scholarly journals System approach: climate change, glacier melt and development planning of the himalayan region

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sakkeri Ramya ◽  
◽  
V. Devadas ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Sustainable Development ◽  
System Dynamics ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
Integrated Approach ◽  
Development Planning ◽  
Water Demands ◽  
Glacier Melt ◽  
Agriculture Industry ◽  
Development Plans

Experience over the last decade has demonstrated a gradual rise in global temperatures, which coupled with the unpredictable precipitation patterns (rainfall & Snow/ glacier melt are considered as important hydrologic process in the Himalayan basins), are expected to seriously affect the melt characteristics and further increase pressure on available water resources (both quantity and quality). The situation is being exacerbated intensified by the increasing water demands from agriculture, industry and rising population. However, current investigations reveal that there is a lack of a general framework for assessment. The major responsibility of the planning community is to adopt rational planning approach addressing the complexity of the system, yet it is appearing that the models used at various stages are not well developed to keep the same pace. This demands the acknowledgment and a better understanding of the dynamic inter-linkage and interdependence of the complex systems and sub-systems (namely physical, social, economic, ecology, environment, infrastructure, and institutional subsystems) using system dynamics technique. The aim of this paper is to develop a methodology for assessing the climate change and its impact on a region by demonstrating the inadequacy of sectoral and silobased planning approaches to address the complex sustainable development challenges whose interdependencies and inter-linkages transcend individual sectors and administrative borders. Further, this paper attempts to present the review of research done on the use of an integrated approach by using system dynamics technique in the context of evolving development plans. It concludes with extending the knowledge to support climate change adaptation and mitigation decisions to achieve sustainable development at the regional scale.

scholarly journals Meeting SDG6 in the Kingdom of Tonga: The Mismatch between National and Local Sustainable Development Planning for Water Supply

Hydrology ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 81 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ian White ◽  
Tony Falkland ◽  
Taaniela Kula
Keyword(s):  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Water Supply ◽  
Local Community ◽  
Development Planning ◽  
Small Island ◽  
Rural Villages ◽  
Hydrological Data ◽  
Development Framework ◽  
Development Plans ◽  
A Priority

UN Sustainable Development Goal 6 challenges small island developing states such as the Kingdom of Tonga, which relies on variable rainwater and fragile groundwater lenses for freshwater supply. Meeting water needs in dispersed small islands under changeable climate and frequent extreme events is difficult. Improved governance is central to better water management. Integrated national sustainable development plans have been promulgated as a necessary improvement, but their relevance to island countries has been questioned. Tonga’s national planning instrument is the Tonga Strategic Development Framework, 2015–2025 (TSDFII). Local Community Development Plans (CDPs), developed by rural villages throughout Tonga’s five Island Divisions, are also available. Analyses are presented of island water sources from available census and limited hydrological data, and of the water supply priorities in TSDFII and in 117 accessible village CDPs. Census and hydrological data showed large water supply differences between islands. Nationally, TDSFII did not identify water supply as a priority. In CDPs, 84% of villages across all Island Divisions ranked water supply as a priority. Reasons for the mismatch are advanced. It is recommended that improved governance in water in Pacific Island countries should build on available census and hydrological data and increased investment in local island planning processes.

scholarly journals Participatory mapping and collaborative action for inclusive and sustainable mountain landscape development in Far West Nepal

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Prakash Khadka ◽  
Wei Liu ◽  
Binod Prasad Parajuli ◽  
Uttam Pudasaini
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Environmental Changes ◽  
Landscape Planning ◽  
Local Level ◽  
Development Planning ◽  
Spatial Knowledge ◽  
Participatory Mapping ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Development Plans ◽  
Mapping Techniques

<p>Nepal is one of the world’s most vulnerable countries to the impacts of climate change due to its high-relief topography, heavy monsoon rainfall, and weak governance. Landslides are common across almost all Nepal’s vast Himalaya mountains, of which the Far Western region suffers most, and climate change, coupled with severe under-development is expected to exacerbate the situation. Deficiency in spatial data and information seriously hinder the design and effective implementation of development plans, especially in the least developed areas, such as Seti River Basin in Far Western Nepal, where landslides constantly devastate landscapes and communities. We adopted a participatory mapping process with emerging collaborative digital mapping techniques to tackle the problem of critical information gaps, especially spatial risk information at local levels which compromise efforts for sustainable landscape planning and uses in disaster prone regions. In short, participatory here refers to working with local stakeholders and collaborative refers to crowdsourced map information with citizens and professionals. Engaging a wide range of stakeholders and non-stakeholder citizens in this integrated mapping processes eventually structure human capital at local scales with skills and knowledge on maps and mapping techniques. Also, this approach increases spatial knowledge and their uses in development planning at the local level and eventually increases landscape resilience through improved information management. We will further discuss how this integrated approach may provide an effective link between planning, designing, and implementing development plans amid fast policy and environmental changes and implications for communities in the developing world, especially in the context of climate change and its cascading effects.</p>

