scholarly journals Runoff estimation using modified adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system

2019 ◽  
Vol 25 (4) ◽  
pp. 545-553 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amitabha Nath ◽  
Fisokuhle Mthethwa ◽  
Goutam Saha

Rainfall-Runoff modeling plays a crucial role in various aspects of water resource management. It helps significantly in resolving the issues related to flood control, protection of agricultural lands, etc. Various Machine learning and statistical-based algorithms have been used for this purpose. These techniques resulted in outcomes with an acceptable rate of success. One of the pertinent machine learning algorithms namely Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) has been reported to be a very effective tool for the purpose. However, the computational complexity of ANFIS is a major hindrance in its application. In this paper, we resolved this problem of ANFIS by incorporating one of the evolutionary algorithms known as Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) which was used in estimating the parameters pertaining to ANFIS. The results of the modified ANFIS were found to be satisfactory. The performance of this modified ANFIS is then compared with conventional ANFIS and another popular statistical modeling technique namely ARIMA model with respect to the forecasting of runoff. In the present investigation, it was found that proposed PSO-ANFIS performed better than ARIMA and conventional ANFIS with respect to the prediction accuracy of runoff.

Author(s):  
Zahra Sadeghtabaghi ◽  
Mohsen Talebkeikhah ◽  
Ahmad Reza Rabbani

AbstractVitrinite reflectance (VR) is considered the most used maturity indicator of source rocks. Although vitrinite reflectance is an acceptable parameter for maturity and is widely used, it is sometimes difficult to measure. Furthermore, Rock-Eval pyrolysis is a current technique for geochemical investigations and evaluating source rock by their quality and quantity of organic matter, which provide low cost, quick, and valid information. Predicting vitrinite reflectance by using a quick and straightforward method like Rock-Eval pyrolysis results in determining accurate and reliable values of VR with consuming low cost and time. Previous studies used empirical equations for vitrinite reflectance prediction by the Tmax data, which was accompanied by poor results. Therefore, finding a way for precise vitrinite reflectance prediction by Rock-Eval data seems useful. For this aim, vitrinite reflectance values are predicted by 15 distinct machine learning models of the decision tree, random forest, support vector machine, group method of data handling, radial basis function, multilayer perceptron, adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system, and multilayer perceptron and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system, which are coupled with evolutionary optimization methods such as grasshopper optimization algorithm, bat algorithm, particle swarm optimization, and genetic algorithm, with four inputs of Rock-Eval pyrolysis parameters of Tmax, S1/TOC, HI, and depth for the first time. Statistical evaluations indicate that the decision tree is the most precise model for VR prediction, which can estimate vitrinite reflectance precisely. The comparison between the decision tree and previous proposed empirical equations indicates that the machine learning method performs much more accurately.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mariamme Mohammed ◽  
Ahmad Sharafati ◽  
Nadhir Al-Ansari ◽  
Zaher Mundher Yaseen

Settlement simulating in cohesion materials is a crucial issue due to complexity of cohesion soil texture. This research emphasis on the implementation of newly developed machine learning models called hybridized Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) with Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) algorithm, Ant Colony optimizer (ACO), Differential Evolution (DE), and Genetic Algorithm (GA) as efficient approaches to predict settlement of shallow foundation over cohesion soil properties. The width of footing (B), pressure of footing (qa), geometry of footing (L/B), count of SPT blow (N), and ratio of footing embedment (Df/B) are considered as predictive variables. Nonhomogeneity and inconsistency of employed dataset is a major concern during prediction modeling. Hence, two different modeling scenarios (i) preprocessed dataset (PP) and (ii) nonprocessed (initial) dataset (NP) were inspected. To assess the accuracy of the applied hybrid models and standalone one, multiple statistical metrics were computed and analyzed over the training and testing phases. Results indicated ANFIS-PSO model exhibited an accurate and reliable prediction data intelligent and had the highest predictability performance against all employed models. In addition, results demonstrated that data preprocessing is highly essential to be performed prior to building the predictive models. Overall, ANFIS-PSO model showed a robust machine learning for settlement prediction.


Author(s):  
Sina Ardabili ◽  
Bertalan Beszedes ◽  
Laszlo Nadai ◽  
Karoly Szell ◽  
Amir Mosavi ◽  
...  

The hybridization of machine learning methods with soft computing techniques is an essential approach to improve the performance of the prediction models. Hybrid machine learning models, particularly, have gained popularity in the advancement of the high-performance control systems. Higher accuracy and better performance for prediction models of exergy destruction and energy consumption used in the control circuit of heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems can be highly economical in the industrial scale to save energy. This research proposes two hybrid models of adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system-particle swarm optimization (ANFIS-PSO), and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system-genetic algorithm (ANFIS-GA) for HVAC. The results are further compared with the single ANFIS model. The ANFIS-PSO model with the RMSE of 0.0065, MAE of 0.0028, and R2 equal to 0.9999, with a minimum deviation of 0.0691 (KJ/s), outperforms the ANFIS-GA and single ANFIS models.


