scholarly journals Modelling earth current precursors in earthquake prediction

1997 ◽  
Vol 40 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Patella ◽  
A. Tramacere ◽  
R. Di Maio

This paper deals with the theory of earth current precursors of earthquake. A dilatancy-diffusion-polarization model is proposed to explain the anomalies of the electric potential, which are observed on the ground surface prior to some earthquakes. The electric polarization is believed to be the electrokinetic effect due to the invasion of fluids into new pores, which are opened inside a stressed-dilated rock body. The time and space variation of the distribution of the electric potential in a layered earth as well as in a faulted half-space is studied in detail. It results that the surface response depends on the underground conductivity distribution and on the relative disposition of the measuring dipole with respect to the buried bipole source. A field procedure based on the use of an areal layout of the recording sites is proposed, in order to obtain the most complete information on the time and space evolution of the precursory phenomena in any given seismic region.

1997 ◽  
Vol 34 (5) ◽  
pp. 667-678 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kenneth M. Hinkel ◽  
Samuel I. Outcalt ◽  
Alan E. Taylor

Vertical arrays of temperature and electric-potential probes were installed in the upper soil at sites along the Mackenzie River valley and on the North Slope of Alaska. Time series were obtained at subdiurnal frequencies throughout the year in the active layer and upper permafrost. If the data acquisition system is properly configured, the time series can be used to infer soil physiochemical processes. The electric potential develops primarily in response to soil water solute concentration gradients in the soil column, and is a crude surrogate of the soil water electrolytic conductivity. Summer precipitation can cause rapid penetration of the thaw front when percolating rainwater, warmed at the ground surface, carries sensible heat downward to the thawing front. Rates of warming at depth occur significantly faster than those typical of conductive heat transfer. In early winter, as the freezing front penetrates downward toward the permafrost table, ions are excluded from the ice and concentrated in the intermediate unfrozen zone. Nearly instantaneous warming of the active layer is triggered by spring snowmelt. At Happy Valley in northern Alaska, temperatures at the 29 cm depth rise from −7 to −3 °C in 1 h. For several hours during this event, the temperature at 29 cm is warmer than that at regions both above and below, producing a strong thermal inversion. Time series of electric potential, or a surrogate derived from electric potential, suggest rapid transport of meltwater from the snowpack to depth, probably through soil cracks. Serial events hasten active-layer warming by 1–2 weeks.


Author(s):  
A Revil ◽  
Y Qi ◽  
A Ghorbani ◽  
M Gresse ◽  
D M Thomas

Summary Kilauea is an active shield volcano located in Hawaiʻi. An induced polarization survey was performed in 2015 at the scale of the caldera. The data were acquired with a 2.5 km cable with 64 electrodes and a spacing of 40 m between the electrodes. A total of 6210 measurements were performed. The apparent chargeability data were inverted using a least square technique to obtain a chargeability tomogram. The normalized chargeability tomogram is obtained by multiplying cell-by-cell the chargeability by the conductivity. Once the conductivity and normalized chargeability tomograms are obtained, they are jointly interpreted using a dynamic Stern layer conduction/polarization model, which explains the low-frequency polarization spectra of volcanic rocks. This conductivity/polarization model is tested here on new laboratory experiments performed on 24 samples from a drill-hole located on the Kilauea East Rift Zone (Hole SOH-2). We show that for Kilauea, the ratio between the normalized chargeability and the conductivity is equal to a dimensionless number R = 0.10 ± 0.02  proving that the conductivity and the normalized chargeability are both controlled by the alteration products of the volcanic rocks with a minor role of magnetite except close to the ground surface. In turn, the degree of alteration is controlled by temperature and therefore normalized chargeability and electrical conductivity can both be used as a non-intrusive temperature sensor. This approach is then applied to the field data and temperature tomograms can be produced from the electrical conductivity and normalized chargeability tomograms.


2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
F Fernandez ◽  
C Villagran ◽  
G Cardenas ◽  
S Niklitschek ◽  
S Mehta ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Novel STEMI detection tools using wearable Single Lead EKG methodologies demonstrate vast potential in many clinical scenarios. Recent research suggests that smartwatches and other wearable devices can be repositioned to acquire “new” chest leads that have similar, but not equal, waveforms when compared to traditional precordial leads. Throughout our previous research, only Lead I data had been used to train our Machine Learning (ML) models due to a lack of datasets from these “new” leads. We now propose an innovative methodology to tackle these limitations and compare it with our previous experience. Purpose To demonstrate that mathematical vector algebra can reliably transform EKG STEMI databases into different, ML-ready datasets useful to train models with entirely new leads, mainly to be used in the development and training of reliable STEMI detection tools. Methods Our previous research has demonstrated that the most accurate (91.2%) ML model was achieved through precordial lead 2 (V2). By definition, V2 corresponds to the difference in electric potential between the Wilson Central Terminal (Wt) and the Chest terminal 2 (C2). To obtain the Wt, at least three electrodes must be used (Right Arm [RA], Left Arm [LA], Left Leg [LL]). Due to practical reasons, we discarded this methodology and worked with Lead I instead, which needs only two body contacts (RA, LA), and provides waveforms that are compatible with the majority of wearable devices (smartwatches, rings, among others). New waveforms (Vn') were obtained by positioning a single lead-capable wearable device (Smartwatch) to chest positions Cn (C1, C2,...,C6) and touching a second electrode with a right-hand finger, which corresponds to the difference in electric potential between RA and the correspondent conventional Vn chest position, respectively. Using vector algebra, we observe that Vn' corresponds to the sum of −aVR + Vn. Vector mathematical analysis was performed for 5,783 STEMI (50%) and 5,784 Not-STEMI (50%) EKG dataset, obtaining their corresponding new precordial leads Vn'. Following this, the ML Heart Attack Detector model was trained with 10,410 EKG (90%) and tested utilizing 1,157 (10%) EKG. Performance metrics were calculated for each new Lead and compared with our Prior Data. Results A 1:1 correlation was seen between our previous and current experiments, with Lead V2' performing as the best overall lead with 91.2% Accuracy, 89.6% Sensibility, and 92.9% Specificity. Complete information on prior and new data are provided below. Conclusions With the use of this new methodology, we overcame the inherent limitations of using our best Lead (V2) in a single lead approach for STEMI screening. Further prospective data is needed to validate this approach, but it provides a promising blueprint for automated STEMI detection and management triage through the use of wearable devices. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: None


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