scholarly journals Application of runoff coefficient and rainfall-intensity-ratio to analyze the relationship between storm patterns and flood responses

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nam Won Kim ◽  
Mun-Ju Shin ◽  
Jeong Eun Lee

Abstract. The analysis of the effects of storms on floods is essential for designing hydraulic structures and flood plains. Observations of the flow time series for the various catchment sizes are needed to understand the effects on floods, but it is not easy to obtain these datasets because most stream channels are ungauged. Hence, a reasonable method for generating the flow time series for the ungauged catchments is needed to secure the datasets. A quantitative analysis for investigating the relationship between the natural storm patterns, the peak flows, the volumes of floods, and their durations for the various catchment sizes is also needed. This study suggests a method to investigate quantitatively the relationship between storms and floods using datasets generated for the ungauged catchments. The relationship between the runoff coefficients and the rainfall-intensity-ratios with respect to catchment sizes for the dependent catchments showed that the events can be separated into four physically reasonable types using the pattern of storms and flood responses. This indicates that the relationship between the pattern of storms and flood responses for any event in terms of dependent catchments can be analyzed using plots of runoff coefficients and rainfall-intensity-ratios versus the catchment size. There are correlations between the runoff coefficients and the rainfall-intensity-ratios for the independent catchments, but these correlations have no relationship with the four types of events from the dependent catchments.

Water ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. 1669 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nam Kim ◽  
Mun-Ju Shin

Hourly flood flow estimation for gauged and ungauged catchments is a prerequisite for planning and water management. Various methods have been applied in a multitude of studies to calculate the peak flow for ungauged catchments. However, it is not simple for engineers to use the existing methods in practical applications. An easier method is suggested for this purpose in this study. The authors estimated the relationship between the runoff coefficient, intensity of rainfall, and curve number, and then utilized the relationship to calculated the peak flow using the rational method for ungauged catchments. Rainfall and flood time series for ungauged study catchments were generated by a simple data generation method and a distributed rainfall–runoff model. Results showed that the runoff coefficients simulated using the estimated relationship reasonably agree with the runoff coefficients in the studied ungauged catchments. In addition, the peak flow simulated using the rational method and the relationship highly agree with the peak flow in the ungauged catchments. Therefore, the peak flow in ungauged catchments can be easily calculated by this method, which is more pragmatic for engineers.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cristina Prieto ◽  
Nataliya Le Vine ◽  
Dmitri Kavetski ◽  
César Álvarez ◽  
Raúl Medina

<p>Flow prediction in ungauged catchments is a major unresolved challenge in scientific and engineering hydrology. Meeting this challenge is made difficult by the uncertainty in the “regionalization” model used to transpose hydrological data (e.g., flow indices) from gauged to ungauged basins, and by the uncertainty in the hydrological model used to predict streamflow in the ungauged basin. This study combines recent advances in flow index selection, regionalization via machine learning methods, and a Bayesian inference framework. In addition, it proposes two new statistical metrics, “DistanceTest” and “InfoTest”, to assess the adequacy of a model before estimating its parameters. “DistanceTest” quantifies whether a model (hydrological or regionalization) is likely to reproduce the available hydrological information in a catchment. “InfoTest” is based on Bayes Factors and quantifies the information added by a model (hydrological or regionalization) over prior knowledge about the available hydrological information in a catchment). The proposed adequacy tests can be seen as a prerequisite for a model (hydrological or regionalization) being considered capable of providing meaningful and high quality flow time series predictions in ungauged catchments. If a model is found inadequate a priori and rejected, the modeler is spared the effort in estimating the model parameters, which can be a substantial saving.</p><p>The proposed regionalization approach is applied to 92 northern Spain catchments, with 16 catchments treated as ungauged. It is found that (1) a small number of PCs capture approximately 87% of variability in the flow indices, and (2) adequacy tests with respect to regionalized information are indicative of (but do not guarantee) the ability of a hydrological model to predict flow time series. The adequacy tests identify the regionalization of flow index PCs as adequate in 12 of 16 catchments but the hydrological model as adequate in only 1 of 16 catchments. In addition, the case study results suggest that the hydrological model is the main source of uncertainty in comparison to the regionalization model, and hence should receive the main priority in subsequent work at the case study catchments.</p>


2008 ◽  
Vol 39 (3) ◽  
pp. 181-190 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. Hou ◽  
S. Feng ◽  
Z. Huo ◽  
Y. Ding ◽  
S. Zhang

Impervious surfaces have long been implicated in the decline of watershed integrity in urban and urbanizing areas. Porous pavement is one solution to mitigating the problem of stormwater runoff problems. In this research, three available porous pavement systems were investigated to evaluate their infiltration capability of precipitation. Experiments were conducted to simulate different kinds of porous pavements having different sub-base materials in different cells. The discharge volumes were monitored from each cell, and the relationship between rainfall intensity, outflow and outflow duration was analyzed. Results show that these three porous pavements increased infiltration and decreased runoff. The optimum thickness of the porous pavement was 31 cm, which consisted of a 6 cm top layer of porous concrete and a 25 cm sub-base (10 cm concrete without sand and 15 cm aggregate base). Furthermore, under a rainfall rate of 59.36 mm/h, the runoff coefficient of the above porous pavement was zero, while the coefficient of the impervious pavement was 0.85. These results provide a clear indication of the value of porous pavement systems for broad expanses of the human engineered environment.


