scholarly journals An intercomparison of mesoscale models at simple sites for wind energy applications

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bjarke Tobias Olsen ◽  
Andrea Noemi Hahmann ◽  
Anna Maria Sempreviva ◽  
Jake Badger ◽  
Hans Ejsing Jørgensen
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Wind Energy ◽  
Best Practice ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Average Wind Speed ◽  
Small Shift ◽  
Mesoscale Models ◽  
Wind Speeds ◽  
Energy Applications ◽  
Mean Wind Speed

Abstract. An intercomparison of model results from 25 different Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models is presented for the year 2011 at six sites in Northern Europe characterized by simple terrain. The model results and a detailed description of each model was submitted by 18 different modeling groups to a open call for data, and serves as a rare quantitative overview of the model uncertainties associated with state-of-the-art mesoscale models used for wind energy applications today. At three of the sites the model intercomparison was verified with observations from nearby meteorological masts. The intercomparison was based on statistical properties of the wind for a number of heights at each site. The results show better performance of the models and a smaller inter-model spread offshore and aloft (2–4 % mean wind speed bias above 40 meters), and greater errors and more spread for inland sites and closer to the surface (up to 7–9 % wind speed bias). For the distributions of wind speed, wind direction, and wind shear only small deviations exist between the observations and the average of the models, but a small shift of the average wind speed distribution towards high wind speeds at Cabauw, and an underrepresentation of strong shear cases was observed. Although the model setup options were studied to determine a 'best practice', no significant indicator was found.

scholarly journals Evaluation of wind speed estimates in reanalyses for wind energy applications

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 ◽  
pp. 115-126
Author(s):  
Sebastian Brune ◽  
Jan D. Keller ◽  
Sabrina Wahl
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Wind Energy ◽  
Surface Characteristics ◽  
Horizontal Resolution ◽  
Hilly Terrain ◽  
Average Wind Speed ◽  
Wind Speeds ◽  
Energy Applications ◽  
Spatio Temporal ◽  
Regional Reanalysis

Abstract. A correct spatio-temporal representation of retrospective wind speed estimates is of large interest for the wind energy sector. In this respect, reanalyses provide an invaluable source of information. However, the quality of the various reanalysis estimates for wind speed are difficult to assess. Therefore, this study compares wind measurements at hub heights from 14 locations in Central Europe with two global (ERA5, MERRA-2) and one regional reanalysis (COSMO-REA6). Employing metrics such as bias, RMSE and correlation, we evaluate the performance of the reanalyses with respect to (a) the local surface characteristics (offshore, flat onshore, hilly onshore), (b) various height levels (60 to 200 m) and (c) the diurnal cycle. As expected, we find that the reanalyses show the smallest errors to observations at offshore sites. Over land, MERRA-2 generally overestimates wind speeds, while COSMO-REA6 and ERA5 represent the average wind speed more realistically. At sites with flat terrain, ERA5 correlates better with observations than COSMO-REA6. In contrast, COSMO-REA6 performs slightly better over hilly terrain, which can be explained by the higher horizontal resolution. In terms of diurnal variation, ERA5 outperforms both other reanalyses. While the overestimation of MERRA-2 is consistent throughout the day, COSMO-REA6 significantly underestimates wind speed at night over flat and hilly terrain due to a misrepresentation of nightly low level jets and mountain and valley breezes. Regarding the representation of downtime of wind turbines due to low/high wind speeds, we find that MERRA-2 is consistently underperforming with respect to the other reanalyses. Here COSMO-REA6 performs better over the ocean, while ERA5 shows the best results over land.

