scholarly journals Benefits of assimilating thin sea-ice thickness from SMOS-Ice into the TOPAZ system

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiping Xie ◽  
Francois Counillon ◽  
Laurent Bertino ◽  
Xiangshan Tian-Kunze ◽  
Lars Kaleschke
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Degrees Of Freedom ◽  
Winter Season ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Sea Ice Thickness ◽  
Ice Concentration ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. An observation product for thin sea ice thickness (SMOS-Ice) is derived from the brightness temperature data of the European Space Agency's (ESA) Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity (SMOS) Mission, and available in real-time at daily frequency during the winter season. In this study, we investigate the benefit of assimilating SMOS-Ice into the TOPAZ system. TOPAZ is a coupled ocean-sea ice forecast system that assimilates SST, altimetry data, temperature and salinity profiles, ice concentration, and ice drift with the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF). The conditions for assimilation of sea ice thickness thinner than 0.4 m are favorable, as observations are reliable below this threshold and their probability distribution is comparable to that of the model. Two paralleled runs of TOPAZ have been performed respectively in March and November 2014, with assimilation of thin sea ice thickness (thinner than 0.4 m) in addition to the standard ice and ocean observational data sets. It is found that the RMSD of thin sea-ice thickness is reduced by 11 % in March and 22 % in November suggesting that SMOS-Ice has a larger impact during the beginning of freezing season. There is a slight improvement of the ice concentration and no degradation of the ocean variables. The Degrees of Freedom for Signal (DFS) indicate that the SMOS-Ice contents important information (> 20 % of the impact of all observations) for some areas in the Arctic. The areas of largest impact are the Kara Sea, the Canadian archipelago, the Baffin Bay, the Beaufort Sea and the Greenland Sea. This study suggests that SMOS-Ice is a good complementary data set that can be safely included in the TOPAZ system as it improves the ice thickness and the ice concentration but does not degrade other quantities. Keywords: SMOS-Ice; EnKF; OSE; thin sea-ice thickness; DFS;

scholarly journals Benefits of assimilating thin sea ice thickness from SMOS into the TOPAZ system

2016 ◽  
Vol 10 (6) ◽  
pp. 2745-2761 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiping Xie ◽  
François Counillon ◽  
Laurent Bertino ◽  
Xiangshan Tian-Kunze ◽  
Lars Kaleschke
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Cold Season ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Sea Ice Thickness ◽  
Ice Concentration ◽  
Ice Edge ◽  
Anomaly Analysis ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. An observation product for thin sea ice thickness (SMOS-Ice) is derived from the brightness temperature data of the European Space Agency's (ESA) Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity (SMOS) mission. This product is available in near-real time, at daily frequency, during the cold season. In this study, we investigate the benefit of assimilating SMOS-Ice into the TOPAZ coupled ocean and sea ice forecasting system, which is the Arctic component of the Copernicus marine environment monitoring services. The TOPAZ system assimilates sea surface temperature (SST), altimetry data, temperature and salinity profiles, ice concentration, and ice drift with the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF). The conditions for assimilation of sea ice thickness thinner than 0.4 m are favorable, as observations are reliable below this threshold and their probability distribution is comparable to that of the model. Two parallel Observing System Experiments (OSE) have been performed in March and November 2014, in which the thicknesses from SMOS-Ice (thinner than 0.4 m) are assimilated in addition to the standard observational data sets. It is found that the root mean square difference (RMSD) of thin sea ice thickness is reduced by 11 % in March and 22 % in November compared to the daily thin ice thicknesses of SMOS-Ice, which suggests that SMOS-Ice has a larger impact during the beginning of the cold season. Validation against independent observations of ice thickness from buoys and ice draft from moorings indicates that there are no degradations in the pack ice but there are some improvements near the ice edge close to where the SMOS-Ice has been assimilated. Assimilation of SMOS-Ice yields a slight improvement for ice concentration and degrades neither SST nor sea level anomaly. Analysis of the degrees of freedom for signal (DFS) indicates that the SMOS-Ice has a comparatively small impact but it has a significant contribution in constraining the system (> 20 % of the impact of all ice and ocean observations) near the ice edge. The areas of largest impact are the Kara Sea, Canadian Archipelago, Baffin Bay, Beaufort Sea and Greenland Sea. This study suggests that the SMOS-Ice is a good complementary data set that can be safely included in the TOPAZ system.

scholarly journals Impact of assimilating a merged sea ice thickness from CryoSat-2 and SMOS in the Arctic reanalysis

