Climate trends in northern Ontario and Quebec from borehole temperature profiles
Abstract. The ground surface temperature histories of the past 500 years were reconstructed at 10 sites containing 18 boreholes in northeastern Canada. The boreholes, between 400 and 800 m deep, are located north of 51° N, and west and east of James Bay in northern Ontario and Quebec. We find that both sides of James Bay have experienced similar ground surface temperature histories with a warming of ~ 1–2 K for the last 150 years, similar to borehole reconstructions for the southern portion of the Superior Province and in agreement with available proxy data. A cooling period corresponding to the little ice age was found at only one site. Despite permafrost maps locating the sites in a region of discontinuous permafrost, the ground surface temperature histories suggest that the entire region is and was free of permafrost for the past 500 years. This could be the result of air surface temperature interpolation used in permafrost models being unsuitable to represent the spatial variability of ground temperatures along with an offset between ground and air surface temperatures due to the snow cover.