SHAPING OF AN AUTONOMOUS POWER SYSTEM FOR GUARANTEED POWER SUPPLY WITH THE PREDOMINANCE WIND ENERGY

2018 ◽  
pp. 28-50
Author(s):  
S. G. Ignatiev ◽  
S. V. Kiseleva
Keyword(s):  
Energy Storage ◽  
Wind Speed ◽  
Wind Energy ◽  
Wind Turbine ◽  
Wind Turbines ◽  
Energy Demand ◽  
Diesel Generator ◽  
Average Wind Speed ◽  
Wind Speeds ◽  
Average Wind

Optimization of the autonomous wind-diesel plants composition and of their power for guaranteed energy supply, despite the long history of research, the diversity of approaches and methods, is an urgent problem. In this paper, a detailed analysis of the wind energy characteristics is proposed to shape an autonomous power system for a guaranteed power supply with predominance wind energy. The analysis was carried out on the basis of wind speed measurements in the south of the European part of Russia during 8 months at different heights with a discreteness of 10 minutes. As a result, we have obtained a sequence of average daily wind speeds and the sequences constructed by arbitrary variations in the distribution of average daily wind speeds in this interval. These sequences have been used to calculate energy balances in systems (wind turbines + diesel generator + consumer with constant and limited daily energy demand) and (wind turbines + diesel generator + consumer with constant and limited daily energy demand + energy storage). In order to maximize the use of wind energy, the wind turbine integrally for the period in question is assumed to produce the required amount of energy. For the generality of consideration, we have introduced the relative values of the required energy, relative energy produced by the wind turbine and the diesel generator and relative storage capacity by normalizing them to the swept area of the wind wheel. The paper shows the effect of the average wind speed over the period on the energy characteristics of the system (wind turbine + diesel generator + consumer). It was found that the wind turbine energy produced, wind turbine energy used by the consumer, fuel consumption, and fuel economy depend (close to cubic dependence) upon the specified average wind speed. It was found that, for the same system with a limited amount of required energy and high average wind speed over the period, the wind turbines with lower generator power and smaller wind wheel radius use wind energy more efficiently than the wind turbines with higher generator power and larger wind wheel radius at less average wind speed. For the system (wind turbine + diesel generator + energy storage + consumer) with increasing average speed for a given amount of energy required, which in general is covered by the energy production of wind turbines for the period, the maximum size capacity of the storage device decreases. With decreasing the energy storage capacity, the influence of the random nature of the change in wind speed decreases, and at some values of the relative capacity, it can be neglected.

scholarly journals An Evaluation of the Wind Energy Resources along the Spanish Continental Nearshore

Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (15) ◽  
pp. 3986 ◽  
Author(s):  
Florin Onea ◽  
Andrés Ruiz ◽  
Eugen Rusu
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Wind Energy ◽  
Wind Turbines ◽  
Offshore Wind ◽  
Time Interval ◽  
Average Wind Speed ◽  
Important Conclusion ◽  
Comprehensive Picture ◽  
Mean Wind Speed ◽  
Wind Resources

The main objective of the present work is to provide a comprehensive picture of the wind conditions in the Spanish continental nearshore considering a state-of-the-art wind dataset. In order to do this, the ERA5 wind data, covering the 20-year time interval from 1999 to 2018, was processed and evaluated. ERA stands for ’ECMWF Re-Analysis’ and refers to a series of research projects at ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts) which produced various datasets. In addition to the analysis of the wind resources (reported for a 100 m height), the performances of several wind turbines, ranging from 3 to 9.5 MW, were evaluated. From the analysis of the spatial maps it was observed that the Northern part of this region presents significant wind resources, the mean wind speed values exceeding 9 m/s in some locations. On the other hand, in regard to the Southern sector, more energetic conditions are visible close to the Strait of Gibraltar and to the Gulf of Lion. Nevertheless, from the analysis of the data corresponding to these two Southern nearshore points it was observed that the average wind speed was lower than 8 m/s in both summer and winter months. Regarding the considered wind turbines, the capacity factor did in general not exceed 20%—however, we did observe some peaks that could reach to 30%. Finally, it can be highlighted that the Northern part of the Spanish continental nearshore is significant from the perspective of extracting offshore wind energy, especially considering the technologies based on floating platforms. Furthermore, because of the clear synergy between wind and wave energy, which are characteristic to this coastal environment, an important conclusion of the present work is that the implementation of joint wind–wave projects might be effective in the Northwestern side of the Iberian nearshore.

scholarly journals Assessment of wind energy potential in East Azarbaijan province of Iran (Case Stady: Sahand station)

2015 ◽  
Vol 17 (2) ◽  
pp. 418-425
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Wind Energy ◽  
Fossil Fuels ◽  
Ground Level ◽  
Energy Potential ◽  
Wind Speeds ◽  
Mean Wind Speed ◽  
Wind Energy Potential ◽  
Seasonal Wind

