scholarly journals A neuro-fuzzy model to predict the inflow to the guardialfiera multipurpose dam (Southern Italy) at medium-long time scales

2013 ◽  
Vol 44 (2s) ◽  
Author(s):  
L.F. Termite ◽  
F. Todisco ◽  
L. Vergni ◽  
F. Mannocchi
Keyword(s):  
Time Scales ◽  
Time Scale ◽  
Input Data ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Fuzzy Model ◽  
Computational Technique ◽  
Inference System ◽  
The Past ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Multipurpose Dam

Intelligent computing tools based on fuzzy logic and artificial neural networks have been successfully applied in various problems with superior performances. A new approach of combining these two powerful tools, known as neuro-fuzzy systems, has increasingly attracted scientists in different fields. Few studies have been undertaken to evaluate their performances in hydrologic modeling. Specifically are available rainfall-runoff modeling typically at very short time scales (hourly, daily or event for the real-time forecasting of floods) with in input precipitation and past runoff (i.e. inflow rate) and in few cases models for the prediction of the monthly inflows to a dam using the past inflows as input. This study presents an application of an Adaptive Network-based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS), as a neuro-fuzzy-computational technique, in the forecasting of the inflow to the Guardialfiera multipurpose dam (CB, Italy) at the weekly and monthly time scale. The latter has been performed both directly at monthly scale (monthly input data) and iterating the weekly model. Twenty-nine years of rainfall, temperature, water level in the reservoir and releases to the different uses were available. In all simulations meteorological input data were used and in some cases also the past inflows. The performance of the defined ANFIS models were established by different efficiency and correlation indices. The results at the weekly time scale can be considered good, with a Nash- Sutcliffe efficiency index E = 0.724 in the testing phase. At the monthly time scale, satisfactory results were obtained with the iteration of the weekly model for the prediction of the incoming volume up to 3 weeks ahead (E = 0.574), while the direct simulation of monthly inflows gave barely satisfactory results (E = 0.502). The greatest difficulties encountered in the analysis were related to the reliability of the available data. The results of this study demonstrate the promising potential of ANFIS in the forecasting of the short term inflows to a reservoir and in the simulation of different scenarios for the water resources management in the longer term.

scholarly journals Thermal Conductivity Modeling of Aqueous CuO Nanofluids by Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) Using Experimental Data

2017 ◽  
Vol 62 (2) ◽  
pp. 202 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammad Hemmat Esfe
Keyword(s):  
Thermal Conductivity ◽  
Input Data ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Regression Coefficient ◽  
Good Precision ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Triangular Function ◽  
Best Responses ◽  
Conductivity Modeling

In this article, thermal conductivity data of aqueous nanofluids of CuO have been modeled through one of the instruments of empirical data modeling. The input data of 5 different volume fractions of nanofluid obtained in four temperatures through experiments have been considered as network inputs. Also, triangular function, due to providing the best responses, has been used as membership function in ANFIS structure. The modeling results show that fuzzy networks are able to model thermal conductivity results of nanofluids with good precision. Regression coefficient of this modeling has been 0.99.

scholarly journals Prediction of littoral drift with Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System

2010 ◽  
Vol 42 (1) ◽  
pp. 159-167
Author(s):  
Masumeh Sabet ◽  
Mehdi Naseri ◽  
Hosein Sabet
Keyword(s):  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Linear Process ◽  
Back Propagation Algorithm ◽  
Littoral Drift ◽  
Inference System ◽  
The Past ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Sand Drift

Prediction of littoral drift with Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System The amount of sand moving parallel to a coastline forms a prerequisite for many harbor design projects. Such information is currently obtained through various empirical formulae. Despite so many works in the past, an accurate and reliable estimation of the rate of sand drift has still remained a problem. It is a non-linear process and can be described by chaotic time-series. The current study addresses this issue through the use of Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). ANFIS is about taking an initial fuzzy inference system (FIS) and tuning it with a back propagation algorithm based on the collection of input-output data. ANFIS was developed to predict the sand drift from a variety of causative variables. The structure and algorithm of ANFIS for predicting the rate of sand drift is described. The Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System was validated by confirming its consistency with a database of specified physical process.