Sustainable Development and Social Market Economy to Promote a Culture of Peace

2018 ◽  
pp. 143-178
Author(s):  
Patrizia Gazzola ◽  
Enrica Pavione
Keyword(s):  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Market Economy ◽  
Development Planning ◽  
Social Market Economy ◽  
Future Prospects ◽  
Culture Of Peace ◽  
Development Plans ◽  
Dynamic Integration ◽  
Social Market

The aim of the chapter is to analyze the evolution of the concept of sustainability and the role of the culture of peace for a balanced sustainable development. The culture of peace is an essential ingredient for sustainable development. Sustainable development plans can be delayed or accelerated depending on the creative and dynamic integration of culture in development planning. The chapter also deepens the link between sustainability and social market economy in a vision in which the intersection between the two paradigms promotes the culture of peace. The chapter aims to contribute to the debate on the future prospects of the European socio-economic model and to verify how these teachings can be generalized to grasp the scope of institutional arrangements in helping to address the great turning points of economic development in the direction of peace.

scholarly journals Water demand predictions for megacities: system dynamics modeling and implications

Water Policy ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 53-76 ◽  
Author(s):  
Huanhuan Qin ◽  
Ximing Cai ◽  
Chunmiao Zheng
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Water Supply ◽  
System Dynamics ◽  
Water Demand ◽  
Water Shortage ◽  
Dynamics Modeling ◽  
Water Transfers ◽  
Water Demands ◽  
Linear Relationships ◽  
Basin Water

Abstract Sustaining the water supply in megacities is an enormous challenge. To address this challenge, it is especially important to predict water demand changes in megacities. This paper presents a system dynamics model to predict the future water demands of different sectors considering multiple factors, including population, structure of the economy, and water supply and use technologies. Compared with traditional methods such as the time series method and structure analysis method, the proposed model takes into account the interconnections, non-linear relationships and feedbacks between the various factors in a systems context. The model is applied to Beijing, a megacity with a population over 20 million and very limited water availability. It is found that the total water demand is likely to increase by at least 36.1% (up to 62.5%) by 2030 compared with that in 2011, and the water deficits vary from −0.36 × 109 to 1.80 × 109m3 in 2030. In addition, scenarios are designed to account for impacts associated with economic development, climate change and inter-basin water transfers. It is shown that climate change may have a large impact on the water supply reliability in Beijing. The water shortage problems can be alleviated via inter-basin water transfers.

scholarly journals Implementation of climate change science in viticulture sustainable development planning in Serbia

2018 ◽  
Vol 50 ◽  
pp. 01005
Author(s):  
Ana Vukovic ◽  
Mirjam Vujadinovic ◽  
Mirjana Ruml ◽  
Zorica Rankovic-Vasic ◽  
Zoran Przic ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Sustainable Development ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Knowledge Exchange ◽  
Ghg Emissions ◽  
Development Planning ◽  
Climate Projections ◽  
Wine Quality ◽  
Adaptation Measures

Growing interest in Serbia in adaptation of viticulture to climate change emerged from a recorded positive impact of summer increased draught on domestic wine quality. Another motivation is that viticulture has been recognized as one of the fastest developing agricultural sectors in Serbia and, to contain its growing potential, it is crucial to provide basis for its future sustainable development. Prioritization and implementation of adaptation measures in practice require reliable assessment of climate projections. For climate change impact assessment is used high resolution multi-model ensemble of nine regional climate models simulations, bias corrected, with two most probable future scenarios of GHG emissions RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, for the period 2016-2100. Analysis has been done for the near future, mid-century and end of the century periods. The periods are defined according to the IPCC 5th Assessment Report, which enables comparison of climate change impacts with a wider region, and preferably motivate future international collaboration and knowledge exchange.

Impacts of Climate Change on Coastal Communities

2022 ◽  
pp. 1659-1671
Author(s):  
Isahaque Ali ◽  
Rameeja Shaik ◽  
Maruthi A. Y. ◽  
Azlinda Azman ◽  
Paramjit Singh ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Land Use ◽  
Coastal Management ◽  
Environmental Changes ◽  
National Development ◽  
Climate Change Impacts ◽  
Development Planning ◽  
Development Plans

Earth and coastal ecosystems are not static, and they usually respond to environmental changes, mostly anthropogenic and climatic. Here, the authors described natural values, coastal landforms, and types of infrastructure that are most likely to be affected by climate change (CC) and provide information for assessing inundation, erosion, and recession risks for a chosen location. In this chapter, the authors focused on the land uses, the vulnerability of coastal infrastructure, and argued for effective linkages between CC issues and development planning. They also recommended the incorporation of CC impact and risk assessment into long-term national development strategies. Policies will be presented to implement these recommendations for adaptation to climate variability and global CC. The authors provide general recommendations and identify challenges for the incorporation of climate change impacts and risk assessment into long-term land-use national development plans and strategies. Overall, this chapter provides an overview of the implications for CC to coastal management.

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