Characterising energy budget variability at a Sahelian site: a test of
NWP model behaviour
Abstract. We use observations of surface and top-of-the-atmosphere (TOA) broadband radiation fluxes determined from the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement program Mobile Facility, and GERB/SEVIRI,and a range of meteorological variables, at a site in the Sahel to test the ability of the ECMWF Integrated Forecasting System cycle 43r1 to describe energy budget variability. The model has daily average bias of −12 W m-2 and 18 W m-2 for outgoing longwave and reflected shortwave TOA radiation fluxes, respectively. Using multivariate linear models of observation minus model differences, we attribute radiation flux discrepancies to physical processes, and link surface and TOA fluxes. We find that model biases in surface radiation fluxes are mainly due to a low bias in ice-water path (IWP), poor description of surface albedo, and model-observation differences in surface temperature. At the TOA, the low IWP impacts the amount of reflected shortwave radiation while biases in outgoing longwave radiation are additionally coupled to discrepancies in the surface upwelling longwave flux and atmospheric humidity.