On the Likelihood of Encountering Design Conditions During Heavy Transport - A Case Study of 56 Replicate Voyages From Korea to the Suez Canal

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Hodapp ◽  
Stephan den Breejen ◽  
Tomasz Pniewski ◽  
Hai Ming Wang ◽  
Zhen Lin
Keyword(s):  
Oil And Gas ◽  
Suez Canal ◽  
Critical Element ◽  
Simplified Approach ◽  
Wave Statistics ◽  
Design Values ◽  
Operating Limits ◽  
Wave Conditions ◽  
Associated Design

Abstract A critical element in heavy transport design is the identification of design wave conditions. Since most transports are one-of-a-kind, statistically meaningful comparisons of observed vs. design conditions are nonexistent. The present paper examines the experience from a recent oil and gas giga-project, encompassing 56 replicate voyages from Korea to the Suez Canal. In doing so, this paper provides an anchor point for assessing the real-world likelihood of exceeding design wave conditions during heavy transport. Voyage maximum wave conditions from the 56 replicate voyages are found to closely follow a Weibull distribution, allowing for the ready evaluation of observed 1-in-N voyage extremes. These observed wave conditions are compared with corresponding design values on both a year-round and seasonal (3-month) basis. Three important observations are drawn from these comparisons. First, operating limits established by heavy transport contractors to avoid waves above a predetermined threshold do not eliminate the need to design for higher wave conditions. Over the 56 replicate voyages studied, observed wave conditions slightly exceeded the contractor's self-imposed operating limit (i.e., by approximately 10% or less) on five separate voyages; on a sixth voyage, this same operating limit was exceeded by approximately 40%. Second, simplified tools for evaluating design wave conditions using Global Wave Statistics do not consistently estimate the 1-in-10 voyage extreme. While the simplified approach is shown to be conservative for the route studied, the associated design margin varies considerably throughout the year. Third, SafeTrans voyage simulations are observed to well-predict the 1-in-10 voyage extreme for the route studied.

scholarly journals Caisson Breakwater for LNG and Bulk Terminals: A Study on Limiting Wave Conditions for Caisson Installation

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yu Lin ◽  
Ghassan El Chahal ◽  
Yanlin Shao
Keyword(s):  
Water Depth ◽  
Oil And Gas ◽  
Numerical Study ◽  
Wave Structure ◽  
Viscous Drag ◽  
Viscous Effects ◽  
Drag Coefficients ◽  
Simplified Approach ◽  
Wave Conditions ◽  
General Guidance

Abstract As the worldwide oil and gas market continues to grow and environmental concerns with respect to in-port offloading of gas have increased, there has been a boom of interest in new liquefied natural gas LNG terminals in the past years. Loading - offloading operations at LNG and bulk terminals are generally protected by a breakwater to ensure high operability. For these terminals, caisson breakwaters are generally a preferred solution in water depth larger than 15 m due to its advantages compared to rubble mound breakwaters. The caisson installation is generally planned to be carried out in the period where sea conditions are relatively calm. However, many of these terminal locations are exposed to swell conditions, making the installation particularly challenging and subject to large downtime. There is no clear guidance on the caisson installation process rather than contractors’ experiences from different projects/sites. Therefore, studies are required in order to provide general guidance on the range of acceptable wave conditions for the installation operations and to have a better understanding of the influence of the caisson geometry. This paper presents a numerical study to determine the limiting wave conditions for caisson installing operations at larger water depth of 30–35 m for a confidential project along the African coast. Three caisson sizes/geometries are considered in order to assess and compare the wave-structure hydrodynamic interaction. The linear frequency-domain hydrodynamic analysis is performed for various seastates to determine the limiting wave conditions. Viscous effects due to flow separation at the sharp edges of the caisson are considered by using a stochastic linearization approach, where empirical drag coefficients are used as inputs. Parametric studies on caisson size and mooring stiffness are also presented, which can be used as a basis for future optimization. The uncertainty in the applied empirical viscous drag coefficients taken from the literature is examined by using a range of different drag coefficients. Further, the use of clearance-independent hydrodynamic coefficients (e.g. added mass and damping) may be questionable when the caisson is very close to the seabed, due to a possible strong interaction between caisson bottom and seabed. This effect is also checked quantitatively by a simplified approach. The findings of the study are presented in the form of curves and generalized to be used by designers and contractors for general guidance in future projects.

