Probabilistic Safety Analysis of High Speed Railway Lines including Human Errors

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Castillo ◽  
Z. Grande ◽  
A. Calviño ◽  
M. Nogal ◽  
A.J. O'Connor
Keyword(s):  
High Speed ◽  
Safety Analysis ◽  
High Speed Railway ◽  
Human Errors ◽  
Probabilistic Safety

scholarly journals Probabilistic Safety Analysis of High Speed and Conventional Lines Using Bayesian Networks

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zacarias Grande Andrade ◽  
Enrique Castillo Ron ◽  
Alan O'Connor ◽  
Maria Nogal
Keyword(s):  
Bayesian Network ◽  
High Speed ◽  
Human Error ◽  
Driver Behavior ◽  
Safety Evaluation ◽  
Safety Analysis ◽  
Human Errors ◽  
Maintenance Costs ◽  
Railway Line ◽  
Probabilistic Safety

A Bayesian network approach is presented for probabilistic safety analysis (PSA) of railway lines. The idea consists of identifying and reproducing all the elements that the train encounters when circulating along a railway line, such as light and speed limit signals, tunnel or viaduct entries or exits, cuttings and embankments, acoustic sounds received in the cabin, curves, switches, etc. In addition, since the human error is very relevant for safety evaluation, the automatic train protection (ATP) systems and the driver behavior and its time evolution are modelled and taken into account to determine the probabilities of human errors. The nodes of the Bayesian network, their links and the associated probability tables are automatically constructed based on the line data that need to be carefully given. The conditional probability tables are reproduced by closed formulas, which facilitate the modelling and the sensitivity analysis. A sorted list of the most dangerous elements in the line is obtained, which permits making decisions about the line safety and programming maintenance operations in order to optimize them and reduce the maintenance costs substantially. The proposed methodology is illustrated by its application to several cases that include real lines such as the Palencia-Santander and the Dublin-Belfast lines.DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.4995/CIT2016.2016.3428

scholarly journals Human reliability analysis of the Tehran research reactor using the SPAR-H method

2012 ◽  
Vol 27 (3) ◽  
pp. 319-332 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ramin Barati ◽  
Saeed Setayeshi
Keyword(s):  
Reliability Analysis ◽  
Research Reactor ◽  
Safety Analysis ◽  
Human Action ◽  
Human Reliability ◽  
Human Reliability Analysis ◽  
Human Errors ◽  
Performance Shaping Factors ◽  
Tehran Research Reactor ◽  
Probabilistic Safety

The purpose of this paper is to cover human reliability analysis of the Tehran research reactor using an appropriate method for the representation of human failure probabilities. In the present work, the technique for human error rate prediction and standardized plant analysis risk-human reliability methods have been utilized to quantify different categories of human errors, applied extensively to nuclear power plants. Human reliability analysis is, indeed, an integral and significant part of probabilistic safety analysis studies, without it probabilistic safety analysis would not be a systematic and complete representation of actual plant risks. In addition, possible human errors in research reactors constitute a significant part of the associated risk of such installations and including them in a probabilistic safety analysis for such facilities is a complicated issue. Standardized plant analysis risk-human can be used to address these concerns; it is a well-documented and systematic human reliability analysis system with tables for human performance choices prepared in consultation with experts in the domain. In this method, performance shaping factors are selected via tables, human action dependencies are accounted for, and the method is well designed for the intended use. In this study, in consultations with reactor operators, human errors are identified and adequate performance shaping factors are assigned to produce proper human failure probabilities. Our importance analysis has revealed that human action contained in the possibility of an external object falling on the reactor core are the most significant human errors concerning the Tehran research reactor to be considered in reactor emergency operating procedures and operator training programs aimed at improving reactor safety.

A Museum Filled with Past, Present and Future in High Speed Railway^|^mdash;SCMAGLEV and Railway Park^|^mdash;

2012 ◽  
Vol 132 (10) ◽  
pp. 673-676
Author(s):  
Takaharu TAKESHITA ◽  
Wataru KITAGAWA ◽  
Inami ASAI ◽  
Hidehiko NAKAZAWA ◽  
Yusuke FURUHASHI
Keyword(s):  
High Speed ◽  
High Speed Railway
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