scholarly journals Hydrological assessment of atmospheric forcing uncertainty in the Euro-Mediterranean area using a land surface model

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emiliano Gelati ◽  
Bertrand Decharme ◽  
Jean-Christophe Calvet ◽  
Marie Minvielle ◽  
Jan Polcher ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Remote Sensing ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
River Discharge ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Mediterranean Area ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Atmospheric Forcing ◽  
Discharge Time ◽  
Area Index

Abstract. The understanding of land surface hydrology is critical for planning human activities involving freshwater resources. We assess how atmospheric forcing data uncertainties affect land surface model (LSM) simulations by means of an extensive evaluation exercise using a number of state-of-the-art remote sensing and station-based datasets. For this purpose, we use the CO2-responsive ISBA-A-gs LSM coupled the CNRM version of the Total Runoff Integrated Pathways (CTRIP) river routing model. We perform multi-forcing simulations over the Euro-Mediterranean area (25°–75.5° N, 11.5° W–62.5° E, at 0.5° resolution) from 1979 to 2012. The model is forced using four atmospheric datasets. Three of them are based on the ERA-Interim reanalysis (ERA-I). The fourth dataset is independent from ERA-Interim: PGF, developed at Princeton University. The hydrological impacts of atmospheric forcing uncertainties are assessed by comparing simulated surface soil moisture (SSM), leaf area index (LAI) and river discharge against observation-based datasets: SSM from the European Space Agency's Water Cycle Multi-mission Observation Strategy and Climate Change Initiative projects (ESA-CCI); LAI of the Global Inventory Modeling and Mapping Studies (GIMMS); and Global Runoff Data Centre (GRDC) river discharge. The atmospheric forcing data are also compared to reference datasets. Precipitation is the most uncertain forcing variable across datasets, while the most consistent are air temperature, and SW and LW radiation. At the monthly time scale, SSM and LAI simulations are relatively insensitive to forcing uncertainties. Some discrepancies with ESA-CCI appear to be forcing-independent and may be due to different assumptions underlying the LSM and the remote sensing retrieval algorithm. All simulations overestimate average summer and early autumn LAI. Forcing uncertainty impacts on simulated river discharge are larger on mean values and standard deviations than on correlations with GRDC data. Anomaly correlation coefficients are not inferior to those computed from raw monthly discharge time series, indicating that the model reproduces inter-annual variability fairly well. However, simulated river discharge time series generally feature larger variability compared to measurements. They also tend to overestimate winter-spring high flows and underestimate summer–autumn low flows. Considering that several differences emerge between simulations and reference data, which may not be completely explained by forcing uncertainty, we suggest several research directions. These range from further investigating the discrepancies between LSMs and remote sensing retrievals to developing new model components to represent physical and anthropogenic processes.

scholarly journals Hydrological assessment of atmospheric forcing uncertainty in the Euro-Mediterranean area using a land surface model

2018 ◽  
Vol 22 (4) ◽  
pp. 2091-2115 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emiliano Gelati ◽  
Bertrand Decharme ◽  
Jean-Christophe Calvet ◽  
Marie Minvielle ◽  
Jan Polcher ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Remote Sensing ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
River Discharge ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Mediterranean Area ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Atmospheric Forcing ◽  
Discharge Time