2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 29
Author(s):  
Budy Santoso ◽  
Azminuddin I. S. Azis ◽  
Andi Bode

Masalah transportasi masih sering dihadapkan pada fenomena kemacetan arus lalu lintas yang berdampak pada kecelakaan lalu lintas, polusi, dan kerugian ekonomi. Salah satu cara untuk meminimalisir fenomena tersebut melalui pengendalian sistem lampu lalu lintas yang baik terhadap arus lalu lintas jangka pendek di persimpangan jalan. Pengendalian lampu lalu lintas secara statis terbukti belum optimal dalam meminimalisir kemacetan arus lalu lintas, salah satu penyebabnya karena kondisi arus lalu lintas yang bervariasi sehingga tidak mudah diprediksi. Fuzzy Inference System (FIS) sering terbukti mampu menunjukkan hasil yang lebih baik daripada pengendalian lampu lalu lintas secara statis. Namun FIS tidak dapat diterapkan pada kondisi arus lalu lintas yang bervariasi atau di persimpangan jalan yang berbeda karena metode tersebut tidak mampu mempelajari kondisi arus lalu lintas secara real time. Agar FIS mampu melakukan pembelajaran, maka pendekatan machine learning dapat diterapkan pada FIS. Salah satu pengembangannya adalah Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) yang dapat mengendalikan lampu lalu lintas cerdas secara dinamis dengan hasil yang lebih baik daripada FIS. Namun umumnya ANFIS diuji coba pada persimpangan jalan yang normal. Bagaimana jika di persimpangan yang kompleks? Persimpangan yang memiliki beberapa ruas/jalur utama yang besar (jalur poros), sementara ruas laiinya kecil, bahkan terdapat ruas yang tidak berpotongan, sehingga ada prioritas untuk setiap ruasnya. Hasilnya, penerapan ANFIS (3 GaussMf) untuk pengendalian lampu lalu lintas cerdas/dinamis di persimpangan empat ruas yang kompleks mampu mereduksi Average Waiting Times (AWT) rata-rata sebesar 3,4071E-05 detik dengan 2,7156 RMSE rata-rata, menggunakan variabel Queues Quantity dan Priority Degree. Sedangkan jika menggunakan variabel Arrival Times, Transportation Type, dan Goal Junction, ANFIS (4 TrapMf) mampu mereduksi AWT sebesar 0,0779 detik dengan 19,7646 RMSE.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-31
Author(s):  
Manas K. Sanyal ◽  
Indranil Ghosh ◽  
R. K. Jana

This paper proposes a granular framework for examining the dynamics of stock indexes that exhibit nonparametric and highly volatile behavior, and subsequently carries out the predictive analytics task by integrating detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA), maximal overlap discrete wavelet transformation (MODWT), and machine learning algorithms. DFA test ascertains the key temporal characteristics of the daily closing prices. MODWT decomposes the time series into granular components. Four pattern recognition algorithms—adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), dynamic evolving neural-fuzzy inference system (DENFIS), bagging and deep belief network (DBN)—are then used on the decomposed components to obtain granular level forecasts. The entire exercise is performed on daily closing prices of Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), National Stock Exchange of India (NIFTY), Karachi Stock Exchange (KSE), Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE), Financial Times Stock Exchange (FTSE), and German Stock Exchange (DAX). MODWT-Bagging and MODWT-DBN appear as superior forecasting models.


Author(s):  
Raden Muhamad Yuda Pradana Kusumah ◽  
Maman Abdurohman ◽  
Aji Gautama Putrada

This paper proposes a basement flood management system based on Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). Basement is one of the main parts of a building that has a high potential for flooding. Therefore, the existence of a flood control system in the basement can be a solution to this threat. Water level control is the key to solving the problem. Fuzzy Inference System (FIS) has proven to be a reliable method in the control system but this method has limitations, that is, it needs to have a basis or a reference when determining the fuzzy set. When there is no basis or reference, Adaptive Neuro FIS (ANFIS) can be a solution. The Neuron aspect in ANFIS determines fuzzy sets through training data. In terms of the Internet of Things (IoT), this system uses an ultrasonic sensor, Node Red IoT platform, and Matlab Server.  Then the water pump will turn on to control the water level when there is rainfall. By undergoing a comparative test with the FIS method, ANFIS provides a lower Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and is recommended for use in basement flood management systems.


2016 ◽  
Vol 7 (13) ◽  
pp. 137-128 ◽  
Author(s):  
نوید دهقانی ◽  
مهدی وفاخواه ◽  
عبدالرضا بهره مند ◽  
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