<p>Today&#39;s world requires a change in how the use of different types of energy. With declining reserves of fossil fuels for renewable energies is of course the best alternative. Among the renewable energy from the wind can be considered one of the best forms of energy can be introduced. Accordingly, most countries are trying to identify areas with potential to benefit from this resource.</p> <p>The aim of this study was to assess the potential wind power in Sahand station of Iran country. Hourly measured long term wind speed data of Sahand during the period of 2000-2013 have been statistically analyzed. In this study the wind speed frequency distribution of location was found by using Weibull distribution function. The wind energy potential of the location has been studied based on the Weibull mode. The results of this study show that mean wind speed measured at 10 m above ground level is determined as 5.16 m/s for the studied period. This speed increases by, respectively, 34.78 % and 41.21 %, when it is extrapolated to 40 and 60 m hub height.</p> <div> <p>Long term seasonal wind speeds were found to be relatively higher during the period from January to September. At the other hand, higher wind speeds were observed between the period between 06:00 and 18:00 in the day. These periods feet well with annual and daily periods of maximum demand of electricity, respectively.&nbsp;</p> </div> <p>&nbsp;</p>

Assessment of Wind Energy Potential in Three Different Locations of Malaysia

2015 ◽  
Vol 785 ◽  
pp. 621-626
Author(s):  
R. Shamsipour ◽  
M. Fadaeenejad ◽  
M.A.M. Radzi
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Energy Density ◽  
Wind Energy ◽  
Wind Power ◽  
Weibull Model ◽  
Energy Potential ◽  
Wind Speeds ◽  
Wind Potential ◽  
Mean Wind Speed ◽  
Wind Energy Potential

In this study, wind energy potential in three different stations in Malaysia in period of 5 years is analyzed. Base on Weibull distribution parameters, the mean wind speed, wind power density and wind energy density is estimated for each defined location. Although there are many works about wind potential in Malaysia, however a few of them have been provided a comprehensive study about wind power in different places in Malaysia. According to the findings, the annual mean wind speeds indicates that the highest wind speed variation is about 2 m/s and is belonged to the Subang station and the highest wind speed is 3.5 m/s in in Kudat. It is also found that the maximum wind power densities among these three sites are 22 W/m2, 24 W/m2 and 22 W/m2 in Kudat station in January, February and September respectively. The results of the study show that as the second parameter for Weibull model, the highest wind energy density has been 190 kWh/m2 per year in Kudat and the lowest one has been about 60 kWh/m2 in Kuching.

scholarly journals An intercomparison of mesoscale models at simple sites for wind energy applications

2017 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 211-228 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bjarke T. Olsen ◽  
Andrea N. Hahmann ◽  
Anna Maria Sempreviva ◽  
Jake Badger ◽  
Hans E. Jørgensen
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Wind Energy ◽  
Wind Farm ◽  
Weather Prediction ◽  
Atmospheric Stability ◽  
Resource Assessment ◽  
Offshore Wind ◽  
Grid Spacing ◽  
Energy Applications ◽  
Wind Resource

Abstract. Understanding uncertainties in wind resource assessment associated with the use of the output from numerical weather prediction (NWP) models is important for wind energy applications. A better understanding of the sources of error reduces risk and lowers costs. Here, an intercomparison of the output from 25 NWP models is presented for three sites in northern Europe characterized by simple terrain. The models are evaluated using a number of statistical properties relevant to wind energy and verified with observations. On average the models have small wind speed biases offshore and aloft (< 4 %) and larger biases closer to the surface over land (> 7 %). A similar pattern is detected for the inter-model spread. Strongly stable and strongly unstable atmospheric stability conditions are associated with larger wind speed errors. Strong indications are found that using a grid spacing larger than 3 km decreases the accuracy of the models, but we found no evidence that using a grid spacing smaller than 3 km is necessary for these simple sites. Applying the models to a simple wind energy offshore wind farm highlights the importance of capturing the correct distributions of wind speed and direction.

scholarly journals Energy and power estimation for three different locations in Palestine

