scholarly journals Improvement in the accuracy of expected seismic intensities for earthquake early warning in Japan using empirically estimated site amplification factors

2011 ◽  
Vol 63 (2) ◽  
pp. 57-69 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kazuhiro Iwakiri ◽  
Mitsuyuki Hoshiba ◽  
Kouji Nakamura ◽  
Nobuyuki Morikawa
2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Quancai Xie ◽  
Qiang Ma ◽  
Jingfa Zhang ◽  
Haiying Yu

Abstract. The site amplification factor was usually considered as scalar values, such as amplification of peak ground acceleration or peak ground velocity, increments of seismic intensity in the conventional earthquake early warning system. This paper focus on evaluation of infinite impulse recursive filter method that could produce frequency-dependent site amplification and compare the performance of the scalar value method with the infinite impulse recursive filter method. Firstly, the strong motion data of IBRH10 and IBRH19 of Kiban Kyoshin network (Kik-net)from 2004 to 2012 were processed and selected carefully. The relative spectral ratio of IBRH10 surface acceleration to IBRH10 borehole acceleration, the relative spectral ratio of IBRH19 surface acceleration to IBRH19 borehole acceleration, the relative spectral ratio the IBRH10 surface and borehole acceleration to the IBRH19 surface and borehole acceleration were calculated using the traditional spectral ratio method. Secondly, the relative spectral ratio were modelled using the infinite impulse recursive filter method. The simulated IBRH19 surface acceleration and Fourier spectrum were obtained by filtering the IBRH19 borehole data. The seismic intensity residual were calculated for both the observation and simulation data, it shows that 98.6 % of these seismic intensity residuals are less than 0.5, 100 % of these seismic intensity residuals are less than 1. Similarly, the simulated IBRH10 Surface acceleration and Fourier spectrum were obtained by filtering the IBRH19 surface acceleration time series. The seismic intensity residual were calculated for both the observation data and the simulation data. The statistical data shows that 69.7 % of these seismic intensity residuals are less than 0.5, 98.1 % of these seismic intensity residuals are less than 1. Through these comparisons, we can find that these simulations show better performance than the ARV method and station correction method. It also shows good performance than the average level and the highest level of all the 11 years Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) earthquake early warning system. Thirdly, compare different simulation cases, it can be easily found that this method could produce different amplification factor for different earthquakes. It could produce the frequency-depend site amplification factor. It highly improve the situation that the scalar value site amplification methods which could not produce different amplification factor for different earthquakes. This method pays attention to the amplitude and ignore the phase characteristic, this problem may be improved by the seismic interferometry method. This paper makes deep evaluation of the infinite impulse recursive filter method. Although there are some problems needed to consider carefully and solve, it shows good potential to be used in the future earthquake early warning systems for more accuracy modelling the site amplification factor.


2007 ◽  
Vol 60 (5) ◽  
pp. 399-406
Author(s):  
Shigeki Horiuchi ◽  
Aya Kamimura ◽  
Hiromitsu Nakamura ◽  
Shunroku Yamamoto ◽  
Changjiang Wu

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elizabeth S. Cochran ◽  
◽  
Sarah E. Minson ◽  
Annemarie S. Baltay ◽  
Julian Bunn ◽  
...  

Author(s):  
Roberto Paolucci ◽  
Mauro Aimar ◽  
Andrea Ciancimino ◽  
Marco Dotti ◽  
Sebastiano Foti ◽  
...  

AbstractIn this paper the site categorization criteria and the corresponding site amplification factors proposed in the 2021 draft of Part 1 of Eurocode 8 (2021-draft, CEN/TC250/SC8 Working Draft N1017) are first introduced and compared with the current version of Eurocode 8, as well as with site amplification factors from recent empirical ground motion prediction equations. Afterwards, these values are checked by two approaches. First, a wide dataset of strong motion records is built, where recording stations are classified according to 2021-draft, and the spectral amplifications are empirically estimated computing the site-to-site residuals from regional and global ground motion models for reference rock conditions. Second, a comprehensive parametric numerical study of one-dimensional (1D) site amplification is carried out, based on randomly generated shear-wave velocity profiles, classified according to the new criteria. A reasonably good agreement is found by both approaches. The most relevant discrepancies occur for the shallow soft soil conditions (soil category E) that, owing to the complex interaction of shear wave velocity, soil deposit thickness and frequency range of the excitation, show the largest scatter both in terms of records and of 1D numerical simulations. Furthermore, 1D numerical simulations for soft soil conditions tend to provide lower site amplification factors than 2021-draft, as well as lower than the corresponding site-to-site residuals from records, because of higher impact of non-linear (NL) site effects in the simulations. A site-specific study on NL effects at three KiK-net stations with a significantly large amount of high-intensity recorded ground motions gives support to the 2021-draft NL reduction factors, although the very limited number of recording stations allowing such analysis prevents deriving more general implications. In the presence of such controversial arguments, it is reasonable that a standard should adopt a prudent solution, with a limited reduction of the site amplification factors to account for NL soil response, while leaving the possibility to carry out site-specific estimations of such factors when sufficient information is available to model the ground strain dependency of local soil properties.


Author(s):  
S. Enferadi ◽  
Z. H. Shomali ◽  
A. Niksejel

AbstractIn this study, we examine the scientific feasibility of an Earthquake Early Warning System in Tehran, Iran, by the integration of the Tehran Disaster Mitigation and Management Organization (TDMMO) accelerometric network and the PRobabilistic and Evolutionary early warning SysTem (PRESTo). To evaluate the performance of the TDMMO-PRESTo system in providing the reliable estimations of earthquake parameters and the available lead-times for The Metropolis of Tehran, two different approaches were analyzed in this work. The first approach was assessed by applying the PRESTo algorithms on waveforms from 11 moderate instrumental earthquakes that occurred in the vicinity of Tehran during the period 2009–2020. Moreover, we conducted a simulation analysis using synthetic waveforms of 10 large historical earthquakes that occurred in the vicinity of Tehran. We demonstrated that the six worst-case earthquake scenarios can be considered for The Metropolis of Tehran, which are mostly related to the historical and instrumental events that occurred in the southern, eastern, and western parts of Tehran. Our results indicate that the TDMMO-PRESTo system could provide reliable and sufficient lead-times of about 1 to 15s and maximum lead-times of about 20s for civil protection purposes in The Metropolis of Tehran.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document