Abstract. Physically consistent descriptions of land surface hydrology are crucial for planning human activities that involve freshwater resources, especially in light of the expected climate change scenarios. We assess how atmospheric forcing data uncertainties affect land surface model (LSM) simulations by means of an extensive evaluation exercise using a number of state-of-the-art remote sensing and station-based datasets. For this purpose, we use the CO2-responsive ISBA-A-gs LSM coupled with the CNRM version of the Total Runoff Integrated Pathways (CTRIP) river routing model. We perform multi-forcing simulations over the Euro-Mediterranean area (25–75.5∘ N, 11.5∘ W–62.5∘ E, at 0.5∘ resolution) from 1979 to 2012. The model is forced using four atmospheric datasets. Three of them are based on the ERA-Interim reanalysis (ERA-I). The fourth dataset is independent from ERA-Interim: PGF, developed at Princeton University. The hydrological impacts of atmospheric forcing uncertainties are assessed by comparing simulated surface soil moisture (SSM), leaf area index (LAI) and river discharge against observation-based datasets: SSM from the European Space Agency's Water Cycle Multi-mission Observation Strategy and Climate Change Initiative projects (ESA-CCI), LAI of the Global Inventory Modeling and Mapping Studies (GIMMS), and Global Runoff Data Centre (GRDC) river discharge. The atmospheric forcing data are also compared to reference datasets. Precipitation is the most uncertain forcing variable across datasets, while the most consistent are air temperature and SW and LW radiation. At the monthly timescale, SSM and LAI simulations are relatively insensitive to forcing uncertainties. Some discrepancies with ESA-CCI appear to be forcing-independent and may be due to different assumptions underlying the LSM and the remote sensing retrieval algorithm. All simulations overestimate average summer and early-autumn LAI. Forcing uncertainty impacts on simulated river discharge are larger on mean values and standard deviations than on correlations with GRDC data. Anomaly correlation coefficients are not inferior to those computed from raw monthly discharge time series, indicating that the model reproduces inter-annual variability fairly well. However, simulated river discharge time series generally feature larger variability compared to measurements. They also tend to overestimate winter–spring high flows and underestimate summer–autumn low flows. Considering that several differences emerge between simulations and reference data, which may not be completely explained by forcing uncertainty, we suggest several research directions. These range from further investigating the discrepancies between LSMs and remote sensing retrievals to developing new model components to represent physical and anthropogenic processes.

scholarly journals The effect of satellite-derived surface soil moisture and leaf area index land data assimilation on streamflow simulations over France

2017 ◽  
Vol 21 (4) ◽  
pp. 2015-2033 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Fairbairn ◽  
Alina Lavinia Barbu ◽  
Adrien Napoly ◽  
Clément Albergel ◽  
Jean-François Mahfouf ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Data Assimilation ◽  
Leaf Area Index ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
River Discharge ◽  
Surface Soil ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Surface Soil Moisture ◽  
Area Index

Abstract. This study evaluates the impact of assimilating surface soil moisture (SSM) and leaf area index (LAI) observations into a land surface model using the SAFRAN–ISBA–MODCOU (SIM) hydrological suite. SIM consists of three stages: (1) an atmospheric reanalysis (SAFRAN) over France, which forces (2) the three-layer ISBA land surface model, which then provides drainage and runoff inputs to (3) the MODCOU hydro-geological model. The drainage and runoff outputs from ISBA are validated by comparing the simulated river discharge from MODCOU with over 500 river-gauge observations over France and with a subset of stations with low-anthropogenic influence, over several years. This study makes use of the A-gs version of ISBA that allows for physiological processes. The atmospheric forcing for the ISBA-A-gs model underestimates direct shortwave and long-wave radiation by approximately 5 % averaged over France. The ISBA-A-gs model also substantially underestimates the grassland LAI compared with satellite retrievals during winter dormancy. These differences result in an underestimation (overestimation) of evapotranspiration (drainage and runoff). The excess runoff flowing into the rivers and aquifers contributes to an overestimation of the SIM river discharge. Two experiments attempted to resolve these problems: (i) a correction of the minimum LAI model parameter for grasslands and (ii) a bias-correction of the model radiative forcing. Two data assimilation experiments were also performed, which are designed to correct random errors in the initial conditions: (iii) the assimilation of LAI observations and (iv) the assimilation of SSM and LAI observations. The data assimilation for (iii) and (iv) was done with a simplified extended Kalman filter (SEKF), which uses finite differences in the observation operator Jacobians to relate the observations to the model variables. Experiments (i) and (ii) improved the median SIM Nash scores by about 9 % and 18 % respectively. Experiment (iii) reduced the LAI phase errors in ISBA-A-gs but had little impact on the discharge Nash efficiency of SIM. In contrast, experiment (iv) resulted in spurious increases in drainage and runoff, which degraded the median discharge Nash efficiency by about 7 %. The poor performance of the SEKF originates from the observation operator Jacobians. These Jacobians are dampened when the soil is saturated and when the vegetation is dormant, which leads to positive biases in drainage and/or runoff and to insufficient corrections during winter, respectively. Possible ways to improve the model are discussed, including a new multi-layer diffusion model and a more realistic response of photosynthesis to temperature in mountainous regions. The data assimilation should be advanced by accounting for model and forcing uncertainties.

scholarly journals ERA-5 and ERA-Interim driven ISBA land surface model simulations: which one performs better?