Varied Responses to Human-Induced Seismicity in the City of Azle, Texas

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Sarmistha R. Majumdar
Keyword(s):  
State Government ◽  
Induced Seismicity ◽  
Oil And Gas ◽  
The United States ◽  
The State ◽  
Prior History ◽  
Small Community ◽  
Regulatory Policies ◽  
The Status

Fracking has helped to usher in an era of energy abundance in the United States. This advanced drilling procedure has helped the nation to attain the status of the largest producer of crude oil and natural gas in the world, but some of its negative externalities, such as human-induced seismicity, can no longer be ignored. The occurrence of earthquakes in communities located at proximity to disposal wells with no prior history of seismicity has shocked residents and have caused damages to properties. It has evoked individuals’ resentment against the practice of injection of fracking’s wastewater under pressure into underground disposal wells. Though the oil and gas companies have denied the existence of a link between such a practice and earthquakes and the local and state governments have delayed their responses to the unforeseen seismic events, the issue has gained in prominence among researchers, affected community residents, and the media. This case study has offered a glimpse into the varied responses of stakeholders to human-induced seismicity in a small city in the state of Texas. It is evident from this case study that although individuals’ complaints and protests from a small community may not be successful in bringing about statewide changes in regulatory policies on disposal of fracking’s wastewater, they can add to the public pressure on the state government to do something to address the problem in a state that supports fracking.

Shale Resources, Parks Conservation, and Contested Public Lands in North Dakota’s Theodore Roosevelt National Park: Is Fracking Booming?

2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Miriam R. Aczel ◽  
Karen E. Makuch
Keyword(s):  
National Park ◽  
Oil And Gas ◽  
The United States ◽  
Federal Agencies ◽  
Cultural Significance ◽  
Theodore Roosevelt ◽  
Natural Beauty ◽  
Theodore Roosevelt National Park ◽  
Bakken Shale

This case study analyzes the potential impacts of weakening the National Park Service’s (NPS) “9B Regulations” enacted in 1978, which established a federal regulatory framework governing hydrocarbon rights and extraction to protect natural resources within the parks. We focus on potential risks to national parklands resulting from Executive Orders 13771—Reducing Regulation and Controlling Regulatory Costs [1]—and 13783—Promoting Energy Independence and Economic Growth [2]—and subsequent recent revisions and further deregulation. To establish context, we briefly overview the history of the United States NPS and other relevant federal agencies’ roles and responsibilities in protecting federal lands that have been set aside due to their value as areas of natural beauty or historical or cultural significance [3]. We present a case study of Theodore Roosevelt National Park (TRNP) situated within the Bakken Shale Formation—a lucrative region of oil and gas deposits—to examine potential impacts if areas of TRNP, particularly areas designated as “wilderness,” are opened to resource extraction, or if the development in other areas of the Bakken near or adjacent to the park’s boundaries expands [4]. We have chosen TRNP because of its biodiversity and rich environmental resources and location in the hydrocarbon-rich Bakken Shale. We discuss where federal agencies’ responsibility for the protection of these lands for future generations and their responsibility for oversight of mineral and petroleum resources development by private contractors have the potential for conflict.

