International Real Estate Review

2015 ◽  
Vol 18 (2) ◽  
pp. 217-240
Author(s):  
Weida Kuang ◽  
◽  
Peng Liu ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
House Prices ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
Housing Prices ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Housing Price ◽  
Price Increases ◽  
Relationship Of ◽  
The Impact

In recent years, housing prices and inflation have been growing constantly in China. Higher house prices and higher inflation affect both household consumption and economic growth. We have developed a four-sector general equilibrium model of consumers, developers, firms, and the central bank to illustrate the relationship of house prices with inflation. The theoretical model demonstrates that house prices and inflation are positively correlated and endogenously determined. By using panel databases of 35 major cities in China during the period of 1996-2010, we find that the association between house prices and inflation is asymmetric. The impact of inflation on housing prices is greater than that of housing prices on inflation, which implies that housing prices effectively hedge inflation. Secondly, household income positively affects housing prices, but interest rates negatively influence housing prices. Accordingly, to curb soaring housing prices, policymakers not only should balance supply and demand, but also control for inflation. Thirdly, economic growth has less of an impact on inflation than housing prices. Hence, abnormal housing price increases are more likely to exacerbate inflation than economic growth. In addition, housing prices have a greater impact on inflation than rental prices, albeit the latter is a component of the consumer price index (CPI). Finally, money supply has much greater effects on inflation than housing prices and economic growth.

scholarly journals Factors Affecting the Price of Commercial Housing in Haikou Housing

2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (5) ◽  
pp. 59
Author(s):  
Ji-Yan Wu ◽  
Wan-Yin Zheng ◽  
Xu-You Zeng
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
House Prices ◽  
Housing Prices ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Population Movements ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Positive Effects ◽  
Correlation Degree ◽  
Grey Correlation Degree ◽  
The Impact

This paper uses the grey correlation degree and factor analysis method to carry out empirical research on the main influencing factors of residential price extraction in Haikou City according to the data of Haikou City from 2013 to 2018 as a sample. The research results show that the factors affecting housing prices can be divided into two aspects. From the economic level, the impact of population, regional GDP and per capita disposable income are positive effects. They promote economic growth to increase housing prices. From the perspective of expenditure levels, expected housing prices, investment costs, and consumer price index will affect housing prices by influencing consumers and investors spending decisions. On the whole, the key factors affecting house prices are mainly policies, population movements, economic growth, and total investment costs.

scholarly journals Are There Any Housing Bubbles in Turkey?

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Özge Korkmaz ◽  
Ebru Çağlayan Akay ◽  
Hoşeng Bülbül
Keyword(s):  
Housing Market ◽  
House Prices ◽  
Housing Prices ◽  
Housing Price ◽  
Economic Fundamentals ◽  
The Past ◽  
Price Increases ◽  
Long Time ◽  
Housing Bubbles ◽  
Turkish Lira

It is very important that the housing market, which meets the most basic need of people is needed for shelter from the past to the present, has a stable structure. The instability structure of the housing market is generally associated with the presence of housing bubbles. The deviation of housing prices from their basic value and not being able to be explained by economic fundamentals leads to the formation of housing bubbles. Housing bubbles can lead to permanent losses, as it may take a long time to return to normal prices. For Turkey as a developing country, it is important to identify an unstable structure in house prices discuss the basic economic factors related to this. After the global increases in housing prices, inflation, and depreciation in the Turkish lira, Turkey has become the country with the highest housing price increases globally in 2020. In the study, the presence of bubbles in the housing market for Ankara, Izmir, Istanbul, and Turkey in general, was investigated by SADF and GSADF unit root tests for the period 2010:01-2021:02. In this context, the study examines the presence of bubbles in housing prices for Ankara, Izmir, Istanbul, and Turkey in general, which are the three cities with the highest price increases. As a result of the study, the presence of bubbles in the housing market has been determined for Ankara, Istanbul, Izmir, and Turkey in general.

scholarly journals The influence of a mortgage interest and capital deduction policy on house prices

2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (6) ◽  
pp. 563-577
Author(s):  
Wouter Vangeel ◽  
Laurens Defau ◽  
Lieven De Moor
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Fixed Effects ◽  
Design Methodology ◽  
House Prices ◽  
Housing Prices ◽  
Housing Price ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Mortgage Interest ◽  
Price Determinants ◽  
Fixed Effects Regression

