scholarly journals Brief Communication: The global signature of post-1900 land ice wastage on vertical land motion

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Riccardo E. M. Riva ◽  
Thomas Frederikse ◽  
Matt A. King ◽  
Ben Marzeion ◽  
Michiel van den Broeke
Keyword(s):  
Solid Earth ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Sea Level Change ◽  
Vertical Deformation ◽  
Ice Caps ◽  
Level Change ◽  
Vertical Land Motion ◽  
Loading Effects ◽  
Spatially Varying

Abstract. Melting glaciers, ice caps and ice sheets have made an important contribution to sea-level rise through the last century. Self-attraction and loading effects driven by shrinking ice masses cause a spatially-varying redistribution of ocean waters that affects reconstructions of past sea level from sparse observations. We model the solid earth response to ice mass changes and find significant vertical deformation signals over large continental areas. We show how deformation rates have been strongly varying through the last century, which implies that they should be properly modelled before interpreting and extrapolating recent observations of vertical land motion and sea level change.

scholarly journals Brief communication: The global signature of post-1900 land ice wastage on vertical land motion

2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 1327-1332 ◽  
Author(s):  
Riccardo E. M. Riva ◽  
Thomas Frederikse ◽  
Matt A. King ◽  
Ben Marzeion ◽  
Michiel R. van den Broeke
Keyword(s):  
Solid Earth ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Sea Level Change ◽  
Vertical Deformation ◽  
Ice Caps ◽  
Level Change ◽  
Vertical Land Motion ◽  
Loading Effects ◽  
Spatially Varying

Abstract. Melting glaciers, ice caps and ice sheets have made an important contribution to sea-level rise through the last century. Self-attraction and loading effects driven by shrinking ice masses cause a spatially varying redistribution of ocean waters that affects reconstructions of past sea level from sparse observations. We model the solid-earth response to ice mass changes and find significant vertical deformation signals over large continental areas. We show how deformation rates have been strongly varying through the last century, which implies that they should be properly modelled before interpreting and extrapolating recent observations of vertical land motion and sea-level change.

The response of large ice sheets to climatic change

1992 ◽  
Vol 338 (1285) ◽  
pp. 235-242 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Sea Level Change ◽  
Mixing Ratio ◽  
Ice Dynamics ◽  
Environmental Models ◽  
Level Change ◽  
The Antarctic

The prediction of short-term (100 year) changes in the mass balance of ice sheets and longer-term (1000 years) variations in their ice volumes is important for a range of climatic and environmental models. The Antarctic ice sheet contains between 24 M km 3 and 29 M km 3 of ice, equivalent to a eustatic sea level change of between 60m and 72m. The annual surface accumulation is estimated to be of the order of 2200 Gtonnes, equivalent to a sea level change of 6 mm a -1 . Analysis of the present-day accumulation regime of Antarctica indicates that about 25% ( ca. 500 Gt a -1 ) of snowfall occurs in the Antarctic Peninsula region with an area of only 6.8% of the continent. To date most models have focused upon solving predictive algorithms for the climate-sensitivity of the ice sheet, and assume: (i) surface mass balance is equivalent to accumulation (i.e. no melting, evaporation or deflation); (ii) percentage change in accumulation is proportional to change in saturation mixing ratio above the surface inversion layer; and (iii) there is a linear relation between mean annual surface air tem perature and saturation mixing ratio. For the A ntarctic Peninsula with mountainous terrain containing ice caps, outlet glaciers, valley glaciers and ice shelves, where there can be significant ablation at low levels and distinct climatic regimes, models of the climate response must be more complex. In addition, owing to the high accumulation and flow rates, even short- to medium -term predictions must take account of ice dynamics. Relationships are derived for the mass balance sensitivity and, using a model developed by Hindmarsh, the transient effects of ice dynamics are estimated. It is suggested that for a 2°C rise in mean annual surface tem perature over 40 years, ablation in the A ntarctic Peninsula region would contribute at least 1.0 mm to sea level rise, offsetting the fall of 0.5 mm contributed by increased accum ulation.

