scholarly journals Global Analysis of an SEIR Epidemic Model with Infectious Force under Intervention Strategies

2019 ◽  
Vol 07 (08) ◽  
pp. 1706-1717
Author(s):  
Minmin Zhou ◽  
Tiansi Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Global Analysis ◽  
Intervention Strategies

scholarly journals Potential COVID-19 Outbreak in Fire Camp: Modeling Scenarios and Interventions

Fire ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 38
Author(s):  
Matthew P Thompson ◽  
Jude Bayham ◽  
Erin Belval
Keyword(s):  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Wildland Fire ◽  
Communicable Diseases ◽  
Intervention Strategies ◽  
Disease Spread ◽  
Social Distancing ◽  
Transient Nature ◽  
Fire Incident ◽  
In Fire ◽  
The Impact

The global COVID-19 pandemic will pose unique challenges to the management of wildland fire in 2020. Fire camps may provide an ideal setting for the transmission of SARS-CoV-2, the virus that causes COVID-19. However, intervention strategies can help minimize disease spread and reduce the risk to the firefighting community. We developed a COVID-19 epidemic model to highlight the risks posed by the disease during wildland fire incidents. Our model accounts for the transient nature of the population on a wildland fire incident, which poses unique risks to the management of communicable diseases in fire camps. We used the model to assess the impact of two types of interventions: the screening of a firefighter arriving on an incident, and social distancing measures. Our results suggest that both interventions are important to mitigate the risks posed by the SARS-CoV-2 virus. However, screening is relatively more effective on short incidents, whereas social distancing is relatively more effective during extended campaigns. We conclude with a discussion of model limitations and potential extensions to the model.

Global analysis of a deterministic and stochastic nonlinear SIRS epidemic model with saturated incidence rate

2016 ◽  
Vol 24 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Modeste N'zi ◽  
Gérard Kanga
Keyword(s):  
Incidence Rate ◽  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Global Analysis ◽  
Sirs Epidemic Model ◽  
Saturated Incidence Rate ◽  
Saturated Incidence

AbstractIn this paper, we present an SIRS (Susceptible, Infective, Recovered, Susceptible) epidemic model with a saturated incidence rate and disease causing death in a population of varying size. We define a parameter ℜ

scholarly journals Global analysis of an epidemic model with nonmonotone incidence rate

2007 ◽  
Vol 208 (2) ◽  
pp. 419-429 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dongmei Xiao ◽  
Shigui Ruan
Keyword(s):  
Incidence Rate ◽  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Global Analysis

scholarly journals Global analysis of an epidemic model with vaccination

2017 ◽  
Vol 57 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 605-628 ◽  
Author(s):  
Li-Ming Cai ◽  
Zhaoqing Li ◽  
Xinyu Song
Keyword(s):  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Global Analysis

Global analysis of a periodic epidemic model on cholera in presence of bacteriophage

2016 ◽  
Vol 39 (14) ◽  
pp. 4181-4195 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tridip Sardar ◽  
Santanu Biswas ◽  
Joydev Chattopadhyay
Keyword(s):  
Epidemic Model ◽  
Global Analysis
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