scholarly journals Simulating asymmetric growth and retreat of Hardangerjøkulen ice cap in southern Norway since the mid-Holocene

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Henning Åkesson ◽  
Kerim H. Nisancioglu ◽  
Rianne H. Giesen ◽  
Mathieu Morlighem
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Ice Age ◽  
Dynamical Response ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Outlet Glacier ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Ice Caps ◽  
Ice Cap ◽  
Length Changes ◽  
Southern Norway

Abstract. Changes to the volume of glaciers and ice caps currently amount to half of the total cryospheric contribution to sea-level rise and are projected to remain substantial throughout the 21st century. To simulate glacier behavior on centennial and longer time scales, models rely on simplified dynamics and tunable parameters for processes not well understood. Model calibration is often done using present-day observations, even though the relationship between parameters and parametrized processes may be altered for significantly different glacier states. In this study, we simulate the evolution of the Hardangerjøkulen ice cap in southern Norway from the mid-Holocene through the Little Ice Age (LIA) to the present-day. For both the calibration and transient experiments, we run an ensemble using a two-dimensional ice flow model with local mesh refinement. For the Holocene, we apply a simple surface mass balance forcing based on climate reconstructions. For the LIA until 1962, we use geomorphological evidence and measured outlet glacier positions to find a mass balance history, while from 1963 until today we use direct mass balance measurements. Given a linear climate forcing, we find that Hardangerjøkulen grew from ice-free conditions in the mid-Holocene, to its maximum LIA extent in a highly non-linear fashion. During the fastest stage of growth (2200-1200 BP), the ice cap tripled its ice volume over only 1000 years. We also reveal an intriguing spatial asymmetry during advance and retreat; the western ice cap and the northern outlet glacier Midtdalsbreen grow first and disappear first. In contrast, the eastern part, including the northeastern outlet glacier Blåisen, grows last and disappears last. Furthermore, volume and area of several outlet glaciers, as well as of the entire ice cap, vary out-of-phase for multiple centuries during the late Holocene, before varying in-phase approaching the LIA. We relate this to bed topography and the mass balance-altitude feedback, and challenge canonical linear assumptions between ice cap extent and glacier proxy records. Thus, we provide new insight into long-term dynamical response of ice caps to climate change, relevant for paleoglaciological studies and future predictions. Our model simulates ice cap extent and outlet glacier length changes from the LIA until today that are close to observations. We show that present-day Hardangerjøkulen is extremely sensitive to surface mass balance changes, mainly due to a strong mass balance-altitude feedback for the gently sloping surface topography of the ice cap.

scholarly journals Simulating the evolution of Hardangerjøkulen ice cap in southern Norway since the mid-Holocene and its sensitivity to climate change

2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 281-302 ◽  
Author(s):  
Henning Åkesson ◽  
Kerim H. Nisancioglu ◽  
Rianne H. Giesen ◽  
Mathieu Morlighem
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Mass Balance ◽  
Ice Age ◽  
Ice Flow ◽  
Outlet Glacier ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Ice Caps ◽  
Ice Cap ◽  
Length Changes