PurposeSince 2005, Belgian housing prices have strongly increased. As the timing coincides with the implementation of a new fiscal package in order to stimulate homeownership, our study attempts to provide an understanding whether the mortgage interest and capital deduction (MICPD) policy has had the side-effect of increasing housing prices while, at the same time, controlling for key housing price determinants.Design/methodology/approachA fixed-effects regression model is used on a panel dataset of the three Belgian regions over the period 1995–2015.FindingsEstimations are carried out separately for different house types, being useful as our empirical analysis ascertains a significant price-increasing effect for ordinary houses and apartments but a significant price-reducing effect for villas. In addition, we find, among other things, that interest rates' influence has been less substantial than commonly thought.Originality/valueThese results are relevant for all governments willing to stimulate homeownership through fiscal stimuli.

scholarly journals Energy Performance Certificates and Its Capitalization in Housing Values in Sweden

2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (21) ◽  
pp. 6101 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mats Wilhelmsson
Keyword(s):  
Propensity Score ◽  
House Prices ◽  
Housing Prices ◽  
Housing Price ◽  
Energy Performance ◽  
Control Group ◽  
Propensity Score Method ◽  
Propensity Score Methods ◽  
Price Distribution ◽  
The Impact

The impact on energy performance certificates on housing prices has been investigated extensively in recent years. However, the results of these investigations are mixed. We add to the literature by more specifically controlling for potential biases, by employing a combination of alternative approaches to estimate the causal relationship between house prices and energy performance certificates. We use a traditional hedonic modeling approach, but we additionally employ propensity score methods to be able to compare treated houses with a control group. We also investigate the impact of the outliers, spatial dependency, and parameter heterogeneity of our estimates. Moreover, we use the quantile regression technique to test the hypothesis that the capitalization effect varies across the price distribution. Our results, analyzing more than 100,000 observations, indicate there is an upward bias if one is not controlling for outlier and selection bias. Regardless of the propensity score method approach, the results are lower than a model (around 3 percent capitalization, compared to 6 percent). However, our results do not support that the impact of energy performance certificates varies in the price distribution. Consequently, the certificates are not differently capitalized in the high-end housing price segment. Finally, our results support the hypothesis that the energy performance certificate should be more capitalized into house prices in the northern and colder parts of Sweden than in the southern regions.

scholarly journals VAR MODEL UNTUK ANALISIS FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT DI INDONESIA

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dede Ruslan
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Var Model ◽  
Original Question ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
Relationship Of ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Model Correlation ◽  
The Relationship

Vector Autoregresive model is used to gives a more comprehensive view of how the relationship of FDI to economic growth, trade, exchange rate, the output value of the industry, and the interest rate in Indonesia. This study provides empirical evidence about the relationship which are interrelated to each other among the variables analyzed. By using VAR can analyze the impact of FDI on economic growth with other variables. The empirical results of whole analysis to give an answer to the original question posed in this study relate to how economic growth has been achieved, what the role of FDI and other spillovers in this process. Through the VAR model, the interdependence between the variables FDI, GDP, Trade, Industrial Output Value, Exchange Rate and Interest rates have been investigated in long-term relationships through cointegrating vectors and the short-term impact of the VAR model. Correlation of dynamic variables have been captured by the analysis of variance decomposition and impulse response.

The Nexus between Financial Development, Economic Growth and Energy Consumption in India: A VECM Technique

2020 ◽  
pp. 602-612
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Development Economic ◽  
Energy Prices ◽  
Vector Error Correction ◽  
Percent Increase ◽  
Growth Energy ◽  
The Impact

The demand for energy consumption requires efficient financial development in terms of bank credit. Therefore, this study examines the nexus between Financial Development, Economic Growth, Energy Prices and Energy Consumption in India, utilizing Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) technique to determine the nature of short and long term relationships from 2010 to 2019. The estimation of results indicates that a one percent increase in bank credits to private sector results in 0.10 percent increase in energy consumption and 0.28 percent increase in energy consumption responses to 1 percent increase in economic growth. It is also observed that the impact of energy price proxied by consumer price index is statistically significant with a negative sign indicating the consistency with the theory.

