scholarly journals Bias correction schemes for CMORPH satellite rainfall estimates in the Zambezi River Basin

Author(s):  
W. Gumindoga ◽  
T. H. M. Rientjes ◽  
A. T. Haile ◽  
H. Makurira ◽  
P. Reggiani

Abstract. Obtaining reliable records of rainfall from satellite rainfall estimates (SREs) is a challenge as SREs are an indirect rainfall estimate from visible, infrared (IR), and/or microwave (MW) based information of cloud properties. SREs also contain inherent biases which exaggerate or underestimate actual rainfall values hence the need to apply bias correction methods to improve accuracies. We evaluate the performance of five bias correction schemes for CMORPH satellite-based rainfall estimates. We use 54 raingauge stations in the Zambezi Basin for the period 1998–2013 for comparison and correction. Analysis shows that SREs better match to gauged estimates in the Upper Zambezi Basin than the Lower and Middle Zambezi basins but performance is not clearly related to elevation. Findings indicate that rainfall in the Upper Zambezi Basin is best estimated by an additive bias correction scheme (Distribution transformation). The linear based (Spatio-temporal) bias correction scheme successfully corrected the daily mean of CMORPH estimates for 70 % of the stations and also was most effective in reducing the rainfall bias. The nonlinear bias correction schemes (Power transform and the Quantile based empirical-statistical error correction method) proved most effective in reproducing the rainfall totals. Analyses through bias correction indicate that bias of CMORPH estimates has elevation and seasonality tendencies across the Zambezi river basin area of large scale.

2014 ◽  
Vol 136 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lei Shi ◽  
Ren-Jye Yang ◽  
Ping Zhu

The Bayesian metric was used to select the best available response surface in the literature. One of the major drawbacks of this method is the lack of a rigorous method to quantify data uncertainty, which is required as an input. In addition, the accuracy of any response surface is inherently unpredictable. This paper employs the Gaussian process based model bias correction method to quantify the data uncertainty and subsequently improve the accuracy of a response surface model. An adaptive response surface updating algorithm is then proposed for a large-scale problem to select the best response surface. The proposed methodology is demonstrated by a mathematical example and then applied to a vehicle design problem.


2015 ◽  
Vol 61 (2) ◽  
pp. 321-343 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Beyer ◽  
M. Wallner ◽  
L. Bahlmann ◽  
V. Thiemig ◽  
J. Dietrich ◽  
...  

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