2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 1049 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmed S A Badawi ◽  
Nurul Fadzlin Hasbullaha ◽  
Siti Hajar Yusoff ◽  
Aisha Hassan Hashim
Keyword(s):  
Renewable Energy ◽  
Wind Speed ◽  
Wind Energy ◽  
Meteorological Data ◽  
Gaza Strip ◽  
Energy Potential ◽  
Average Wind Speed ◽  
Average Wind ◽  
Mean Wind Speed ◽  
Power And Energy

In this paper power energy estimated based on wind speed records in three different areas in Palestine Nablus, Ramallah and Gaza. The main aims of this study to calculate the total amount of power and energy that can produce and to encourage investment in renewable energy in Palestine. Available meteorological data from local weather stations are used to study the wind energy potential in the West Bank (WB) for two sites and Gaza Strip (GS) for one site. The daily average wind speed data for three sites in Palestine analyzed, and fitted to the Weibull probability distribution function. The parameters of Weibull have been calculated by author using Graphical method. This study shed lights on the relationship between the wind energy and power versus the mean wind speed (MWS). The total gathered energy per unit area during 2006 in WB from Nablus site is 927.1 kwhr/m<sup>2</sup>, whereas 2008.0141 kwhr/m<sup>2</sup> from Ramallah site.This significant study to assess the wind energy production in Palestine to encourage investment in renewable energy sectors.

scholarly journals Analysis of Performance of the Wind-Driven Pulverizing Aerator Based on Average Wind Speeds in the Conditions of Góreckie Lake

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (10) ◽  
pp. 2796
Author(s):  
Andrzej Osuch ◽  
Ewa Osuch ◽  
Stanisław Podsiadłowski ◽  
Piotr Rybacki
Keyword(s):  
Mathematical Model ◽  
Wind Speed ◽  
Water Pump ◽  
Average Wind Speed ◽  
Flow Rates ◽  
Wind Speeds ◽  
Average Wind ◽  
Flow Through ◽  
Analysis Of Performance ◽  
Research Period

In the introduction to this paper, the characteristics of Góreckie lake and the construction and operation of the wind-driven pulverizing aerator are presented. The purpose of this manuscript is to determine the efficiency of the pulverizing aerator unit in the windy conditions of Góreckie Lake. The efficiency of the pulverization aerator depends on the wind conditions at the lake. It was necessary to conduct thorough research to determine the efficiency of water flow through the pulverization segment (water pump). It was necessary to determine the rotational speed of the paddle wheel, which depended on the average wind speed. Throughout the research period, measurements of hourly average wind speed were carried out. It was possible to determine the efficiency of the machine by developing a dedicated mathematical model. The latest method was used in the research, consisting of determining the theoretical volumetric flow rates of water in the pulverizing aerator unit, based on average hourly wind speeds. Pulverization efficiency under the conditions of Góreckie Lake was determined based on 6600 average wind speeds for spring, summer and autumn, 2018. Based on the model, the theoretical efficiency of the machine was calculated, which, under the conditions of Góreckie Lake, amounted to 75,000 m3 per year.

Calculation of Weibull Distribution parameters at low wind speed and performance analysis

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-24
Author(s):  
Yusuf Alper Kaplan
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Wind Energy ◽  
Weibull Distribution ◽  
Energy Potential ◽  
Average Wind Speed ◽  
Statistical Indicator ◽  
Low Wind Speed ◽  
Distribution Parameters ◽  
Wind Energy Potential ◽  
And Performance

In this study, the compatibility of the real wind energy potential to the estimated wind energy potential by Weibull Distribution Function (WDF) of a region with low average wind speed potential was examined. The main purpose of this study is to examine the performance of six different methods used to find the coefficients of the WDF and to determine the best performing method for selected region. In this study seven-year hourly wind speed data obtained from the general directorate of meteorology of this region was used. The root mean square error (RMSE) statistical indicator was used to compare the efficiency of all used methods. Another main purpose of this study is to observe the how the performance of the used methods changes over the years. The obtained results showed that the performances of the used methods showed slight changes over the years, but when evaluated in general, it was observed that all method showed acceptable performance. Based on the obtained results, when the seven-year data is evaluated in this selected region, it can be said that the MM method shows the best performance.

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