scholarly journals Spatio-temporal Kriging of Lower Caribbean Wind Data

2021 ◽  
Vol 44 (1) ◽  
pp. 26-39
Author(s):  
Neil Ramsamooj
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Wind Farm ◽  
Spatial Prediction ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Hourly Data ◽  
Spatial Random Field ◽  
Spatio Temporal ◽  
Diurnal Wind ◽  
Using Data ◽  
Wind Farm Location

Planning of a wind farm location requires significant data. However, wind speed data sets in the lower Caribbean are usually incomplete. This paper considers imputation by spatio-temporal kriging using data from neighbouring locations. Temporal basis functions with spatial covariates are used to model diurnal wind speed cyclicity. The residual set of our spatio-temporal model is modelled as a Gaussian spatial random field. Fitted models may be used for spatial prediction as well as imputation. Examples of predictions are illustrated using two months of hourly data from eight Caribbean locations with prediction accuracy being assessed by cross validation and residuals.

Study on Wind Speed Forecasting Based on STC and BP Neural Network

2013 ◽  
Vol 724-725 ◽  
pp. 623-629
Author(s):  
Xing Jie Liu ◽  
Wen Shu Zheng ◽  
Tian Yun Cen
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Wind Speed ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Wind Farm ◽  
Target Prediction ◽  
Temporal Correlation ◽  
Economic Security ◽  
Wind Speed Forecasting ◽  
Spatio Temporal

Accurate wind speed forecasting of wind farm is of great significance in economic security and stability of the grid. In order to improve the prediction accuracy, the paper first proposed a spatio-temporal correlation predictor method. Based on physical characteristics of wind speed evolution, the method looked for the wind speed and direction information at sites close to the target prediction site, and established STCP model to forecast. And then we established the BP neural network to finish multi-step forecast with wind speed time series of target forecast site .Last, two methods were combined to form STCP-BP method. Simulation tests are conducted with operation data from certain wind farm group in China and results show that STCP-BP method can effectively improve the prediction accuracy compared with BP model.

scholarly journals An Experimental Investigation of FNN Model for Wind Speed Forecasting Using EEMD and CS

2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianzhou Wang ◽  
Haiyan Jiang ◽  
Bohui Han ◽  
Qingping Zhou
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Power System ◽  
Wind Power ◽  
Wind Farm ◽  
Frequency Noise ◽  
Wind Speed Forecasting ◽  
System A ◽  
Wind Power System ◽  
And Performance ◽  
Using Data

With depletion of traditional energy and increasing environmental problems, wind energy, as an alternative renewable energy, has drawn more and more attention internationally. Meanwhile, wind is plentiful, clean, and environmentally friendly; moreover, its speed is a very important piece of information needed in the operations and planning of the wind power system. Therefore, choosing an effective forecasting model with good performance plays a quite significant role in wind power system. A hybrid CS-EEMD-FNN model is firstly proposed in this paper for multistep ahead prediction of wind speed, in which EEMD is employed as a data-cleaning method that aims to remove the high frequency noise embedded in the wind speed series. CS optimization algorithm is used to select the best parameters in the FNN model. In order to evaluate the effectiveness and performance of the proposed hybrid model, three other short-term wind speed forecasting models, namely, FNN model, EEMD-FNN model, and CS-FNN model, are carried out to forecast wind speed using data measured at a typical site in Shandong wind farm, China, over three seasons in 2011. Experimental results demonstrate that the developed hybrid CS-EEMD-FNN model outperforms other models with more accuracy, which is suitable to wind speed forecasting in this area.

Effect of Mean Wind Speed Variations on Power Generation of Wind Farm

2012 ◽  
Vol 215-216 ◽  
pp. 1298-1307
Author(s):  
Chen Guo ◽  
Yan He
Keyword(s):  
Power Generation ◽  
Wind Speed ◽  
Wind Farm ◽  
High Reliability ◽  
Wind Farms ◽  
Measured Data ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Mean Wind Speed ◽  
Relationship Of ◽  
The Relationship

Through two methods, wind speed data sets sequence, the elements of which increased in Mean Wind Speed (MWS) orderly, are introduced first, and a numerical integration method depending on Weibull fitting result and power curve data to calculate Power Generation (PG) is proposed in this paper. Then, with measured data of 3 wind farms, PG with different heights are calculated and contrastive studies are made, employing the proposed data sets processing and PG calculating methods. Research results indicate that the PG calculating method has high reliability, and Equivalent Available Duration (EAD) increases about 50-60h when MWS increased by 0.1m/s. The results provide important basis for studies on the relationship of PG variation and measured data correction methods.