Mapping arsenic vulnerability at different spatial scales using statistical and machine learning models 

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sonal Bindal
Keyword(s):  
Spatial Resolution ◽  
Spatial Data ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Spatial Scales ◽  
Fuzzy Model ◽  
Fuzzy Regression ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Predictive Algorithms

<p>In the recent years, prediction modelling techniques have been widely used for modelling groundwater arsenic contamination. Determining the accuracy, performance and suitability of these different algorithms such as univariate regression (UR), fuzzy model, adaptive fuzzy regression (AFR), logistic regression (LR), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), and hybrid random forest (HRF) models still remains a challenging task. The spatial data which are available at different scales with different cell sizes. In the current study we have tried to optimize the spatial resolution for best performance of the model selecting the best spatial resolution by testing various predictive algorithms. The model’s performance was evaluated based of the values of determination coefficient (R<sup>2</sup>), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and root mean square error (RMSE). The outcomes of the study indicate that using 100m × 100m spatial resolution gives best performance in most of the models. The results also state HRF model performs the best than the commonly used ANFIS and LR models.</p>

Research of Faulty Sensors Data Reconstructed for Liquid-Propellant Rocket Engines

2012 ◽  
Vol 229-231 ◽  
pp. 1449-1453 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yan Jun Li ◽  
Xiao Hui Peng ◽  
Yu Qiang Cheng ◽  
Jian Jun Wu
Keyword(s):  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Rocket Engine ◽  
Fuzzy Model ◽  
Rocket Engines ◽  
Liquid Propellant ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Faulty Sensors ◽  
Propellant Rocket

In this paper, the data of faulty sensors reconstruct algorithm of liquid-propellant rocket engine is developed based on adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system. First, the input parameters selected for method is according to regularity criterion and the relationships between each parameter; second, adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system is train by normal test, finally, the fuzzy mode is validated by normal data and the data of faulty sensor is reconstructed. The results indicate that this algorithm can reconstruct the data of faulty sensors accurately and show that the fuzzy model approach has good performance in faulty sensors data reconstruct for LRE.

scholarly journals Modeling of the Safety Climate and the Cultural Attitudes to Predict Unsafe Behaviors Using the Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS)

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Reza Pourbabaki ◽  
Zahra Beigzadeh ◽  
Behnam Haghshenas ◽  
Ali Karimi ◽  
Zahra Alaei ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Safety Climate ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Fuzzy Model ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Cultural Attitudes ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Unsafe Behavior ◽  
Unsafe Behaviors

Background: Unsafe behavior in industries can be due to different factors. The aim of this study was to predict and model unsafe behavior using a safety atmosphere and cultural attitudes questionnaires. Methods: This study was a descriptive-analytic and cross-sectional examination that analyzed the data and predicted the unsafe behaviors of 90 construction workers using Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) in MATLAB R2016a software. Results: In this study, the model of the safety atmosphere - unsafe behavior and the model of the cultural attitudes - unsafe behavior had the regression coefficients of 0.93373 and 0.9234, respectively. It showed that each of the parameters has a close relationship to the rate of the unsafe behavior. In this regard, a combination of the safety atmosphere and safety attitude parameters for the estimation of the unsafe behaviors achieved the better results with a regression coefficient of 0.9453 which indicates the direct effect of both parameters simultaneously on unsafe behavior. Conclusion: Based on the findings, it can be concluded that the neuro-fuzzy model can be used as an appropriate tool for predicting unsafe behavior in the industries.

scholarly journals Stability Analysis of Fluid-Conveying Beams using Artificial Intelligence

2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Theddeus T Akano ◽  
Olumuyiwa S Asaolu
Keyword(s):  
Artificial Intelligence ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Fuzzy Model ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Fluid Field ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Pipes Conveying Fluid ◽  
The Stability ◽  
Stability Results ◽  
Conveying Fluid

This paper employs artificial intelligence in predicting the stability of pipes conveying fluid. Field data was collected for different pipe structures and usage. Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) model is implemented to predict the stability of the pipe using the fundamental natural frequency at different flow velocities as the index of stability. Results reveal that the neuro-fuzzy model compares relatively well with the conventional finite element method. It was also established that a pipe conveying fluid is most stable when the pipe is clamped at both ends but least stable when it is a cantilever.

scholarly journals Investigating the Use of an Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System in Software Development Effort Estimation

2021 ◽  
pp. 18-24
Author(s):  
Zainab Rustum Mohsin
Keyword(s):  
Software Development ◽  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Computational Technique ◽  
Development Effort ◽  
Effort Estimation ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Software Development Effort ◽  
Software Development Effort Estimation

Modeling software development effort estimation models has been a hot research topic over the last three decades. Numerous models were proposed in these decades to predict the effort. The key challenges for future software development is providing accurate software estimation. Failure to acknowledge the accuracy of effort estimation can cause inaccurate estimation, customer disappointment, and poor software development or project failure. This research presents a novel computational technique, named adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), for the modeling of software effort estimation. It was developed utilizing the Constructive Cost Model (COCOMO) dataset. The data were randomly divided into two sets: 83% for training and 17% for testing. The mean magnitude relative-error (MMRE) and the coefficient of correlation (R) were used as assessment indices. Results showed that the accuracy of the proposed model is quite satisfactory in comparison with actual values. Moreover, a comparison study was conducted with another approach. The results showed that ANFIS produced better results in comparison with Function Point Analysis, Software Lifecycle Management, and COCOMO methods. ANFIS was found to be a potential predictive model for software development effort estimation.

