] GNB, identify the clinical outcomes and factors associated with mortality, especially among critically ill patients who are expected to have the worst outcomes.Materials/methodsThis is a retrospective observational study of critically ill patients who had an infection with Carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae (CRE), or MDR Pseudomonas aeruginosa, or MDR Acinetobacter spp. between May 2016- Nov 2018. Baseline demographics, co-morbidities, and clinical outcomes were collected and were evaluated for association with 28 days mortality. ResultsA total of 255 patients with MDR Gram-negative cultures were screened, 77 patients met the inclusion criteria. Pseudomonas aeruginosa was the most common index organism (53% of patients), followed by Acinetobacter spp. and CRE, respectively. The mortality rate at 28 days was (59.7%). Non-survivors were significantly older (mean age 64 vs. 44 years, P= 0.0001), had significantly worse disease severity scores on ICU admission, higher incidence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) (43% vs. 16%, P= 0.010), required more continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) (54% vs. 13% P= 0.0001), had longer hospital length of stay prior to infection (median 34 vs. 13 days, P= 0.018), and required longer inotropic and vasopressors support (median 19 vs. 8 days, P = 0.0001). In multivariate logistic regression the following factors were significantly associated with mortality; requirement of inotropic support [OR 10.01 (95% CI 1.55-64.77); P= 0.015], age [OR 1.05 (95% CI 1.0-1.1); P=0.01], APACHE IV score on ICU admission [OR 1.03 (95% CI 1.0- 1.06); P= 0.04], and ICU length of stay [OR 1.03 (95% CI 1.0- 1.06); P= 0.035].ConclusionMDR Gram-negative infection is associated with significant in-hospital mortality among critically ill patients. Old age, high APACHE IV score, higher ICU length of stay, and higher hemodynamic support are associated with higher mortality.Trial registrationretrospectively registered.


2006 ◽  
Vol 34 ◽  
pp. A130
Author(s):  
Jack E Zimmerman ◽  
Andrew A Kramer ◽  
Jing Yi

2006 ◽  
Vol 34 ◽  
pp. A127 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrew A Kramer ◽  
Jing Yi ◽  
Jack E Zimmerman

F1000Research ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 6 ◽  
pp. 2032 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammad Ghorbani ◽  
Haleh Ghaem ◽  
Abbas Rezaianzadeh ◽  
Zahra Shayan ◽  
Farid Zand ◽  
...  

Background:Clinical assessment of disease severity is an important part of medical practice for prediction of mortality and morbidity in Intensive Care Unit (ICU). A disease severity scoring system can be used as guidance for clinicians for objective assessment of disease outcomes and estimation of the chance of recovery. This study aimed to evaluate the hypothesis that the mortality and length of stay in emergency ICUs predicted by APACHE-IV is different to the real rates of mortality and length of stay observed in our emergency ICU in Iran.Methods:This was a retrospective cohort study conducted on the data of 839 consecutive patients admitted to the emergency ICU of Nemazi Hospital, Shiraz, Iran, during 2012-2015. The relevant variables were used to calculate APACHE-IV.  Length of stay and death or discharge, Glasgow coma score, and acute physiology score were also evaluated. Moreover, the accuracy of APACHE-IV for mortality was assessed using area under the Receiver Operator Characteristic (ROC) curve.Results:Of the studied patients, 157 died and 682 were discharged (non-survivors and survivors, respectively). The length of stay in the ICU was 10.98±14.60, 10.22 ± 14.21 and 14.30±15.80 days for all patients, survivors, and non-survivors, respectively. The results showed that APACHE-IV model underestimated length of stay in our emergency ICU (p<0.001). In addition, the overall observed mortality was 17.8%, while the predicted mortality by APACHE-IV model was 21%. Therefore, there was an overestimation of predicted mortality by APACHE-IV model, with an absolute difference of 3.2% (p=0.036).Conclusion:The findings showed that APACHE-IV was a poor predictor of length of stay and mortality rate in emergency ICU. Therefore, specific models based on big sample sizes of Iranian patients are required to improve accuracy of predictions.