2018 ◽  
Vol 22 (6) ◽  
pp. 3515-3532 ◽  
Author(s):  
Clement Albergel ◽  
Emanuel Dutra ◽  
Simon Munier ◽  
Jean-Christophe Calvet ◽  
Joaquin Munoz-Sabater ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Remote Sensing ◽  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Snow Depth ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Area Index ◽  
Model Simulations ◽  
In Situ Observations

Abstract. The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) recently released the first 7-year segment of its latest atmospheric reanalysis: ERA-5 over the period 2010–2016. ERA-5 has important changes relative to the former ERA-Interim atmospheric reanalysis including higher spatial and temporal resolutions as well as a more recent model and data assimilation system. ERA-5 is foreseen to replace ERA-Interim reanalysis and one of the main goals of this study is to assess whether ERA-5 can enhance the simulation performances with respect to ERA-Interim when it is used to force a land surface model (LSM). To that end, both ERA-5 and ERA-Interim are used to force the ISBA (Interactions between Soil, Biosphere, and Atmosphere) LSM fully coupled with the Total Runoff Integrating Pathways (TRIP) scheme adapted for the CNRM (Centre National de Recherches Météorologiques) continental hydrological system within the SURFEX (SURFace Externalisée) modelling platform of Météo-France. Simulations cover the 2010–2016 period at half a degree spatial resolution. The ERA-5 impact on ISBA LSM relative to ERA-Interim is evaluated using remote sensing and in situ observations covering a substantial part of the land surface storage and fluxes over the continental US domain. The remote sensing observations include (i) satellite-driven model estimates of land evapotranspiration, (ii) upscaled ground-based observations of gross primary production, (iii) satellite-derived estimates of surface soil moisture and (iv) satellite-derived estimates of leaf area index (LAI). The in situ observations cover (i) soil moisture, (ii) turbulent heat fluxes, (iii) river discharges and (iv) snow depth. ERA-5 leads to a consistent improvement over ERA-Interim as verified by the use of these eight independent observations of different land status and of the model simulations forced by ERA-5 when compared with ERA-Interim. This is particularly evident for the land surface variables linked to the terrestrial hydrological cycle, while variables linked to vegetation are less impacted. Results also indicate that while precipitation provides, to a large extent, improvements in surface fields (e.g. large improvement in the representation of river discharge and snow depth), the other atmospheric variables play an important role, contributing to the overall improvements. These results highlight the importance of enhanced meteorological forcing quality provided by the new ERA-5 reanalysis, which will pave the way for a new generation of land-surface developments and applications.

scholarly journals Using Satellite-Derived Vegetation Products to Evaluate LDAS-Monde over the Euro-Mediterranean Area

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (8) ◽  
pp. 1199 ◽  
Author(s):  
Delphine Leroux ◽  
Jean-Christophe Calvet ◽  
Simon Munier ◽  
Clément Albergel
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Vegetation Type ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Mediterranean Area ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Area Index ◽  
Land Data Assimilation ◽  
Land Data Assimilation System

Within a global Land Data Assimilation System (LDAS-Monde), satellite-derived Surface Soil Moisture (SSM) and Leaf Area Index (LAI) products are jointly assimilated with a focus on the Euro-Mediterranean region at 0.5∘ resolution between 2007 and 2015 to improve the monitoring quality of land surface variables. These products are assimilated in the CO2 responsive version of ISBA (Interactions between Soil, Biosphere and Atmosphere) land surface model, which is able to represent the vegetation processes including the functional relationship between stomatal aperture and photosynthesis, plant growth and mortality (ISBA-A-gs). This study shows the positive impact on SSM and LAI simulations through assimilating their satellite-derived counterparts into the model. Using independent flux estimates related to vegetation dynamics (evapotranspiration, Sun-Induced Fluorescence (SIF) and Gross Primary Productivity (GPP)), it is also shown that simulated water and CO2 fluxes are improved with the assimilation. These vegetation products tend to have higher root-mean-square deviations in summer when their values are also at their highest, representing 20–35% of their absolute values. Moreover, the connection between SIF and GPP is investigated, showing a linear relationship depending on the vegetation type with correlation coefficient values larger than 0.8, which is further improved by the assimilation.