APLIKASI SISTEM CERDAS UNTUK PREDIKSI ENERGI LISTRIK PEMAKAIAN SENDIRI DI PT INDONESIA POWER SUB UNIT PLTA KABUPATEN WONOGIRI

2017 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 489
Author(s):  
Herliyani Hasanah ◽  
Nurmalitasari Nurmalitasari
Keyword(s):  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Input Data ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy C Means ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Fuzzy Input

Kebutuhan akan energi listrik menjadi kebutuhan primer nasional. Dalam keberlangsungan proses produksi energi listrik pada pembangkitan – pembangkitan diperlukan energi listrik untuk pemakaian sendiri. Dalam penelitian ini dibangun sebuah aplikasi sistem cerdas untuk memprediksi energi listrik pemakaian sendiri di PT Indonesia Power sub unit PLTA Wonogiri. Pada penelitian ini menggunakan 2 kelompok input, yaitu input FIS (Fuzzy Inference System) dan input pada NN (Neuro Fuzzy). Input data  merupakan data produksi harian energi listrik di PLTA Wonogiri selama kurun waktu 2010 – 2016. Variabel data yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah data produksi listrik untuk pemakaian PLTA Wonogiri adalah energi listrik yang dihasilkan PLTA Wonogiri dengan satuan KwH (f), elevasi muka air waduk dengan satuan meter (a1) dan debit air yang masuk ke turbin dengan satuan /detik (a2).  Output yang diperoleh adalah pusat centroid (m), derajat keanggotaan (mf), bobot (w) dan konsekuen parameter ( c ). Dari hasil pengujian diperoleh keluaran dengan performansi yang optimal pada saat Fuzzy C Means 2 kelas dengan parameter laju pembelajaran 0.4, momentum 0.6 dengan bessar Mean Percentage Error 0.377970875.  Kata kunci:  prediksi, pemakaian sendiri, energi listrik, fuzzy inference system, neuro fuzzy

Tourism Demand Forecasting Based on a Neuro-Fuzzy Model

2014 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 60-69 ◽  
Author(s):  
George Atsalakis ◽  
Eleni Chnarogiannaki ◽  
Consantinos Zopounidis
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Demand Forecasting ◽  
Fuzzy Model ◽  
Time Series Models ◽  
Tourism Demand ◽  
Anfis Model ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Forecasting Models ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy

Tourism in Greece plays a major role in the country's economy and an accurate forecasting model for tourism demand is a useful tool, which could affect decision making and planning for the future. This paper answers some questions such as: how did the forecasting techniques evolve over the years, how precise can they be, and in what way can they be used in assessing the demand for tourism? An Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) has been used in making the forecasts. The data used as input for the forecasting models relates to monthly time-series tourist arrivals by air, train, sea and road into Greece from January 1996 until September 2011. 80% of the data has been used to train the forecasting models and the rest to evaluate the models. The performance of the model is achieved by the calculation of some well known statistical errors. The accuracy of the ANFIS model is further compared with two conventional forecasting models: the autoregressive (AR) and autoregressive moving average (ARMA) time-series models. The results were satisfactory even if the collected data were not pleasing enough. The ANFIS performed further compared to the other time-series models. In conclusion, the accuracy of the ANFIS model forecast proved its great importance in tourism demand forecasting.

scholarly journals Estimate reliability of component-based software sys-tem using modified neuro fuzzy model

2017 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
pp. 45 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ravi Kumar Sharma ◽  
Dr. Parul Gandhi
Keyword(s):  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Fuzzy Model ◽  
Software Systems ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Component Reliability ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Estimate Reliability

There are many algorithms and techniques for estimating the reliability of Component Based Software Systems (CBSSs). Accurate esti-mation depends on two factors: component reliability and glue code reliability. Still much more research is expected to estimate reliability in a better way. A number of soft computing approaches for estimating CBSS reliability has been proposed. These techniques learnt from the past and capture existing patterns in data. In this paper, we proposed new model for estimating CBSS reliability known as Modified Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (MNFIS). This model is based on four factors Reusability, Operational, Component dependency, Fault Density. We analyze the proposed model for diffent data sets and also compare its performance with that of plain Fuzzy Inference System. Our experimental results show that, the proposed model gives better reliability as compare to FIS.

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