2021 ◽  
Vol 108 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
S Vavilov ◽  
P Pockney

Abstract Introduction Emergency laparotomy still carries a high mortality risk. According to the latest National Emergency Laparotomy Audit (NELA) report, half of the patients without pre-operative risk scoring had a higher observed than predicted mortality. Data from Perth, Australia also suggests that pre-operative scoring improves mortality. The aim of this study was to determine if a prospective risk assessment has an independent favourable effect on outcomes. Method A retrospective review of all emergency abdominal surgeries meeting NELA inclusion criteria undertaken at four different-sized Australian surgical centres was performed between April 2015 and December 2018. A predicted and observed mortality was assessed in prospectively and retrospectively risk-stratified patients. Result There were 852 patients charts reviewed during the study period. Patient demographics included 404 males (47.4%), mean age: 69 years, median American Society of Anaesthesiologists score: 3, mean length of stay: 14.0 days and mean ICU length of stay: 1.8 days. There were 72 patients who died within 30 days (8.5%). Median preoperative P-POSSUM score was 6.9%, median preoperative NELA score – 5.2%. A total of 27/133 (20.3%) patients who were scored prospectively died within 30 days; 45/719 (6.3%) retrospectively scored patients died within 30 days. Neither of these rates was very different from the predicted. Conclusion 30-day mortality in emergency laparotomy patients in Hunter New England region, Australia, compares favourably with the latest mortality figures reported by NELA. However, contrary to other publications, prospective scoring alone did not have any beneficial effect on 30-day mortality in our cohort Take-home message Patients undergoing emergency abdominal surgery require preoperative risk assessment to improve outcomes. However, just the fact of assigning a risk score preoperatively alone does not help to improve mortality.


2021 ◽  
pp. 088506662098780
Author(s):  
Yazan Zayed ◽  
Bashar N. Alzghoul ◽  
Momen Banifadel ◽  
Hima Venigandla ◽  
Ryan Hyde ◽  
...  

Background: There is a conflicting body of evidence regarding the benefit of vitamin C, thiamine, and hydrocortisone in combination as an adjunctive therapy for sepsis with or without septic shock. We aimed to assess the efficacy of this treatment among predefined populations. Methods: A literature review of major electronic databases was performed to include randomized controlled trials (RCTs) evaluating vitamin C, thiamine, and hydrocortisone in the treatment of patients with sepsis with or without septic shock in comparison to the control group. Results: Seven studies met our inclusion criteria, and 6 studies were included in the final analysis totaling 839 patients (mean age 64.2 ± 18; SOFA score 8.7 ± 3.3; 46.6% female). There was no significant difference between both groups in long term mortality (Risk Ratio (RR) 1.05; 95% CI 0.85-1.30; P = 0.64), ICU mortality (RR 1.03; 95% CI 0.73-1.44; P = 0.87), or incidence of acute kidney injury (RR 1.05; 95% CI 0.80-1.37; P = 0.75). Furthermore, there was no significant difference in hospital length of stay, ICU length of stay, and ICU free days on day 28 between the intervention and control groups. There was, however, a significant difference in the reduction of SOFA score on day 3 from baseline (MD −0.92; 95% CI −1.43 to −.41; P < 0.05). In a trial sequential analysis for mortality outcomes, our results are inconclusive for excluding lack of benefit of this therapy. Conclusion: Among patients with sepsis with or without septic shock, treatment with vitamin C, thiamine, and hydrocortisone was not associated with a significant reduction in mortality, incidence of AKI, hospital and ICU length of stay, or ICU free days on day 28. There was a significant reduction of SOFA score on day 3 post-randomization. Further studies with a larger number of patients are needed to provide further evidence on the efficacy or lack of efficacy of this treatment.


Author(s):  
Răzvan Bologheanu ◽  
Mathias Maleczek ◽  
Daniel Laxar ◽  
Oliver Kimberger

Summary Background Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) disrupts routine care and alters treatment pathways in every medical specialty, including intensive care medicine, which has been at the core of the pandemic response. The impact of the pandemic is inevitably not limited to patients with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection and their outcomes; however, the impact of COVID-19 on intensive care has not yet been analyzed. Methods The objective of this propensity score-matched study was to compare the clinical outcomes of non-COVID-19 critically ill patients with the outcomes of prepandemic patients. Critically ill, non-COVID-19 patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) during the first wave of the pandemic were matched with patients admitted in the previous year. Mortality, length of stay, and rate of readmission were compared between the two groups after matching. Results A total of 211 critically ill SARS-CoV‑2 negative patients admitted between 13 March 2020 and 16 May 2020 were matched to 211 controls, selected from a matching pool of 1421 eligible patients admitted to the ICU in 2019. After matching, the outcomes were not significantly different between the two groups: ICU mortality was 5.2% in 2019 and 8.5% in 2020, p = 0.248, while intrahospital mortality was 10.9% in 2019 and 14.2% in 2020, p = 0.378. The median ICU length of stay was similar in 2019: 4 days (IQR 2–6) compared to 2020: 4 days (IQR 2–7), p = 0.196. The rate of ICU readmission was 15.6% in 2019 and 10.9% in 2020, p = 0.344. Conclusion In this retrospective single center study, mortality, ICU length of stay, and rate of ICU readmission did not differ significantly between patients admitted to the ICU during the implementation of hospital-wide COVID-19 contingency planning and patients admitted to the ICU before the pandemic.


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