Volume–area scaling parameterisation of Norwegian ice caps: A comparison of different approaches

The Holocene ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 27 (1) ◽  
pp. 164-171 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tron Laumann ◽  
Atle Nesje
Keyword(s):  
Water Resources ◽  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Sea Level Change ◽  
Global Scale ◽  
Two Dimensional ◽  
Ice Caps ◽  
Level Change ◽  
Global Sea Level ◽  
Best Fit

Over the recent decades, glaciers have in general continued to lose mass, causing surface lowering, volume reduction and frontal retreat, thus contributing to global sea-level rise. When making assessments of present and future sea-level change and management of water resources in glaciated catchments, precise estimates of glacier volume are important. The glacier volume cannot be measured on every single glacier. Therefore, the global glacier volume must be estimated from models or scaling approaches. Volume–area scaling is mostly applied for estimating volumes of glaciers and ice caps on a regional and global scale by using a statistical–theoretical relationship between glacier volume ( V) and area ( A) ( V =  cAγ) (for explanation of the parameters c and γ, see Eq. 1). In this paper, a two-dimensional (2D) glacier model has been applied on four Norwegian ice caps (Hardangerjøkulen, Nordre Folgefonna, Spørteggbreen and Vestre Svartisen) in order to obtain values for the volume–area relationship on ice caps. The curve obtained for valley glaciers gives the best fit to the smallest plateau glaciers when c = 0.027 km3−2 γ and γ = 1.375, and a slightly poorer fit when the glacier increases in size. For ice caps, c = 0.056 km3−2 γ and γ = 1.25 fit reasonably well for the largest, but yield less fit to the smaller.

scholarly journals An assessment of uncertainties in using volume-area modelling for computing the twenty-first century glacier contribution to sea-level change

2011 ◽  
Vol 5 (3) ◽  
pp. 1655-1695 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. B. A. Slangen ◽  
R. S. W. van de Wal
Keyword(s):  
Mass Balance ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Sea Level Change ◽  
Total Uncertainty ◽  
Ice Caps ◽  
Level Change ◽  
Initial Volume ◽  
Temperature And Precipitation

Abstract. A large part of present-day sea-level change is formed by the melt of glaciers and ice caps (GIC). This study focuses on the uncertainties in the calculation of the GIC contribution on a century timescale. The model used is based on volume-area scaling, combined with the mass balance sensitivity of the GIC. We assess different aspects that contribute to the uncertainty in the prediction of the contribution of GIC to future sea-level rise, such as (1) the volume-area scaling method (scaling constant), (2) the choice of glacier inventory, (3) the imbalance of glaciers with climate, (4) the mass balance sensitivity, and (5) the climate models. Additionally, a comparison of the model results to the 20th century GIC contribution is presented. We find that small variations in the scaling constant cause significant variations in the initial volume of the glaciers, but only limited variations in the glacier volume change. If two existing glacier inventories are tuned such that the initial volume is the same, the GIC sea-level contribution over 100 yr differs by 0.027 m. It appears that the mass balance sensitivity is also important: variations of 20 % in the mass balance sensitivity have an impact of 17 % on the resulting sea-level projections. Another important factor is the choice of the climate model, as the GIC contribution to sea-level change largely depends on the temperature and precipitation taken from climate models. Combining all the uncertainties examined in this study leads to a total uncertainty of 4.5 cm or 30 % in the GIC contribution to global mean sea level. Reducing the variance in the climate models and improving the glacier inventories will significantly reduce the uncertainty in calculating the GIC contributions, and are therefore crucial actions to improve future sea-level projections.

3D glacial-isostatic adjustment models using geodynamically constrained Earth structures

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Meike Bagge ◽  
Volker Klemann ◽  
Bernhard Steinberger ◽  
Milena Latinović ◽  
Maik Thomas
Keyword(s):  
Solid Earth ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Sea Level Change ◽  
Glacial Isostatic Adjustment ◽  
Level Change ◽  
Isostatic Adjustment ◽  
Mantle Viscosity ◽  
The Earth ◽  
Earth Structures