scholarly journals Improving operational land surface model canopy evapotranspiration in Africa using a direct remote sensing approach

2013 ◽  
Vol 17 (3) ◽  
pp. 1079-1091 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Marshall ◽  
K. Tu ◽  
C. Funk ◽  
J. Michaelsen ◽  
P. Williams ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Remote Sensing ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Hybrid Model ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Vegetation Indices ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Sub Saharan Africa ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Sub Saharan

Abstract. Climate change is expected to have the greatest impact on the world's economically poor. In the Sahel, a climatically sensitive region where rain-fed agriculture is the primary livelihood, expected decreases in water supply will increase food insecurity. Studies on climate change and the intensification of the water cycle in sub-Saharan Africa are few. This is due in part to poor calibration of modeled evapotranspiration (ET), a key input in continental-scale hydrologic models. In this study, a remote sensing model of transpiration (the primary component of ET), driven by a time series of vegetation indices, was used to substitute transpiration from the Global Land Data Assimilation System realization of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction, Oregon State University, Air Force, and Hydrology Research Laboratory at National Weather Service Land Surface Model (GNOAH) to improve total ET model estimates for monitoring purposes in sub-Saharan Africa. The performance of the hybrid model was compared against GNOAH ET and the remote sensing method using eight eddy flux towers representing major biomes of sub-Saharan Africa. The greatest improvements in model performance were at humid sites with dense vegetation, while performance at semi-arid sites was poor, but better than the models before hybridization. The reduction in errors using the hybrid model can be attributed to the integration of a simple canopy scheme that depends primarily on low bias surface climate reanalysis data and is driven primarily by a time series of vegetation indices.

scholarly journals Improving evapotranspiration in a land surface model using biophysical variables derived from MSG/SEVIRI satellite

2012 ◽  
Vol 16 (8) ◽  
pp. 2567-2583 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. Ghilain ◽  
A. Arboleda ◽  
G. Sepulcre-Cantò ◽  
O. Batelaan ◽  
J. Ardö ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Remote Sensing ◽  
Real Time ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Area Index ◽  
Continental Scale ◽  
Western Africa ◽  
Large Gradient ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. Monitoring evapotranspiration over land is highly dependent on the surface state and vegetation dynamics. Data from spaceborn platforms are desirable to complement estimations from land surface models. The success of daily evapotranspiration monitoring at continental scale relies on the availability, quality and continuity of such data. The biophysical variables derived from SEVIRI on board the geostationary satellite Meteosat Second Generation (MSG) and distributed by the Satellite Application Facility on Land surface Analysis (LSA-SAF) are particularly interesting for such applications, as they aimed at providing continuous and consistent daily time series in near-real time over Africa, Europe and South America. In this paper, we compare them to monthly vegetation parameters from a database commonly used in numerical weather predictions (ECOCLIMAP-I), showing the benefits of the new daily products in detecting the spatial and temporal (seasonal and inter-annual) variability of the vegetation, especially relevant over Africa. We propose a method to handle Leaf Area Index (LAI) and Fractional Vegetation Cover (FVC) products for evapotranspiration monitoring with a land surface model at 3–5 km spatial resolution. The method is conceived to be applicable for near-real time processes at continental scale and relies on the use of a land cover map. We assess the impact of using LSA-SAF biophysical variables compared to ECOCLIMAP-I on evapotranspiration estimated by the land surface model H-TESSEL. Comparison with in-situ observations in Europe and Africa shows an improved estimation of the evapotranspiration, especially in semi-arid climates. Finally, the impact on the land surface modelled evapotranspiration is compared over a north–south transect with a large gradient of vegetation and climate in Western Africa using LSA-SAF radiation forcing derived from remote sensing. Differences are highlighted. An evaluation against remote sensing derived land surface temperature shows an improvement of the evapotranspiration simulations.

