Bayesian Probabilistic PCA Approach for Model Validation of Dynamic Systems

2009 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 555-563 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaomo Jiang ◽  
Ren-Jye Yang ◽  
Saeed Barbat ◽  
Para Weerappuli
Author(s):  
Zequn Wang ◽  
Yan Fu ◽  
Ren-Jye Yang ◽  
Saeed Barbat ◽  
Wei Chen

Validating dynamic engineering models is critically important in practical applications by assessing the agreement between simulation results and experimental observations. Though significant progresses have been made, the existing metrics lack the capability of managing uncertainty in both simulations and experiments, which may stem from computer model instability, imperfection in material fabrication and manufacturing process, and variations in experimental conditions. In addition, it is challenging to validate a dynamic model aggregately over both the time domain and a model input space with data at multiple validation sites. To overcome these difficulties, this paper presents an area-based metric to systemically handle uncertainty and validate computational models for dynamic systems over an input space by simultaneously integrating the information from multiple validation sites. To manage the complexity associated with a high-dimensional data space, Eigen analysis is performed for the time series data from simulations at each validation site to extract the important features. A truncated Karhunen-Loève (KL) expansion is then constructed to represent the responses of dynamic systems, resulting in a set of uncorrelated random coefficients with unit variance. With the development of a hierarchical data fusion strategy, probability integral transform is then employed to pool all the resulting random coefficients from multiple validation sites across the input space into a single aggregated metric. The dynamic model is thus validated by calculating the cumulative area difference of the cumulative density functions. The proposed model validation metric for dynamic systems is illustrated with a mathematical example, a supported beam problem with stochastic loads, and real data from the vehicle occupant restraint system.


2005 ◽  
Vol 127 (1) ◽  
pp. 140-145 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chen Haosheng ◽  
Chen Darong

To identify the micro helicopter’s yaw dynamics, the system identification method is used and is proved to be suitable according to the validation results. In order to strengthen the information of the dynamics and reduce the effect of the noise when processing the experiment data, the conventional system identification method is modified and a weighted criterion is investigated to estimate the model parameters. In calculating the factors of the weighted criterion, a perceptron is trained to allocate the factors automatically. The model validation result shows that the model derived by this kind of method can fit the measured outputs well. The modified system identification method would be useful in identifying dynamic systems which use the multiexperiment data.


2011 ◽  
Vol 133 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhenfei Zhan ◽  
Yan Fu ◽  
Ren-Jye Yang ◽  
Yinghong Peng

Validation of computational models with multiple correlated functional responses requires the consideration of multivariate data correlation, uncertainty quantification and propagation, and objective robust metrics. This paper presents an enhanced Bayesian based model validation method together with probabilistic principal component analysis (PPCA) to address these critical issues. The PPCA is employed to handle multivariate correlation and to reduce the dimension of the multivariate functional responses. The Bayesian interval hypothesis testing is used to quantitatively assess the quality of a multivariate dynamic system. The differences between the test data and computer-aided engineering (CAE) results are extracted for dimension reduction through PPCA, and then Bayesian interval hypothesis testing is performed on the reduced difference data to assess the model validity. In addition, physics-based threshold is defined and transformed to the PPCA space for Bayesian interval hypothesis testing. This new approach resolves some critical drawbacks of the previous methods and adds some desirable properties of a model validation metric for dynamic systems, such as symmetry. Several sets of analytical examples and a dynamic system with multiple functional responses are used to demonstrate this new approach.


Author(s):  
Jun Lu ◽  
Zhenfei Zhan ◽  
Pan Wang ◽  
Yudong Fang ◽  
Junqi Yang

As computer models become more powerful and popular, the complexity of input and output data raises new computational challenges. One of the key difficulties for model validation is to evaluate the quality of a computer model with multivariate, highly correlated and non-normal data, the direct application of traditional validation approaches does not appear to be suitable. This paper proposes a stochastic method to validate the dynamic systems. Firstly, a dimension reduction utilizing kernel principal component analysis (KPCA) is used to improve the computational efficiency. A probability model is then established by non-parametric kernel density estimation (KDE) method, and differences between the test data and simulation results are finally extracted to further comparative validation. This new approach resolves some critical drawbacks of the previous methods and improves the processing ability to nonlinear problem to validation the dynamic model. The proposed method and process are successfully illustrated through a real-world vehicle dynamic system example. The results demonstrate that the method of incorporate with KPCA and KDE is an effective approach to solve the dynamic model validation problem.


Author(s):  
E. Naranjo

Equilibrium vesicles, those which are the stable form of aggregation and form spontaneously on mixing surfactant with water, have never been demonstrated in single component bilayers and only rarely in lipid or surfactant mixtures. Designing a simple and general method for producing spontaneous and stable vesicles depends on a better understanding of the thermodynamics of aggregation, the interplay of intermolecular forces in surfactants, and an efficient way of doing structural characterization in dynamic systems.


2010 ◽  
Vol 19 (3) ◽  
pp. 68-74 ◽  
Author(s):  
Catherine S. Shaker

Current research on feeding outcomes after discharge from the neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) suggests a need to critically look at the early underpinnings of persistent feeding problems in extremely preterm infants. Concepts of dynamic systems theory and sensitive care-giving are used to describe the specialized needs of this fragile population related to the emergence of safe and successful feeding and swallowing. Focusing on the infant as a co-regulatory partner and embracing a framework of an infant-driven, versus volume-driven, feeding approach are highlighted as best supporting the preterm infant's developmental strivings and long-term well-being.


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