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiping Xie ◽  
Francois Counillon ◽  
Larent Bertino
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Degrees Of Freedom ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Large Set ◽  
Sea Ice Thickness ◽  
Ice Drift ◽  
Accurate Forecast ◽  
Sea Ice Drift ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Accurate forecast of Sea Ice Thickness (SIT) represents a major challenge for Arctic forecasting systems. The new CS2SMOS SIT product merges measurements from the CryoSat-2 and SMOS satellites and is available weekly during the winter months since October 2010. The impact of assimilating CS2SMOS is tested for the TOPAZ4 system – the Arctic component of the Copernicus Marine Environment Monitoring Service (CMEMS). TOPAZ4 currently assimilates a large set of ocean and sea ice observations with the Deterministic Ensemble Kalman Filter (DEnKF). Two parallel reanalyses are conducted with and without assimilation of the previously weekly CS2SMOS for the period from 19th March 2014 to 31st March 2015. The SIT bias (too thin) is reduced from 16 cm to 5 cm and the RMSD decreases from 53 cm to 38 cm (reduction by 28 %) when compared to the simultaneous SIT from CS2SMOS. Furthermore, compared to independent SIT observations, the errors are reduced by 24 % against the Ice Mass Balance (IMB) buoy 2013F and by 11 % against SIT data from the IceBridge campaigns. When compared to sea ice drift derived from International Arctic Buoy Program (IABP) drifting buoys, we find that the assimilation of C2SMOS is beneficial in the sea ice pack areas, where the influence of SIT on the sea ice drift is strongest, with an error reduction of 0.2–0.3 km/day. Finally, we quantify the influence of C2SMOS compared to the other assimilated data by the number of Degrees of Freedom for Signal (DFS) and find that CS2SMOS is the main source of observations in the central Arctic and in the Kara Sea. These results suggest that C2SMOS observations should be included in Arctic reanalyses in order to improve the ice thickness and the ice drift, although some inconsistencies were found in the version of the data used.

Improving sea-ice cover and SST forecasts by sea-ice thickness initialization

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Steffen Tietsche ◽  
Beena Balan Sarojini ◽  
Michael Mayer ◽  
Hao Zuo ◽  
Frederic Vitart ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Daily Basis ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Ocean Reanalysis ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Sea Ice Thickness ◽  
Arctic Ice ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Melting Season

<p>A substantial amount of subseasonal-to-seasonal sea-ice variability is potentially predictable, but improved model biases and initialization techniques are needed to realize this potential. Forecasts for other Earth System components can be expected to benefit from improved sea-ice forecasts as well, because the presence of sea ice drastically alters exchanges of heat and momentum between the atmosphere and the ocean. Here, we present the impact of initializing subseasonal forecasts with observed sea-ice thickness. The newly developed sea-ice thickness data set CS2SMOS that we use is derived from radar altimetry and L-band radiance satellite observations. It allows for the first time a spatially complete view of pan-Arctic ice thickness on a near-daily basis during the freezing season. The ingestion of this data into the ECMWF ocean reanalysis system improves subseasonal forecasts of the Arctic ice edge during the melting season by up to 10%. Sea-surface temperature forecasts at high latitudes are also significantly improved during the melting season, because an improved prediction of ice-free date allows an improved forecast of the amount of seasonal warming. These results illustrate the potential for improving subseasonal-to-seasonal predictions by initializing the sea-ice thickness.</p>

scholarly journals Impact of assimilating a merged sea-ice thickness from CryoSat-2 and SMOS in the Arctic reanalysis