Detecting geothermal anomalies and evaluating LST geothermal component by combining thermal remote sensing time series and land surface model data

2018 ◽  
Vol 204 ◽  
pp. 534-552 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Romaguera ◽  
R.G. Vaughan ◽  
J. Ettema ◽  
E. Izquierdo-Verdiguier ◽  
C.A. Hecker ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Remote Sensing ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Land Surface ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Model Data ◽  
Thermal Remote Sensing ◽  
Sensing Time

scholarly journals Impact of precipitation and land biophysical variables on the simulated discharge of European and Mediterranean rivers

2012 ◽  
Vol 16 (9) ◽  
pp. 3351-3370 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Szczypta ◽  
B. Decharme ◽  
D. Carrer ◽  
J.-C. Calvet ◽  
S. Lafont ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
River Discharge ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Water Levels ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Area Index ◽  
Total Runoff ◽  
Global Precipitation Climatology Centre ◽  
Hydrological System ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. This study investigates the impact on river discharge simulations of errors in the precipitation forcing, together with changes in the representation of vegetation variables and of plant transpiration. The most recent European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts reanalysis (ERA-Interim) is used to drive the Interactions between Soil, Biosphere, and Atmosphere–Total Runoff Integrating Pathways (ISBA-TRIP) continental hydrological system over Europe and the Mediterranean basin over the 1991–2008 period. As ERA-Interim tends to underestimate precipitation, a number of precipitation corrections are proposed. In particular, the monthly Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC) precipitation product is used to bias-correct the 3-hourly ERA-Interim estimates. This correction markedly improves the match between the ISBA-TRIP simulations and the river discharge observations from the Global Runoff Data Centre (GRDC), at 150 gauging stations. The impact on TRIP river discharge simulations of various representations of the evapotranspiration in the ISBA land surface model is investigated as well: ISBA is used together with its upgraded carbon flux version (ISBA-A-gs). The latter is either driven by the satellite-derived climatology of the Leaf Area Index (LAI) used by ISBA, or performs prognostic LAI simulations. The ISBA-A-gs model, with or without dynamically simulated LAI, allows a better representation of river discharge at low water levels. On the other hand, ISBA-A-gs does not perform as well as the original ISBA model at springtime.

scholarly journals Impact of precipitation and land biophysical variables on the simulated discharge of European and Mediterranean rivers

2012 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 5437-5486
Author(s):  
C. Szczypta ◽  
B. Decharme ◽  
D. Carrer ◽  
J.-C. Calvet ◽  
S. Lafont ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Carbon Flux ◽  
River Discharge ◽  
Land Surface Model ◽  
Water Levels ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Mediterranean Rivers ◽  
Area Index ◽  
Hydrological System ◽  
The Impact

Abstract. This study investigates the use of the ERA-Interim 3-hourly atmospheric reanalysis over Europe and the Mediterranean basin, to drive the ISBA-TRIP continental hydrological system, at a spatial resolution of 0.5°, over the 1991–2008 period. Several versions of the representation of evapotranspiration in the ISBA land surface model are used to simulate the runoff which is converted into river discharge by the TRIP river routing model. In particular, the impact of using contrasting representations of the vegetation variables is investigated: ISBA is used together with its upgraded carbon flux version (ISBA-A-gs). The latter is either driven by a satellite-derived climatology of the Leaf Area Index (LAI) or performs prognostic LAI simulations. As ERA-Interim tends to underestimate precipitation, a number of precipitation corrections are proposed. In particular, the monthly GPCC precipitation product is used to un-bias the 3-hourly ERA-Interim estimates. This correction markedly improves the match between the ISBA-TRIP simulations and the river discharge observations of the Global Runoff Data Centre (GRDC), at 150 gauging stations. The interactive LAI version of ISBA-A-gs does not perform as well as the original ISBA model at springtime. On the other hand, the use of the ISBA-A-gs model allows a better representation of river discharge at low water levels. Constraining the ISBA-A-gs LAI with satellite-derived LAI data improves the simulations at springtime.

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