scholarly journals Mosquito breeding site water temperature observations and simulations towards improved vector-borne disease models for Africa

2016 ◽  
Vol 11 (1s) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ernest O. Asare ◽  
Adrian M. Tompkins ◽  
Leonard K. Amekudzi ◽  
Volker Ermert ◽  
Robert Redl
Keyword(s):  
Water Temperature ◽  
Energy Budget ◽  
Breeding Site ◽  
Accurate Estimation ◽  
Disease Models ◽  
Budget Model ◽  
Dynamical Disease ◽  
Development Times ◽  
Site Water ◽  
Larvae Development

An energy budget model is developed to predict water temperature of typical mosquito larval developmental habitats. It assumes a homogeneous mixed water column driven by empirically derived fluxes. The model shows good agreement at both hourly and daily time scales with 10-min temporal resolution observed water temperatures, monitored between June and November 2013 within a peri-urban area of Kumasi, Ghana. There was a close match between larvae development times calculated using either the model-derived or observed water temperatures. The water temperature scheme represents a significant improvement over assuming the water temperature to be equal to air temperature. The energy budget model requires observed minimum and maximum temperatures, information that is generally available from weather stations. Our results show that hourly variations in water temperature are important for the simulation of aquatic-stage development times. By contrast, we found that larval development is insensitive to sub-hourly variations. Modelling suggests that in addition to water temperature, accurate estimation of degree-day development time is very important to correctly predict the larvae development times. The results highlight the potential of the model to predict water temperature of temporary bodies of surface water. Our study represents an important contribution towards the improvement of weatherdriven dynamical disease models, including those designed for malaria early forecasting systems.

Prévision des températures de l'eau en rivières à l'aide d'un modèle conceptuel : le cas de la rivière Moisie

1994 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 63-75 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guy Morin ◽  
Tonino-Joseph Nzakimuena ◽  
Wanda Sochanski
Keyword(s):  
Solar Radiation ◽  
Water Temperature ◽  
Energy Budget ◽  
Production Capacity ◽  
Short Wave ◽  
Wave Radiation ◽  
Temperature Model ◽  
Salmon River ◽  
Daily Data ◽  
Temperature Impacts

Hydro-Québec is projecting to increase the hydroelectric production capacity of the St. Marguerite River by diversion of the tributaries Pékans and Carheil rivers of the Moisie River, the most productive salmon river of the whole Quebec. Along with substantial changes in hydrological regimes, this hydroelectric development is most likely to affect some physical environment factors such as the water temperature, which is of prime importance for the biotope and, in particular, for the salmon productivity. The objective of the present study is to simulate, over a long period of time, the river water temperatures under natural conditions as compare to those after the impoundment, to assess the consequences of the tributary diversion. We used the hydrological CEQUEAU model coupled with a temperature model.The temperature model developed is applicable to the ice-free period and calculates daily water temperatures in rivers by computing an energy budget to each element of the watershed. The energy budget considers the short-wave solar radiation, long-wave radiation, evaporation, and convection in the air as well as the advective heat of various inflows from surface runoff, interflow, and groundwaters. The estimation of the atmospheric thermal exchanges is based on the equations usually found in literature. The volumes of the various inflows are given by the hydrological model. The temperature model uses daily data for air temperature and monthly data for solar radiation, cloudiness, wind speed, and vapour pressure.The model has been applied to the Moisie River (Québec), using the measured values for the calibration. Both observed and calculated values show good agreement. The model was also used to simulate, over the whole watershed, the water temperatures for the 1961–1989 period and after the diversion. The results show that the tributary diversion contributed to increase the water temperature of the Moisie River and that this increase is gradually attenuated as we progress downstream. Key words: temperature, impacts, model, Moisie, Québec, diversion, hydrology.

scholarly journals Assessment of the Effects of Climate Change on Evapotranspiration with an Improved Elasticity Method in a Nonhumid Area

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (12) ◽  
pp. 4589 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lei Tian ◽  
Jiming Jin ◽  
Pute Wu ◽  
Guo-yue Niu
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Wind Speed ◽  
Energy Budget ◽  
Yellow River ◽  
Rate Of Change ◽  
Climatic Variables ◽  
Accurate Estimation ◽  
Net Radiation ◽  
River Watershed ◽  
Significant Downward Trend

Climatic elasticity is a crucial metric to assess the hydrological influence of climate change. Based on the Budyko equation, this study performed an analytical derivation of the climatic elasticity of evapotranspiration (ET). With this derived elasticity, it is possible to quantitatively separate the impacts of precipitation, air temperature, net radiation, relative humidity, and wind speed on ET in a watershed. This method was applied in the Wuding River Watershed (WRW), located in the center of the Yellow River Watershed of China. The estimated rate of change in ET caused by climatic variables is −10.69 mm/decade, which is close to the rate of change in ET (−8.06 mm/decade) derived from observable data. The accurate estimation with the elasticity method demonstrates its reliability. Our analysis shows that ET in the WRW had a significant downward trend, but the ET ratio in the WRW has increased continually over the past 52 years. Decreasing precipitation is the first-order cause for the reduction of ET, and decreasing net radiation is the secondary cause. Weakening wind speed also contributed to this reduction. In contrast, regional warming led to an increase in ET that partly offset the negative contributions from other climatic variables. Moreover, reforestation can affect the energy budget of a watershed by decreasing albedo, compensating for the negative influence of global dimming. The integrated effect from precipitation and temperature can affect the energy budget of a watershed by causing a large fluctuation in winter albedo.

scholarly journals Using Large-Aperture Scintillometer to Estimate Lake-Water Evaporation and Heat Fluxes in the Badain Jaran Desert, China

Water ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (12) ◽  
pp. 2575
Author(s):  
Han ◽  
Wang ◽  
Wang
Keyword(s):  
Water Temperature ◽  
Shallow Water ◽  
Time Scale ◽  
Open Water ◽  
Heat Fluxes ◽  
Accurate Estimation ◽  
Badain Jaran Desert ◽  
Large Aperture ◽  
Different Depths ◽  
Daily Time

Accurate estimation of evaporation (E0) over open water bodies in arid regions (e.g., lakes in the desert) is of great importance for local water resource management. Due to the ability to accurately determine sensible (H) and latent (LE) heat fluxes over scales of hundreds to thousands of meters, scintillometers are more and more appreciated. In this study, a scintillometer was installed on both sides of the shore over the Sumu Barun Jaran Lake in the Badain Jaran Desert and was applied to estimate the sensible and latent heat fluxes and evaporation to be compared with the data of an evaporation pan and an aerodynamic model. Based on the field data, we further analyzed the seasonal differences in the flux evaluation using water temperature at different depths at half-hour and daily time scales, respectively. The results showed that in cold seasons, values of H were barely affected by the changes of shallow water temperature, whereas in hot seasons, the values were changed by 20%–30% at the half-hour time scale and 6.2%–18.3% at the daily time scale. In different seasons, shallow water temperature at different depths caused changes in the range of 0%–20% of LE (E0). This study contributes to a better understanding of uncertainties in measurements by large-aperture scintillometers in open-water environments.

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