Abstract. Understanding of long-term dynamics of glaciers and ice caps is vital to assess their recent and future changes, yet few long-term reconstructions using ice flow models exist. Here we present simulations of the maritime Hardangerjøkulen ice cap in Norway from the mid-Holocene through the Little Ice Age (LIA) to the present day, using a numerical ice flow model combined with glacier and climate reconstructions. In our simulation, under a linear climate forcing, we find that Hardangerjøkulen grows from ice-free conditions in the mid-Holocene to its maximum extent during the LIA in a nonlinear, spatially asynchronous fashion. During its fastest stage of growth (2300–1300 BP), the ice cap triples its volume in less than 1000 years. The modeled ice cap extent and outlet glacier length changes from the LIA until today agree well with available observations. Volume and area for Hardangerjøkulen and several of its outlet glaciers vary out-of-phase for several centuries during the Holocene. This volume–area disequilibrium varies in time and from one outlet glacier to the next, illustrating that linear relations between ice extent, volume and glacier proxy records, as generally used in paleoclimatic reconstructions, have only limited validity. We also show that the present-day ice cap is highly sensitive to surface mass balance changes and that the effect of the ice cap hypsometry on the mass balance–altitude feedback is essential to this sensitivity. A mass balance shift by +0.5 m w.e. relative to the mass balance from the last decades almost doubles ice volume, while a decrease of 0.2 m w.e. or more induces a strong mass balance–altitude feedback and makes Hardangerjøkulen disappear entirely. Furthermore, once disappeared, an additional +0.1 m w.e. relative to the present mass balance is needed to regrow the ice cap to its present-day extent. We expect that other ice caps with comparable geometry in, for example, Norway, Iceland, Patagonia and peripheral Greenland may behave similarly, making them particularly vulnerable to climate change.

scholarly journals Local surface mass-balance reconstruction from a tephra layer – a case study on the northern slope of Mýrdalsjökull, Iceland

2016 ◽  
Vol 63 (237) ◽  
pp. 79-87 ◽  
Author(s):  
CHRISTOPH MAYER ◽  
JULIA JAENICKE ◽  
ASTRID LAMBRECHT ◽  
LUDWIG BRAUN ◽  
CHRISTOF VÖLKSEN ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Volcanic Eruptions ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Ablation Zone ◽  
Tephra Layer ◽  
Surface Geometry ◽  
High Accumulation ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Ice Caps ◽  
Ice Cap

ABSTRACTMost Icelandic glaciers show high-accumulation rates during winter and strong surface melting during summer. Although it is difficult to establish and maintain mass-balance programs on these glaciers, mass-balance series do exist for several of the ice caps (Björnsson and others, 2013). We make use of the frequent volcanic eruptions in Iceland, which cause widespread internal tephra layers in the ice caps, to reconstruct the surface mass balance (SMB) in the ablation zone. This method requires information about surface geometry and ice velocity, derived from remote-sensing information. In addition, the emergence angle of the tephra layer needs to be known. As a proof-of-concept, we utilize a prominent tephra layer of the Mýrdalsjökull Ice Cap to infer local SMB estimates in the ablation area back to 1988. Using tephra-layer outcrop locations across the glacier at different points in time it is possible to determine local mass changes (loss and redistribution) for a large part of the ablation zone, without the use of historic elevation models, which often are not available.

scholarly journals Surface velocity and mass balance of Livingston Island ice cap, Antarctica

2014 ◽  
Vol 8 (5) ◽  
pp. 1807-1823 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Osmanoglu ◽  
F. J. Navarro ◽  
R. Hock ◽  
M. Braun ◽  
M. I. Corcuera
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Surface Velocity ◽  
South Shetland Islands ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Ice Caps ◽  
Ice Cap ◽  
Livingston Island ◽  
Flux Gate ◽  
Frontal Ablation

Abstract. The mass budget of the ice caps surrounding the Antarctica Peninsula and, in particular, the partitioning of its main components are poorly known. Here we approximate frontal ablation (i.e. the sum of mass losses by calving and submarine melt) and surface mass balance of the ice cap of Livingston Island, the second largest island in the South Shetland Islands archipelago, and analyse variations in surface velocity for the period 2007–2011. Velocities are obtained from feature tracking using 25 PALSAR-1 images, and used in conjunction with estimates of glacier ice thicknesses inferred from principles of glacier dynamics and ground-penetrating radar observations to estimate frontal ablation rates by a flux-gate approach. Glacier-wide surface mass-balance rates are approximated from in situ observations on two glaciers of the ice cap. Within the limitations of the large uncertainties mostly due to unknown ice thicknesses at the flux gates, we find that frontal ablation (−509 ± 263 Mt yr−1, equivalent to −0.73 ± 0.38 m w.e. yr−1 over the ice cap area of 697 km2) and surface ablation (−0.73 ± 0.10 m w.e. yr−1) contribute similar shares to total ablation (−1.46 ± 0.39 m w.e. yr−1). Total mass change (δM = −0.67 &plusmn 0.40 m w.e. yr−1) is negative despite a slightly positive surface mass balance (0.06 ± 0.14 m w.e. yr−1). We find large interannual and, for some basins, pronounced seasonal variations in surface velocities at the flux gates, with higher velocities in summer than in winter. Associated variations in frontal ablation (of ~237 Mt yr−1; −0.34 m w.e. yr−1) highlight the importance of taking into account the seasonality in ice velocities when computing frontal ablation with a flux-gate approach.