2018 ◽  
Vol 12 (11) ◽  
pp. 3671-3691 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiping Xie ◽  
François Counillon ◽  
Laurent Bertino
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Degrees Of Freedom ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Large Set ◽  
Sea Ice Thickness ◽  
The North ◽  
Ice Drift ◽  
Marine Environment Monitoring ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Accurately forecasting the sea-ice thickness (SIT) in the Arctic is a major challenge. The new SIT product (referred to as CS2SMOS) merges measurements from the CryoSat-2 and SMOS satellites on a weekly basis during the winter. The impact of assimilating CS2SMOS data is tested for the TOPAZ4 system – the Arctic component of the Copernicus Marine Environment Monitoring Services (CMEMS). TOPAZ4 currently assimilates a large set of ocean and sea-ice observations with the Deterministic Ensemble Kalman Filter (DEnKF). Two parallel reanalyses are conducted without (Official run) and with (Test run) assimilation of CS2SMOS data from 19 March 2014 to 31 March 2015. Since only mapping errors were provided in the CS2SMOS observation, an arbitrary term was added to compensate for the missing errors, but was found a posteriori too large. The SIT bias (too thin) is reduced from 16 to 5 cm and the standard errors decrease from 53 to 38 cm (by 28 %) when compared to the assimilated SIT. When compared to independent SIT observations, the error reduction is 24 % against the ice mass balance (IMB) buoy 2013F and by 12.5 % against SIT data from the IceBridge campaigns. The improvement of sea-ice volume persists through the summer months in the absence of CS2SMOS data. Comparisons to sea-ice drift from the satellites show that dynamical adjustments reduce the drift errors around the North Pole by about 8 %–9 % in December 2014 and February 2015. Finally, using the degrees of freedom for signal (DFS), we find that CS2SMOS makes the prime source of information in the central Arctic and in the Kara Sea. We therefore recommend the assimilation of C2SMOS for Arctic reanalyses in order to improve the ice thickness and the ice drift.

The implications of selected processing methods on satellite altimetry derived sea ice thickness state and trends in the seasonal ice zone

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Isolde Glissenaar ◽  
Jack Landy ◽  
Alek Petty ◽  
Nathan Kurtz ◽  
Julienne Stroeve
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Snow Depth ◽  
Satellite Altimetry ◽  
Region Of Interest ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Sea Ice Thickness ◽  
Baffin Bay ◽  
The Impact

<p>The ice cover of the Arctic Ocean is increasingly becoming dominated by seasonal sea ice. It is important to focus on the processing of altimetry ice thickness data in thinner seasonal ice regions to understand seasonal sea ice behaviour better. This study focusses on Baffin Bay as a region of interest to study seasonal ice behaviour.</p><p>We aim to reconcile the spring sea ice thickness derived from multiple satellite altimetry sensors and sea ice charts in Baffin Bay and produce a robust long-term record (2003-2020) for analysing trends in sea ice thickness. We investigate the impact of choosing different snow depth products (the Warren climatology, a passive microwave snow depth product and modelled snow depth from reanalysis data) and snow redistribution methods (a sigmoidal function and an empirical piecewise function) to retrieve sea ice thickness from satellite altimetry sea ice freeboard data.</p><p>The choice of snow depth product and redistribution method results in an uncertainty envelope around the March mean sea ice thickness in Baffin Bay of 10%. Moreover, the sea ice thickness trend ranges from -15 cm/dec to 20 cm/dec depending on the applied snow depth product and redistribution method. Previous studies have shown a possible long-term asymmetrical trend in sea ice thinning in Baffin Bay. The present study shows that whether a significant long-term asymmetrical trend was found depends on the choice of snow depth product and redistribution method. The satellite altimetry sea ice thickness results with different snow depth products and snow redistribution methods show that different processing techniques can lead to different results and can influence conclusions on total and spatial sea ice thickness trends. Further processing work on the historic radar altimetry record is needed to create reliable sea ice thickness products in the marginal ice zone.</p>

scholarly journals Satellite-based sea ice thickness changes in the Laptev Sea from 2002 to 2017: comparison to mooring observations

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (7) ◽  
pp. 2189-2203
Author(s):  
H. Jakob Belter ◽  
Thomas Krumpen ◽  
Stefan Hendricks ◽  
Jens Hoelemann ◽  
Markus A. Janout ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Source Region ◽  
European Space Agency ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Laptev Sea ◽  
Validation Data ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Sea Ice Thickness ◽  
The Laptev Sea