Author(s):  
Ondrej Ledvinka ◽  
◽  
Pavel Coufal ◽  

The territory of Czechia currently suffers from a long-lasting drought period which has been a subject of many studies, including the hydrological ones. Previous works indicated that the basin of the Morava River, a left-hand tributary of the Danube, is very prone to the occurrence of dry spells. It also applies to the development of various hydrological time series that often show decreases in the amount of available water. The purpose of this contribution is to extend the results of studies performed earlier and, using the most updated daily time series of discharge, to look at the situation of the so-called streamflow drought within the basin. 46 water-gauging stations representing the rivers of diverse catchment size were selected where no or a very weak anthropogenic influences are expected and the stability and sensitivity of profiles allow for the proper measurement of low flows. The selected series had to cover the most current period 1981-2018 but they could be much longer, which was considered beneficial for the next determination of the development direction. Various series of drought indices were derived from the original discharge series. Specifically, 7-, 15- and 30-day low flows together with deficit volumes and their durations were tested for trends using the modifications of the Mann– Kendall test that account for short-term and long-term persistence. In order to better reflect the drivers of streamflow drought, the indices were considered for summer and winter seasons separately as well. The places with the situation critical to the future water resources management were highlighted where substantial changes in river regime occur probably due to climate factors. Finally, the current drought episode that started in 2014 was put into a wider context, making use of the information obtained by the analyses.


1994 ◽  
Vol 29 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 303-310 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kazuyuki Higuchi ◽  
Masahiro Maeda ◽  
Yasuyuki Shintani

The Tokyo Metropolitan Government has planned future flood control for a rainfall intensity of 100 mm/hr, which corresponds to a return period of 70 years, and a runoff coefficient of 0.8. Considering that the realization of this plan requires a long construction period and high construction costs, the decision was made to proceed by stages. In the first stage, the improvement of the facilities will be based on a rainfall intensity of 75 mm/hr (presently 50 mm/hr), corresponding to a return period of 17 years, and a runoff coefficient of 0.8. In the next stage the facilities will be improved to accommodate a rainfall intensity of 100 mm/hr. In the Nakano and Suginami regions, which suffer frequently from flooding, the plan of improvement based on a rainfall intensity of 75 mm/hr is being implemented before other areas. This facility will be used as a storage sewer for the time being. The Wada-Yayoi Trunk Sewer, as a project of this plan, will have a diameter of 8 m and a 50 m earth cover. This trunk sewer will be constructed considering several constraints. To resolve these problems, hydraulic experiments as well as an inventory study have been carried out. A large drop shaft for the trunk sewer is under construction.


Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 1259
Author(s):  
Rei Itsukushima

Increasing water demand due to population growth, economic development, and changes in rainfall patterns due to climate change are likely to alter the duration and magnitude of droughts. Understanding the relationship between low-flow conditions and controlling factors relative to the magnitude of a drought is important for establishing sustainable water resource management based on changes in future drought risk. This study demonstrates the relationship between low-flow and controlling factors under different severities of drought. I calculated the drought runoff coefficient for six types of occurrence probability, using past observation data of annual total discharge and precipitation in the Japanese archipelago, where multiple climate zones exist. Furthermore, I investigated the pattern of change in the drought runoff coefficient in accordance with the probability of occurrence of drought, and relationships among the coefficient and geological, land use, and topographical factors. The drought runoff coefficient for multiple drought magnitudes exhibited three behaviors, corresponding to the pattern of precipitation. Results from a generalized linear model (GLM) revealed that the controlling factors differed depending on the magnitude of the drought. During high-frequency droughts, the drought runoff coefficient was influenced by geological and vegetation factors, whereas land use and topographical factors influenced the drought runoff coefficient during low-frequency droughts. These differences were caused by differences in runoff, which dominated stream discharge, depending on the magnitude of the drought. Therefore, for effective water resource management, estimation of the volume of drought runoff needs to consider the pattern of precipitation, geology, land use, and topography.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (8) ◽  
pp. 4425
Author(s):  
Taewoo Kim

In this paper, I investigate the relationship between previous going-concern audit opinions and subsequent asymmetric timeliness in accounting. Using the time-series and price-based models and conservatism proxy, I find that firms with going-concern audit opinions subsequently report losses in a more timely manner than firms that did not receive going-concern audit opinions. Furthermore, I also find that firms exiting going-concern audit opinions are more likely to report losses rather than gains in a timely manner, compared to firms non-exiting from going-concern opinions. This study extends the prior research by exploring the association between going-concern opinions and accounting conservatism from the perspective of client firms—that is, how firms behave strategically and conservatively to bypass going-concern opinions, once the firms had received previous going-concern opinions.


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