Has tourism driven house prices in Germany? Time-varying evidence since 1870

2021 ◽  
pp. 135481662110088
Author(s):  
Sefa Awaworyi Churchill ◽  
John Inekwe ◽  
Kris Ivanovski
Keyword(s):  
World War Ii ◽  
Historical Data ◽  
House Prices ◽  
Housing Prices ◽  
Time Varying ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Time Series Modelling ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Tourism Flows ◽  
Non Parametric

Using a historical data set and recent advances in non-parametric time series modelling, we investigate the nexus between tourism flows and house prices in Germany over nearly 150 years. We use time-varying non-parametric techniques given that historical data tend to exhibit abrupt changes and other forms of non-linearities. Our findings show evidence of a time-varying effect of tourism flows on house prices, although with mixed effects. The pre-World War II time-varying estimates of tourism show both positive and negative effects on house prices. While changes in tourism flows contribute to increasing housing prices over the post-1950 period, this is short-lived, and the effect declines until the mid-1990s. However, we find a positive and significant relationship after 2000, where the impact of tourism on house prices becomes more pronounced in recent years.

The nexus between financial development and energy consumption: Estimating the role of foreign direct investment, economic growth and urbanization

2021 ◽  
pp. 0958305X2110453
Author(s):  
Jaleel Ahmed ◽  
Shuja ur Rehman ◽  
Zaid Zuhaira ◽  
Shoaib Nisar
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Financial Development ◽  
Latin American ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Supply And Demand ◽  
The Impact

This study examines the impact of financial development on energy consumption for a wide array of countries. The estimators used for financial development are foreign direct investment, economic growth and urbanization. The study employed a panel data regression on 136 countries with time frame of years 1990 to 2019. The model in this study deploys system GMM technique to estimate the model. The results show that financial development has a significant negative impact on energy consumption overall. Foreign direct investment and urbanization has significant impact on energy consumption. Also, economic growth positive impact on energy consumption its mean that economic growth promotes energy consumption. When dividing further the sample into different groups of regions such as Asian, European, African, North/Latin American and Caribbean countries then mixed results related to the nexus between financial development and energy consumption with respect to economic growth, urbanization and foreign direct investment. The policymakers in these different groups of countries must balance the relationship between energy supply and demand to achieving the sustainable economic development.

CAUSAL RELATIONSHIP OF ENERGY CONSUMPTION AND ECONOMIC GROWTH – A CASE STUDY OF PAKISTAN

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 139-164
Author(s):  
Saddam Hussain ◽  
Chunjiao Yu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Inflation Rate ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Relationship Of

This paper explores the causal relationship between energy consumption and economic growth in Pakistan, applying techniques of co-integration and Hsiao’s version of Granger causality, using time series data over the period 1965-2019. Time series data of macroeconomic determi-nants – i.e. energy growth, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) growth and population growth shows a positive correlation with economic growth while there is no correlation founded be-tween economic growth and inflation rate or Consumer Price Index (CPI). The general conclu-sion of empirical results is that economic growth causes energy consumption.

scholarly journals Multiscale Effects of Multimodal Public Facilities Accessibility on Housing Prices Based on MGWR: A Case Study of Wuhan, China

2022 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 57
Author(s):  
Lingbo Liu ◽  
Hanchen Yu ◽  
Jie Zhao ◽  
Hao Wu ◽  
Zhenghong Peng ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Public Service ◽  
House Prices ◽  
Housing Prices ◽  
Positive Influence ◽  
Policy Formulation ◽  
Public Facility ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Public Facilities ◽  
Geographically Weighted Regression Model ◽  
The Impact

The layout of public service facilities and their accessibility are important factors affecting spatial justice. Previous studies have verified the positive influence of public facilities accessibility on house prices; however, the spatial scale of the impact of various public facilities accessibility on house prices is not yet clear. This study takes transportation analysis zone of Wuhan city as the spatial unit, measure the public facilities accessibility of schools, hospitals, green space, and public transit stations with four kinds of accessibility models such as the nearest distance, real time travel cost, kernel density, and two step floating catchment area (2SFCA), and explores the multiscale effect of public services accessibility on house prices with multiscale geographically weighted regression model. The results show that the differentiated scale effect not only exists among different public facility accessibilities, but also exists in different accessibility models of the same sort of facility. The article also suggests that different facilities should adopt its appropriate accessibility model. This study provides insights into spatial heterogeneity of urban public service facilities accessibility, which will benefit decision making in equal accessibility planning and policy formulation for the layout of urban service facilities.

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