Abstract. The gridded sea ice thickness (SIT) climate data record (CDR) produced by the European Space Agency (ESA) Sea Ice Climate Change Initiative Phase 2 (CCI-2) is the longest available, Arctic-wide SIT record covering the period from 2002 to 2017. SIT data are based on radar altimetry measurements of sea ice freeboard from the Environmental Satellite (ENVISAT) and CryoSat-2 (CS2). The CCI-2 SIT has previously been validated with in situ observations from drilling, airborne remote sensing, electromagnetic (EM) measurements and upward-looking sonars (ULSs) from multiple ice-covered regions of the Arctic. Here we present the Laptev Sea CCI-2 SIT record from 2002 to 2017 and use newly acquired ULS and upward-looking acoustic Doppler current profiler (ADCP) sea ice draft (VAL) data for validation of the gridded CCI-2 and additional satellite SIT products. The ULS and ADCP time series provide the first long-term satellite SIT validation data set from this important source region of sea ice in the Transpolar Drift. The comparison of VAL sea ice draft data with gridded monthly mean and orbit trajectory CCI-2 data, as well as merged CryoSat-2–SMOS (CS2SMOS) sea ice draft, shows that the agreement between the satellite and VAL draft data strongly depends on the thickness of the sampled ice. Rather than providing mean sea ice draft, the considered satellite products provide modal sea ice draft in the Laptev Sea. Ice drafts thinner than 0.7 m are overestimated, while drafts thicker than approximately 1.3 m are increasingly underestimated by all satellite products investigated for this study. The tendency of the satellite SIT products to better agree with modal sea ice draft and underestimate thicker ice needs to be considered for all past and future investigations into SIT changes in this important region. The performance of the CCI-2 SIT CDR is considered stable over time; however, observed trends in gridded CCI-2 SIT are strongly influenced by the uncertainties of ENVISAT and CS2 and the comparably short investigation period.

scholarly journals Better constraints on the sea-ice state using global sea-ice data assimilation

2012 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 1627-1667 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. Mathiot ◽  
C. König Beatty ◽  
T. Fichefet ◽  
H. Goosse ◽  
F. Massonnet ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Data Assimilation ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Initial State ◽  
Concentration Data ◽  
Sea Ice Concentration ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
Sea Ice Thickness ◽  
Ice Concentration ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Short-term and decadal sea-ice prediction systems need a realistic initial state, generally obtained using ice-ocean model simulations with data assimilation. However, only sea-ice concentration and velocity data are currently assimilated. In this work, an Ensemble Kalman Filter system is used to assimilate observed ice concentration and freeboard (i.e. thickness of emerged sea ice) data into a global coupled ocean–sea-ice model. The impact and effectiveness of our data assimilation system is assessed in two steps: firstly, through the assimilation of synthetic data (i.e., model-generated data) and, secondly, through the assimilation of satellite data. While ice concentrations are available daily, freeboard data used in this study are only available during six one-month periods spread over 2005–2007. Our results show that the simulated Arctic and Antarctic sea-ice extents are improved by the assimilation of synthetic ice concentration data. Assimilation of synthetic ice freeboard data improves the simulated sea-ice thickness field. Using real ice concentration data enhances the model realism in both hemispheres. Assimilation of ice concentration data significantly improves the total hemispheric sea-ice extent all year long, especially in summer. Combining the assimilation of ice freeboard and concentration data leads to better ice thickness, but does not further improve the ice extent. Moreover, the improvements in sea-ice thickness due to the assimilation of ice freeboard remain visible well beyond the assimilation periods.

scholarly journals Satellite Passive Microwave Sea-Ice Concentration Data Set Intercomparison: Closed Ice and Ship-Based Observations

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefan Kern ◽  
Thomas Lavergne ◽  
Dirk Notz ◽  
Leif Toudal Pedersen ◽  
Rasmus Tage Tonboe ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Sea Ice Concentration ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Group I ◽  
Ice Concentration ◽  
Data Products ◽  
Group Ii ◽  
The Antarctic