THE URBAN MIGRANT FUTURE DESIRE: A STUDY OF REVERSE MIGRATION IN MALAYSIA

2017 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 177
Author(s):  
Nur Huzeima Mohd Hussain ◽  
Hugh Byrd ◽  
Nur Azfahani Ahmad
Keyword(s):  
Oil And Gas ◽  
Industrial Society ◽  
Peak Oil ◽  
Population Mobility ◽  
Reverse Migration ◽  
The Past ◽  
Urban Migrants ◽  
Urban Migrant ◽  
Oil Crisis

Globalisation combined with resources of oil and gas has led to an industrial society in Malaysia.  For the past 30 years, rapid urban growth has shifted from 73% rural to 73% urban population. However, the peak oil crisis and economic issues are threatening the growth of urbanisation and influencing the trends of population mobility. This paper documents the beginnings of a reverse migration (urban-to-rural) in Malaysia.  The method adopted case study that involves questionnaires with the urban migrants to establish the desires, definite intentions and reasons for future migration. Based on this data, it predicts a trend and rate of reverse migration in Malaysia. 

scholarly journals A Framework for Project Risk Assessment in Dynamic Networks: A Case Study of Oil and Gas Megaproject Construction

IEEE Access ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 1-1
Author(s):  
Amir Farmahini Farahani ◽  
Kaveh Khalili-Damghani ◽  
Hosein Didehkhani ◽  
Amir Homayoun Sarfaraz ◽  
Mehdi Hajirezaie
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Oil And Gas ◽  
Dynamic Networks ◽  
Project Risk ◽  
Project Risk Assessment

Executives’ Decision Processes at the Front End of Major Projects: The Role of Context and Experience in Value Creation

2020 ◽  
pp. 875697282097722
Author(s):  
Denise Chenger ◽  
Jaana Woiceshyn
Keyword(s):  
Value Creation ◽  
Oil And Gas ◽  
Decision Processes ◽  
Strategic Decision ◽  
Decision Context ◽  
Front End ◽  
Risk Approach ◽  
Multiple Case

The front end of projects is strategically important; yet, how project concepts are identified, evaluated, and selected at the pre-project stage is poorly understood. This article reports on an inductive multiple-case study of how executives made such decisions in major upstream oil and gas projects. The findings show that in such a high-risk context, often an experienced executive makes these decisions alone and he creates value by facilitating growth. We identified three value-creating decision processes that varied by the executives’ risk approach and decision context. These processes depart from the formal project management prescriptions and the strategic decision-making literature.

scholarly journals Evaluation of Coordination of Emergency Response Team through the Social Network Analysis. Case Study: Oil and Gas Refinery

2015 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 30-34 ◽  
Author(s):  
Iraj Mohammadfam ◽  
Susan Bastani ◽  
Mahbobeh Esaghi ◽  
Rostam Golmohamadi ◽  
Ali Saee
Keyword(s):  
Social Network ◽  
Social Network Analysis ◽  
Network Analysis ◽  
Emergency Response ◽  
Oil And Gas ◽  
The Social ◽  
Response Team ◽  
Gas Refinery

scholarly journals Modeling and Estimating Host Country Values in International Projects to Facilitate In-Country Value Creation

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (10) ◽  
pp. 5592
Author(s):  
Ludovic-Alexandre Vidal ◽  
Franck Marle ◽  
Mathieu Dernis
Keyword(s):  
Host Country ◽  
Oil And Gas ◽  
Value Chains ◽  
Host Countries ◽  
Complex Projects ◽  
Domain Mapping ◽  
International Projects ◽  
Decision Making Processes ◽  
Industrial Needs

International companies are more and more seeking to act proactively by proposing In-Country Value (ICV) strategies to create sustainable local values in the host countries in which they carry out projects. Still, such sustainable local values are complex to identify because they are often indirectly related to their own value chains, project activities, and outcomes. There are, therefore, both theoretical and industrial needs to model and estimate sustainable values brought by complex projects in host countries, considering direct and indirect effects. In this paper, a systems thinking-based approach combined with a frequency analysis first permitted to build up a model of the sustainable values created by the project in a host country. Then, after underlining the complexity of such a model, a Domain Mapping Matrix (DMM) approach was proposed to help build a process to estimate project impacts in terms of ICV creation. An application to a case study built up with an industrial practitioner (an oil and gas company) permitted to test and validate the overall model and approach. It notably showed how such a model permitted to facilitate discussions among stakeholders and laid the foundations of ICV creation-oriented decision-making processes.

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