The Mass Balance of Circum-Arctic Glaciers and Recent Climate Change

1997 ◽  
Vol 48 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julian A. Dowdeswell ◽  
Jon Ove Hagen ◽  
Helgi Björnsson ◽  
Andrey F. Glazovsky ◽  
William D. Harrison ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Ice Age ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Mass Balances ◽  
Negative Mass ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Ice Caps ◽  
Recent Climate ◽  
Arctic Ice

The sum of winter accumulation and summer losses of mass from glaciers and ice sheets (net surface mass balance) varies with changing climate. In the Arctic, glaciers and ice caps, excluding the Greenland Ice Sheet, cover about 275,000 km2of both the widely glacierized archipelagos of the Canadian, Norwegian, and Russian High Arctic and the area north of about 60°N in Alaska, Iceland, and Scandinavia. Since the 1940s, surface mass balance time-series of varying length have been acquired from more than 40 Arctic ice caps and glaciers. Most Arctic glaciers have experienced predominantly negative net surface mass balance over the past few decades. There is no uniform recent trend in mass balance for the entire Arctic, although some regional trends occur. Examples are the increasingly negative mass balances for northern Alaska, due to higher summer temperatures, and increasingly positive mass balances for maritime Scandinavia and Iceland, due to increased winter precipitation. The negative mass balance of most Arctic glaciers may be a response to a step-like warming in the early twentieth century at the termination of the cold Little Ice Age. Arctic ice masses outside Greenland are at present contributing about 0.13 mm yr−1to global sea-level rise.

scholarly journals Surface mass balance, ice velocity and near-surface ice temperature on Qaanaaq Ice Cap, northwestern Greenland, from 2012 to 2016

2017 ◽  
Vol 58 (75pt2) ◽  
pp. 181-192 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shun Tsutaki ◽  
Shin Sugiyama ◽  
Daiki Sakakibara ◽  
Teruo Aoki ◽  
Masashi Niwano
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Snow Accumulation ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Outlet Glacier ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Ice Cap ◽  
In Situ Data ◽  
Ice Velocity ◽  
Surface Ice

ABSTRACT To better understand the processes controlling recent mass loss of peripheral glaciers and ice caps in northwestern Greenland, we measured surface mass balance (SMB), ice velocity and near-surface ice temperature on Qaanaaq Ice Cap in the summers of 2012–16. The measurements were performed along a survey route spanning the terminus of an outlet glacier to the upper reaches (243–968 m a.s.l.). The ice-cap-wide SMB ranged from −1.10 ± 0.29 to −0.13 ± 0.26 m w.e. a−1 for the years from 2012/13 to 2015/16. Mass balance showed substantially large fluctuations over the study period under the influence of summer temperature and snow accumulation. Ice velocity showed seasonal speedup only in the summer of 2012, suggesting an extraordinary amount of meltwater penetrated to the bed and enhanced basal ice motion. Ice temperature at a depth of 13 m was −8.0°C at 944 m a.s.l., which was 2.5°C warmer than that at 243 m a.s.l., suggesting that ice temperature in the upper reaches was elevated by refreezing and percolation of meltwater. Our study provided in situ data from a relatively unstudied region in Greenland, and demonstrated the importance of continued monitoring of these processes for longer timespans in the future.

