EFFECTS OF CULTIVAR RESISTANCE, LEAF WETNESS DURATION AND TEMPERATURE ON RATE OF DEVELOPMENT OF POTATO EARLY BLIGHT
Regression models were developed from field observations over three seasons in Ontario, to relate apparent infection rate (Y) of early blight, caused by Alternaria solani Sorauer, on three potato cultivars, Kennebec, Chieftain, and Norchip, to leaf wetness duration (W) and air temperature (T). Among regression equations of the form Y = a + bW + cT + dWT or Y = a + bW, cultivar-specific equations accounted for more variability in Y than equations derived from all cultivars. In all-cultivar equations and cultivar-specific equations, W accounted for 85%–89% of the variability in Y. Therefore, cultivar resistance and the average daily duration of leaf wetness were identified as important factors determining apparent infection rate under field conditions. Temperature, either singly or in combination with leaf wetness, accounted for less than 10% of the variability in Y and was negatively correlated with Y and W. The product of temperature and wetness was highly correlated with Y but, under field conditions, an increase in temperature tended to decrease the duration of leaf wetness, and therefore the value of Y as well. It is suggested that cultivar resistance and duration of leaf wetness will be important factors to be considered in the prediction of apparent infection rate and in the development of a practical weather-timed spray program for early blight of potato.Key words: Alternaria solani, Solanum tuberosum, disease control, weather-timed spray