Abstract. Accurate sea-ice concentration (SIC) data are a pre-requisite to reliably monitor the polar sea-ice covers. Over the last four decades, many algorithms have been developed to retrieve the SIC from satellite microwave radiometry, some of them applied to generate long-term data products. We report on results of a systematic inter-comparison of ten global SIC data products at 12.5 to 50.0 km grid resolution for both the Arctic and the Antarctic. The products are compared with each other with respect to differences in SIC, sea-ice area (SIA), and sea-ice extent (SIE), and they are compared against a global winter-time near-100 % reference SIC data set for closed pack ice conditions and against global year-round ship-based visual observations of the sea-ice cover. We can group the products based on the observed inter-product consistency and differences of the inter-comparison results. Group I consists of data sets using the self-optimizing EUMETSAT-OSISAF – ESA-CCI algorithms. Group II includes data using the NASA-Team 2 and Comiso-Bootstrap algorithms, and the NOAA-NSIDC sea-ice concentration climate data record (CDR). The standard NASA-Team and the ARTIST Sea Ice (ASI) algorithms are put into a separate group III because of their often quite diverse results. Within group I and II evaluation results and intra-product differences are mostly very similar. For instance, among group I products, SIA agrees within ±100 000 km2 in both hemispheres during maximum and minimum sea-ice cover. Among group II products, satellite- minus ship-based SIC differences agree within ±0.7 %. Standing out with large negative differences to other products and evaluation data is the standard NASA-Team algorithm, in both hemispheres. The three CDRs of group I (SICCI-25km, SICCI-50km, and OSI-450) are biased low compared to the 100 % reference SIC with biases of −0.4 % to −1.0 % (Arctic) and −0.3 % to −1.1 % (Antarctic). Products of group II appear to be mostly biased high in the Arctic by between +1.0 % and +3.5 %, while their biases in the Antarctic only range from −0.2  to +0.9 %. The standard deviation is smaller in the Arctic for the quoted group I products: 1.9 % to 2.9 % and Antarctic: 2.5 % to 3.1 %, than for group II products: Arctic: 3.6 % to 5.0 %, Antarctic: 4.5 % to 5.4 %. Products of group I exhibit larger overall satellite- minus ship-based SIC differences than group II in both hemispheres. However, compared to group II, group I products’ standard deviations are smaller, correlations higher and evaluation results are less sensitive to seasonal changes. We discuss the impact of truncating the SIC distribution, as naturally retrieved by the algorithms around the 100 % sea-ice concentration end. We show that evaluation studies of such truncated SIC products can result in misleading statistics and favour data sets that systematically overestimate SIC. We describe a method to re-construct the un-truncated distribution of SIC before the evaluation is performed. On the basis of this evaluation, we open a discussion about the overestimation of SIC in data products, with far-reaching consequences for, e.g., surface heat-flux estimations in winter. We also document inconsistencies in the behaviour of the weather filters used in products of group II, and suggest advancing studies about the influence of these weather filters on SIA and SIE time-series and their trends.

scholarly journals Suppression of Arctic sea ice growth by winter clouds and snowfall

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Won-il Lim ◽  
Hyo-Seok Park ◽  
Andrew Stewart ◽  
Kyong-Hwan Seo
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Longwave Radiation ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
Sea Ice Thickness ◽  
Ice Growth ◽  
Downward Longwave Radiation ◽  
Arctic Sea ◽  
The Impact

Abstract The ongoing Arctic warming has been pronounced in winter and has been associated with an increase in downward longwave radiation. While previous studies have demonstrated that poleward moisture flux into the Arctic strengthens downward longwave radiation, less attention has been given to the impact of the accompanying increase in snowfall. Here, utilizing state-of-the art sea ice models, we show that typical winter snowfall anomalies of 1.0 cm, accompanied by positive downward longwave radiation anomalies of ~5 W m-2 can decrease sea ice thickness by around 5 cm in the following spring over the Eurasian Seas. This basin-wide ice thinning is followed by a shrinking of summer ice extent in extreme cases. In the winter of 2016–17, anomalously strong warm/moist air transport combined with ~2.5 cm increase in snowfall decreased spring ice thickness by ~10 cm and decreased the following summer sea ice extent by 5–30%. Projected future reductions in the thickness of Arctic sea ice and snow will amplify the impact of anomalous winter snowfall events on winter sea ice growth and seasonal sea ice thickness.

Sea ice representation in CMIP6 simulations with EC-Earth3-Veg

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Torben Koenigk ◽  
Evelien Dekker
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Emission Scenario ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Ice Thickness ◽  
First Year ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
Sea Ice Thickness ◽  
Arctic Sea

<p>In this study, we compare the sea ice in ensembles of historical and future simulations with EC-Earth3-Veg to the sea ice of the NSIDC and OSA-SAF satellite data sets. The EC-Earth3-Veg Arctic sea ice extent generally matches well to the observational data sets, and the trend over 1980-2014 is captured correctly. Interestingly, the summer Arctic sea ice area minimum occurs already in August in the model. Mainly east of Greenland, sea ice area is overestimated. In summer, Arctic sea ice is too thick compared to PIOMAS. In March, sea ice thickness is slightly overestimated in the Central Arctic but in the Bering and Kara Seas, the ice thickness is lower than in PIOMAS.</p><p>While the general picture of Arctic sea ice looks good, EC-Earth suffers from a warm bias in the Southern Ocean. This is also reflected by a substantial underestimation of sea ice area in the Antarctic.</p><p>Different ensemble members of the future scenario projections of sea ice show a large range of the date of first year with a minimum ice area below 1 million square kilometers in the Arctic. The year varies between 2024 and 2056. Interestingly, this range does not differ very much with the emission scenario and even under the low emission scenario SSP1-1.9 summer Arctic sea ice almost totally disappears.</p>

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