scholarly journals Seasonal mass variations show timing and magnitude of meltwater storage in the Greenland Ice Sheet

2018 ◽  
Vol 12 (9) ◽  
pp. 2981-2999 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiangjun Ran ◽  
Miren Vizcaino ◽  
Pavel Ditmar ◽  
Michiel R. van den Broeke ◽  
Twila Moon ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Spatial Scales ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
High Accumulation ◽  
Outlet Glacier ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Meltwater Runoff

Abstract. The Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) is currently losing ice mass. In order to accurately predict future sea level rise, the mechanisms driving the observed mass loss must be better understood. Here, we combine data from the satellite gravimetry mission Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE), surface mass balance (SMB) output of the Regional Atmospheric Climate Model v. 2 (RACMO2), and ice discharge estimates to analyze the mass budget of Greenland at various temporal and spatial scales. We find that the mean rate of mass variations in Greenland observed by GRACE was between −277 and −269 Gt yr−1 in 2003–2012. This estimate is consistent with the sum (i.e., -304±126 Gt yr−1) of individual contributions – surface mass balance (SMB, 216±122 Gt yr−1) and ice discharge (520±31 Gt yr−1) – and with previous studies. We further identify a seasonal mass anomaly throughout the GRACE record that peaks in July at 80–120 Gt and which we interpret to be due to a combination of englacial and subglacial water storage generated by summer surface melting. The robustness of this estimate is demonstrated by using both different GRACE-based solutions and different meltwater runoff estimates (namely, RACMO2.3, SNOWPACK, and MAR3.9). Meltwater storage in the ice sheet occurs primarily due to storage in the high-accumulation regions of the southeast and northwest parts of Greenland. Analysis of seasonal variations in outlet glacier discharge shows that the contribution of ice discharge to the observed signal is minor (at the level of only a few gigatonnes) and does not explain the seasonal differences between the total mass and SMB signals. With the improved quantification of meltwater storage at the seasonal scale, we highlight its importance for understanding glacio-hydrological processes and their contributions to the ice sheet mass variability.

scholarly journals A regression model for the mass-balance distribution of the Vatnajökull ice cap, Iceland

2003 ◽  
Vol 37 ◽  
pp. 189-193 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guðefinna Aðalgeirsdóttir ◽  
G. Hilmar Gudmundsson ◽  
Helgi Björnsson
Keyword(s):  
Linear Regression ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Mass Balance ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Negative Mass ◽  
Equilibrium Line Altitude ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Ice Cap ◽  
Maximum Value ◽  
Slope Direction

AbstractA non-linear regression model describing the mass-balance distribution of the whole Vatnajökull ice cap, Iceland, for the years 1992–2000 is presented. All available data from some 40 locations over this 9 year period were used to determine the parameters of the model. The regression model uses six adjustable parameters which all have a clear physical interpretation. They are the slope, direction and the height of the equilibrium-line altitude (ELA) plane, two altitude mass-balance gradients, and a maximum value of the surface mass balance. It is found that the temporal variation of the observed mass-balance distribution can be accurately described through annual shifts of the ELA. Annual shifts in ELA are on the order of 100 m, which is of the same magnitude as the change expected to be caused by the climate variation predicted during the next decades. A slight trend towards a more negative mass balance is detected during this 9 year period.

scholarly journals A daily, 1 km resolution data set of downscaled Greenland ice sheet surface mass balance (1958–2015)

2016 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 2361-2377 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brice Noël ◽  
Willem Jan van de Berg ◽  
Horst Machguth ◽  
Stef Lhermitte ◽  
Ian Howat ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Greenland Ice Sheet ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Ice Caps ◽  
Elevation Model

