Controls on phase composition and ice water content in a convection permitting model simulation of a tropical mesoscale convective system
Abstract. Simulations of tropical convection from an operational numerical weather prediction model are evaluated with the focus on the model's ability to simulate the observed high ice water contents associated with the outflow of deep convection and to investigate the modelled processes that control the phase composition of tropical convective clouds. The intensification and decay of convective strength across the mesoscale convective system lifecycle is simulated well, however, the areas with reflectivities > 30 dBZ are overestimated due to too much rain above the freezing level, stronger updrafts and larger particle sizes in the model. The inclusion of a heterogeneous rain freezing parameterisation and the use of different ice size distributions show better agreement with the observed reflectivity distributions, however, this simulation still produces a broader profile with many high reflectivity outliers demonstrating the greater occurrence of convective cells in the simulations. It is shown that the growth of ice is less dependent on vertical velocity than is liquid water, with the control on liquid water content being the updraft strength due to stronger updrafts having minimal entrainment and higher supersaturations. Larger liquid water contents are produced when cloud droplet number concentrations are increased or when a parameterisation of heterogeneous freezing of rain is included. These changes reduce the efficiency of the warm rain processes in the model generating greater supercooled liquid water contents. The control on ice water content in the model is the ice sizes and available liquid water, with the larger ice particles growing more efficiently via accretion and riming. Limiting or excluding graupel produces larger ice water contents for warmer temperatures due to the greater ice mass contained in slow falling snow particles. This results in longer in-cloud residence times and more efficient removal of liquid water. It is demon strated that entrainment in the mixed-phase regions of convective updrafts is most sensitive to the turbulence formulation in the model. Greater mixing of environmental air into cloudy updrafts in the region of -30 to 0 degrees Celsius produces more detrainment at these temperatures and the generation of a larger stratiform area. Above these levels in the purely ice region of the updrafts, the entrainment and buoyancy of air parcels is controlled by the ice particle sizes, demonstrating the importance of the microphysical processes on the convective dynamics.