<p>The interaction between ice sheets and the solid Earth plays an important role for ice-sheet stability and sea-level change and hence for global climate models. Glacial-isostatic adjustment (GIA) models enable simulation of the solid Earth response due to variations in ice-sheet and ocean loading and prediction of the relative sea-level change. Because the viscoelastic response of the solid Earth depends on both ice-sheet distribution and the Earth’s rheology, independent constraints for the Earth structure in GIA models are beneficial. Seismic tomography models facilitate insights into the Earth’s interior, revealing lateral variability of the mantle viscosity that allows studying its relevance in GIA modeling. Especially, in regions of low mantle viscosity, the predicted surface deformations generated with such 3D GIA models differ considerably from those generated by traditional GIA models with radially symmetric structures. But also, the conversion from seismic velocity variations to viscosity is affected by a set of uncertainties. Here, we apply geodynamically constrained 3D Earth structures. We analyze the impact of conversion parameters (reduction factor in Arrhenius law and radial viscosity profile) on relative sea-level predictions. Furthermore, we focus on exemplary low-viscosity regions like the Cascadian subduction zone and southern Patagonia, which coincide with significant ice-mass changes.</p>

Ice Sheets and Sea Level Change as a Response to Climatic Change at the Astronomical Time Scale

1990 ◽  
pp. 85-107 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Berger ◽  
TH. Fichefet ◽  
H. Gallee ◽  
I. Marsiat ◽  
CH. Tricot ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climatic Change ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Time Scale ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Sea Level Change ◽  
Level Change ◽  
Astronomical Time ◽  
And Sea Level

scholarly journals River-discharge effects on United States Atlantic and Gulf coast sea-level changes

2018 ◽  
Vol 115 (30) ◽  
pp. 7729-7734 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christopher G. Piecuch ◽  
Klaus Bittermann ◽  
Andrew C. Kemp ◽  
Rui M. Ponte ◽  
Christopher M. Little ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
River Discharge ◽  
Sea Level Change ◽  
The United States ◽  
Ocean Dynamics ◽  
Sea Level Changes ◽  
Level Change ◽  
Vertical Land Motion ◽  
Coastal Sea

Identifying physical processes responsible for historical coastal sea-level changes is important for anticipating future impacts. Recent studies sought to understand the drivers of interannual to multidecadal sea-level changes on the United States Atlantic and Gulf coasts. Ocean dynamics, terrestrial water storage, vertical land motion, and melting of land ice were highlighted as important mechanisms of sea-level change along this densely populated coast on these time scales. While known to exert an important control on coastal ocean circulation, variable river discharge has been absent from recent discussions of drivers of sea-level change. We update calculations from the 1970s, comparing annual river-discharge and coastal sea-level data along the Gulf of Maine, Mid-Atlantic Bight, South Atlantic Bight, and Gulf of Mexico during 1910–2017. We show that river-discharge and sea-level changes are significantly correlated (p<0.01), such that sea level rises between 0.01 and 0.08 cm for a 1 km3 annual river-discharge increase, depending on region. We formulate a theory that describes the relation between river-discharge and halosteric sea-level changes (i.e., changes in sea level related to salinity) as a function of river discharge, Earth’s rotation, and density stratification. This theory correctly predicts the order of observed increment sea-level change per unit river-discharge anomaly, suggesting a causal relation. Our results have implications for remote sensing, climate modeling, interpreting Common Era proxy sea-level reconstructions, and projecting coastal flood risk.

scholarly journals Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project (ISMIP6) contribution to CMIP6

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sophie M. J. Nowicki ◽  
Tony Payne ◽  
Eric Larour ◽  
Helene Seroussi ◽  
Heiko Goelzer ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Ice Sheets ◽  
Ice Sheet ◽  
Coupled Model ◽  
Sea Level Change ◽  
Model Intercomparison ◽  
Sea Level Changes ◽  
Level Change ◽  
Intercomparison Project

Abstract. Reducing the uncertainty in the past, present and future contribution of ice sheets to sea level change requires a coordinated effort between the climate and glaciology communities. The Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project for CMIP6 (ISMIP6) is the primary activity within the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project – phase 6 (CMIP6) focusing on the Greenland and Antarctic Ice Sheets. In this paper, we describe the framework for ISMIP6 and its relationship to other activities within CMIP6. The ISMIP6 experimental design relies on CMIP6 climate models and includes, for the first time within CMIP, coupled ice sheet – climate models as well as standalone ice sheet models. To facilitate analysis of the multi-model ensemble and to generate a set of standard climate inputs for standalone ice sheet models, ISMIP6 defines a protocol for all variables related to ice sheets. ISMIP6 will provide a basis for investigating the feedbacks, impacts, and sea level changes associated with dynamic ice sheets and for quantifying the uncertainty in ice-sheet-sourced global sea level change.

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