Abstract. This study presents a data set of daily, 1 km resolution Greenland ice sheet (GrIS) surface mass balance (SMB) covering the period 1958–2015. Applying corrections for elevation, bare ice albedo and accumulation bias, the high-resolution product is statistically downscaled from the native daily output of the polar regional climate model RACMO2.3 at 11 km. The data set includes all individual SMB components projected to a down-sampled version of the Greenland Ice Mapping Project (GIMP) digital elevation model and ice mask. The 1 km mask better resolves narrow ablation zones, valley glaciers, fjords and disconnected ice caps. Relative to the 11 km product, the more detailed representation of isolated glaciated areas leads to increased precipitation over the southeastern GrIS. In addition, the downscaled product shows a significant increase in runoff owing to better resolved low-lying marginal glaciated regions. The combined corrections for elevation and bare ice albedo markedly improve model agreement with a newly compiled data set of ablation measurements.

scholarly journals Response of the ice cap Hardangerjøkulen in southern Norway to the 20th and 21st century climates

2009 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 947-993 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. H. Giesen ◽  
J. Oerlemans
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
21St Century ◽  
Meteorological Data ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Ice Dynamics ◽  
Change Models ◽  
Ice Cap ◽  
Glacier Length ◽  
Length Changes ◽  
Southern Norway

Abstract. Glacier mass balance changes lead to geometry changes and vice versa. To include this interdependence in the response of glaciers to climate change, models should include an interactive scheme coupling mass balance and ice dynamics. In this study, we couple a spatially distributed mass balance model to a two-dimensional ice-flow model and apply this coupled model to the ice cap Hardangerjøkulen in southern Norway. The available glacio-meteorological records, mass balance and glacier length change measurements were utilized for model calibration and validation. Driven with meteorological data from nearby synoptic weather stations, the coupled model realistically simulated the observed mass balance and glacier length changes during the 20th century. The mean climate for the period 1961–1990, computed from local meteorological data, was used as a basis to prescribe climate projections for the 21st century at Hardangerjøkulen. For a projected temperature increase of 3°C from 1961–1990 to 2071–2100, the modelled net mass balance soon becomes negative at all altitudes and Hardangerjøkulen disappears around the year 2100. The projected changes in the other meteorological variables could at most partly compensate for the effect of the projected warming.

scholarly journals Two-dimensional prognostic experiments for fast-flowing ice streams from the Academy of Sciences Ice Cap

2017 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 283-294
Author(s):  
Yuri V. Konovalov ◽  
Oleg V. Nagornov
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Flow Line ◽  
Surface Mass Balance ◽  
Ice Streams ◽  
Surface Mass ◽  
Ice Cap ◽  
Ice Surface ◽  
Ice Surface Temperature ◽  
Severnaya Zemlya ◽  
Academy Of Sciences

Abstract. Prognostic experiments for fast-flowing ice streams on the southern side of the Academy of Sciences Ice Cap on Komsomolets Island, Severnaya Zemlya archipelago, were undertaken in this study. The experiments were based on inversions of basal friction coefficients using a two-dimensional flow-line thermocoupled model and Tikhonov's regularization method. The modeled ice temperature distributions in the cross sections were obtained using ice surface temperature histories that were inverted previously from borehole temperature profiles derived at the summit of the Academy of Sciences Ice Cap and the elevational gradient of ice surface temperature changes (about 6.5 °C km−1). Input data included interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) ice surface velocities, ice surface elevations, and ice thicknesses obtained from airborne measurements, while the surface mass balance was adopted from previous investigations for the implementation of both the forward and inverse problems. The prognostic experiments revealed that both ice mass and ice stream extent declined for the reference time-independent surface mass balance. Specifically, the grounding line retreated: (a) along the B–B′ flow line from  ∼  40 to  ∼  30 km (the distance from the summit), (b) along the C–C′ flow line from  ∼  43 to  ∼  37 km, and (c) along the D–D′ flow line from  ∼  41 to  ∼  32 km, when considering a time period of 500 years and assuming a time-independent surface mass balance. Ice flow velocities in the ice streams decreased with time and this trend resulted in the overall decline of the outgoing ice flux. Generally, the modeled glacial evolution was in agreement with observations of deglaciation of the Severnaya Zemlya archipelago.

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