scholarly journals Multistep Wind Speed Forecasting Based on Wavelet and Gaussian Processes

2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Niya Chen ◽  
Zheng Qian ◽  
Xiaofeng Meng
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Wavelet Decomposition ◽  
Wind Farm ◽  
Southern China ◽  
Energy Utilization ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Wind Speed Forecasting ◽  
Hourly Data ◽  
Short Term Forecasting ◽  
Gp Model

Accurate wind speed forecasts are necessary for the safety and economy of the renewable energy utilization. The wind speed forecasts can be obtained by statistical model based on historical data. In this paper, a novel W-GP model (wavelet decomposition based Gaussian process learning paradigm) is proposed for short-term wind speed forecasting. The nonstationary and nonlinear original wind speed series is first decomposed into a set of better-behaved constitutive subseries by wavelet decomposition. Then these sub-series are forecasted respectively by GP method, and the forecast results are summed to formulate an ensemble forecast for original wind speed series. Therefore, the previous process which obtains wind speed forecast result is named W-GP model. Finally, the proposed model is applied to short-term forecasting of the mean hourly and daily wind speed for a wind farm located in southern China. The prediction results indicate that the proposed W-GP model, which achieves a mean 13.34% improvement in RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) compared to persistence method for mean hourly data and a mean 7.71% improvement for mean daily wind speed data, shows the best forecasting accuracy among several forecasting models.

THE INFLUENCE OF THE WIND SPEED PREDICTION ERROR ON THE SIZE OF THE STORAGE CONTROLLED OPERATION ZONE IN THE SYSTEM WITH THE WIND GENERATOR

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 (57) ◽  
pp. 35-41
Author(s):  
K.S. Klen ◽  
◽  
M.K. Yaremenko ◽  
V.Ya. Zhuykov ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Wind Speed ◽  
Prediction Error ◽  
Average Energy ◽  
Interpolation Formula ◽  
Wind Speed Prediction ◽  
Wind Generator ◽  
Prediction Horizon ◽  
Speed Prediction ◽  
Using Data ◽  
Predictor Corrector

The article analyzes the influence of wind speed prediction error on the size of the controlled operation zone of the storage. The equation for calculating the power at the output of the wind generator according to the known values of wind speed is given. It is shown that when the wind speed prediction error reaches a value of 20%, the controlled operation zone of the storage disappears. The necessity of comparing prediction methods with different data discreteness to ensure the minimum possible prediction error and determining the influence of data discreteness on the error is substantiated. The equations of the "predictor-corrector" scheme for the Adams, Heming, and Milne methods are given. Newton's second interpolation formula for interpolation/extrapolation is given at the end of the data table. The average relative error of MARE was used to assess the accuracy of the prediction. It is shown that the prediction error is smaller when using data with less discreteness. It is shown that when using the Adams method with a prediction horizon of up to 30 min, within ± 34% of the average energy value, the drive can be controlled or discharged in a controlled manner. References 13, figures 2, tables 3.

Assessment of Regional Explosion Discriminants Using Data Sets of Unparalleled Spatial Sampling

2012 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kate C. Miller ◽  
Lindsay L. Worthington ◽  
Steven Harder ◽  
Scott Phillips ◽  
Hans Hartse ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Spatial Sampling ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Using Data

scholarly journals Using Machine Learning Methods to Identify Particle Types from Doppler Lidar Measurements in Iceland

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (13) ◽  
pp. 2433
Author(s):  
Shu Yang ◽  
Fengchao Peng ◽  
Sibylle von Löwis ◽  
Guðrún Nína Petersen ◽  
David Christian Finger
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Dust Storms ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Lidar Data ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Doppler Lidar ◽  
Lidar Measurements ◽  
Using Data ◽  
Filter Noise

Doppler lidars are used worldwide for wind monitoring and recently also for the detection of aerosols. Automatic algorithms that classify the lidar signals retrieved from lidar measurements are very useful for the users. In this study, we explore the value of machine learning to classify backscattered signals from Doppler lidars using data from Iceland. We combined supervised and unsupervised machine learning algorithms with conventional lidar data processing methods and trained two models to filter noise signals and classify Doppler lidar observations into different classes, including clouds, aerosols and rain. The results reveal a high accuracy for noise identification and aerosols and clouds classification. However, precipitation detection is underestimated. The method was tested on data sets from two instruments during different weather conditions, including three dust storms during the summer of 2019. Our results reveal that this method can provide an efficient, accurate and real-time classification of lidar measurements. Accordingly, we conclude that machine learning can open new opportunities for lidar data end-users, such as aviation safety operators, to monitor dust in the vicinity of airports.

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